Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 2398.17 ACE at 0.167$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1736 (4.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1636 (1.98 %)
Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 2398.17 ACE at 0.167$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1736 (4.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1636 (1.98 %)
Position
Entry 0.1669$
Qty 2398.175 ACE
Size 400.2554$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1736 (+4.01%)
TP $ 16.07$
SL 0.1636 (-1.98%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3630
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 7.78×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.44×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.080298 15m : 0.00432 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | mature | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5439 | r1h: -2.519% · r4h: -11.807% · r1d: 24.31% · r3d: -41.98% · ema21_slope: 1.1847% · dist_ema21: 1.705% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2617 | rs_1h: -2.719% · rs_4h: -12.679% · rs_1d: 22.24% · rs_3d: -44.39% · beta_24h: 5.380 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2598 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.279 · trend: -4.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7345 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 40.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.477% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.374% | 2.2R | -0.240% | 0.1R | 18.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.374% | 2.2R | -5.153% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.374% | 2.2R | -9.107% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.374% | 2.2R | -9.287% | 4.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.496% | 8.9R | -11.624% | 5.9R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bear_high | -3.14% | +1.00 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | -0.01 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.80% | -1.00 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | -0.04 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.67% | +0.97 | 17/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | — | bull_low | +1.35% | -0.80 | 17/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 4.135×ATR | p46 | +0.838×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.39×ATR | p3 | +0.435×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.979×ATR | p23 | +0.201×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.836×ATR | p13 | -1.117×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63975.9
0.0061443
64369
-0.080298
63589.7
0.0122539
64369
0.00432
63286.7
0.0180167
64427
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0.4037
4.672
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0.737
1.5128
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0.2523
0.52
1.5141
0.7091
0.5158
0.8225
0.2418
-15.8824
5.0653
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 12:20:00 | 0.1992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:40:00 | 0.1756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:40:00 | 0.1886 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:10:00 | 0.179 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 14:55:00 | 0.1955 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 0.1875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:10:00 | 0.1697 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:55:00 | 0.1724 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:10:00 | 0.1818 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 0.1667 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 0.1335 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:15:00 | 0.1395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.1315 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 0.1777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 0.1449 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:30:00 | 0.2026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:30:00 | 0.1756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 14:45:00 | 0.1955 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.1697 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 0.1667 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 0.1856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 0.343 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 0.1564 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.1301 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.1332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.1315 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 0.1777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 0.2026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.1686 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1669 | 0.1636 | 0.1736 | 2.03 | 0.1659 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1636 - 0.1669 = -0.0033
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1669 - 0.1736 = -0.0067
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0067 / -0.0033 = 2.0303
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 400.2554 | 100 | 2398.175 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0033 = -2424.24
Taille de position USD = -2424.24 x 0.1669 = -404.61
Donc, tu peux acheter -2424.24 avec un stoploss a 0.1636
Avec un position size USD de -404.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2424.24 x -0.0033 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2424.24 x -0.0067 = 16.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.01 % | 16.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.98 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.07 $ | 4.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2397 % | 12.12 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1669 | 0.1636 | 0.1736 | 2.03 | 0.1659 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1636 - 0.1669 = -0.0033
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1669 - 0.1736 = -0.0067
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0067 / -0.0033 = 2.0303
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.374% | 2.2R | -0.240% | 0.1R | 18.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.374% | 2.2R | -5.153% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.374% | 2.2R | -9.107% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.374% | 2.2R | -9.287% | 4.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.496% | 8.9R | -11.624% | 5.9R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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