Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1474.16 NEAR at 1.636$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6473 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 1.631 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1474.16 NEAR at 1.636$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6473 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 1.631 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 1.6364$
Qty 1474.1598 NEAR
Size 2412.3151$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6473 (+0.67%)
TP $ 16.07$
SL 1.631 (-0.33%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.02
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7489
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.290917 15m : 0.29993 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 17/08 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5636 | r1h: 0.091% · r4h: 0.642% · r1d: 1.44% · r3d: 3.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0992% · dist_ema21: 0.998% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5234 | rs_1h: -0.058% · rs_4h: 0.116% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: 2.01% · beta_24h: 1.426 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4483 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.835 · trend: 15.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7141 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.489% | 1.5R | -0.672% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.489% | 1.5R | -0.672% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.489% | 1.5R | -1.894% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.489% | 1.5R | -1.894% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.727% | 2.2R | -1.894% | 5.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.01 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.60 | range_medium | -0.40% | +0.17 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.48 | range_low | +0.52% | +0.15 | 17/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.49% | +0.06 | 17/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 6.23×ATR | p85 | -0.44×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.773×ATR | p24 | +0.989×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.735×ATR | p13 | +1.238×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.52×ATR | p0 | +1.007×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63524.4
0.0024018
63677
0.290917
63316.3
0.00569535
63677
0.29993
63216
0.00621662
63609
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0.892
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0.6407
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0.073
1
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1.6344
0.5
0.5
1
8
1
0.4712
0.5078
6.3338
0.65
0.4058
2.5703
1.6344
0.6708
0.227
0.82
0.5652
0.6035
0.5867
0.9239
0.6407
-3.0856
5.5018
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 08:35:00 | 1.6262 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:35:00 | 1.6309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 1.6455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:30:00 | 1.6368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:50:00 | 1.6496 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:20:00 | 1.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:40:00 | 1.6386 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 1.6413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:55:00 | 1.6515 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:10:00 | 1.6364 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 1.6054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 1.6128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.5833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 1.6307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1.6555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:30:00 | 1.6262 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:30:00 | 1.6309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 1.6496 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:45:00 | 1.6515 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:00:00 | 1.6364 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 1.5818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 1.6281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 14:00:00 | 1.6303 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 1.6473 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:00:00 | 1.6046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 1.6278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.5833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1.6555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:00:00 | 1.6515 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6364 | 1.631 | 1.6473 | 2.02 | 4.5755 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.631 - 1.6364 = -0.0054000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6364 - 1.6473 = -0.0109
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0109 / -0.0054000000000001 = 2.0185
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2412.3151 | 100 | 1474.1598 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0054000000000001 = -1481.48
Taille de position USD = -1481.48 x 1.6364 = -2424.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -1481.48 avec un stoploss a 1.631
Avec un position size USD de -2424.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1481.48 x -0.0054000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1481.48 x -0.0109 = 16.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4889 % | 148.15 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6364 | 1.631 | 1.6473 | 2.02 | 4.5755 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.631 - 1.6364 = -0.0054000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6364 - 1.6473 = -0.0109
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0109 / -0.0054000000000001 = 2.0185
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.489% | 1.5R | -0.672% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.489% | 1.5R | -0.672% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.489% | 1.5R | -1.894% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.489% | 1.5R | -1.894% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.727% | 2.2R | -1.894% | 5.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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