Long Trade on JTO (CatchTheWave)
With 3623.39 JTO at 0.595$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5991 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5925 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on JTO (CatchTheWave)
With 3623.39 JTO at 0.595$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5991 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5925 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 0.5947$
Qty 3623.3853 JTO
Size 2154.791$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5991 (+0.74%)
TP $ 15.94$
SL 0.5925 (-0.37%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6958
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.87×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.001894 15m : 0.305491 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5629 | r1h: -0.596% · r4h: -1.052% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: 9.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1347% · dist_ema21: -0.294% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4829 | rs_1h: -0.887% · rs_4h: -1.771% · rs_1d: -0.47% · rs_3d: 7.51% · beta_24h: 1.961 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2063 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: -23.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6683 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.192% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -0.664% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -1.143% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.375% | 1.0R | -2.087% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -3.822% | 10.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -4.137% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.81 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.22 | range_medium | +0.18% | +0.53 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.16 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.17% | -0.13 | 17/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | bull_low_confirmed | +1.05% | -0.17 | 17/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 3.237×ATR | p18 | +1.184×ATR | p57 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 4.321×ATR | p71 | +1.296×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 3.27×ATR | p47 | -0.212×ATR | p17 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.555×ATR | p3 | -0.663×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63669.5
0.00592874
64047
-0.001894
63421.3
0.00986481
64047
0.305491
63286.4
0.0117643
64031
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1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:20 | 0.59469000 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 12:56 | 0.59317000 | -0.257% |
| 3 | 13:09 | 0.59209000 | -0.439% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 10:25:00 | 0.6033 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:15:00 | 0.59855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 0.60518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:10:00 | 0.59392 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:45:00 | 0.60347 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:25:00 | 0.5947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 14:05:00 | 0.60178 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:30:00 | 0.59608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:05:00 | 0.60184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:15:00 | 0.59463 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 0.59009 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 18:30:00 | 0.59824 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.57503 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:45:00 | 0.61307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 0.60066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 0.62033 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 0.6022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.59392 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 0.60184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:15:00 | 0.59463 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 0.54701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.5794 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 09:00:00 | 0.53783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.60162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 0.57602 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.57514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.59925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.57503 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.62033 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.59392 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5947 | 0.5925 | 0.5991 | 2 | 0.4833 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5925 - 0.5947 = -0.0022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5947 - 0.5991 = -0.0044
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0044 / -0.0022 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2154.791 | 100 | 3623.3853 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0022 = -3636.36
Taille de position USD = -3636.36 x 0.5947 = -2162.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -3636.36 avec un stoploss a 0.5925
Avec un position size USD de -2162.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0022 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0044 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 15.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.528 % | 142.74 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5947 | 0.5925 | 0.5991 | 2 | 0.4833 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5925 - 0.5947 = -0.0022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5947 - 0.5991 = -0.0044
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0044 / -0.0022 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -0.664% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -1.143% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.375% | 1.0R | -2.087% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -3.822% | 10.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.375% | 1.0R | -4.137% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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