Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 8245.3 ONDO at 0.336$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3384 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3355 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 8245.3 ONDO at 0.336$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3384 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3355 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 0.3365$
Qty 8245.2976 ONDO
Size 2774.2953$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3384 (+0.56%)
TP $ 15.67$
SL 0.3355 (-0.3%)
SL $ 8.25$
RR 1.9
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7626
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.480821 15m : 0.519464 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5196 | r1h: -0.602% · r4h: -1.132% · r1d: 1.34% · r3d: 3.03% · ema21_slope: 0.1385% · dist_ema21: 0.447% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4331 | rs_1h: -0.893% · rs_4h: -1.851% · rs_1d: -0.16% · rs_3d: 1.30% · beta_24h: 0.692 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2856 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.208 · trend: 17.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6776 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.818% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -0.208% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -0.716% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.455% | 1.5R | -1.373% | 4.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -1.373% | 4.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -2.600% | 8.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.93 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.51% | +0.14 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.49 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.11% | +0.04 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bull_low | +1.00% | -0.19 | 17/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 5.003×ATR | p69 | -0.609×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 3.398×ATR | p40 | +1.138×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2×ATR | p27 | +0.383×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.498×ATR | p33 | -1.099×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63684.2
0.00597886
64065
0.480821
63437.4
0.00989209
64065
0.519464
63286.4
0.0117643
64031
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0.4662
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5.3458
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1.5872
2.8618
1.5575
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0.1558
0.86
0.3275
0.569
0.6337
0.9328
0.7431
-1.9247
5.567
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 11:50:00 | 0.34192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:20:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:25:00 | 0.33698 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:40:00 | 0.33989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:55:00 | 0.33989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:40:00 | 0.33711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 14:55:00 | 0.33927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:05:00 | 0.33927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:50:00 | 0.33885 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:30:00 | 0.33641 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 0.3302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:45:00 | 0.33241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:30:00 | 0.33574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 0.33267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.33967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 0.33514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:15:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 0.33698 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:30:00 | 0.33641 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33145 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.32969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.3284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.32231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.33394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.33665 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3365 | 0.3355 | 0.3384 | 1.9 | 0.4665 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3355 - 0.3365 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3365 - 0.3384 = -0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0019 / -0.001 = 1.9
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2774.2953 | 100 | 8245.2976 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001 = -8000
Taille de position USD = -8000 x 0.3365 = -2692
Donc, tu peux acheter -8000 avec un stoploss a 0.3355
Avec un position size USD de -2692$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8000 x -0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8000 x -0.0019 = 15.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 15.67 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8.25 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.24 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5736 % | 193 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3365 | 0.3355 | 0.3384 | 1.9 | 0.4665 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3355 - 0.3365 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3365 - 0.3384 = -0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0019 / -0.001 = 1.9
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -0.208% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -0.716% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.455% | 1.5R | -1.373% | 4.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -1.373% | 4.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.455% | 1.5R | -2.600% | 8.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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