Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 8404.24 ONDO at 0.333$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3353 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3324 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 8404.24 ONDO at 0.333$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3353 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3324 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 0.3334$
Qty 8404.2441 ONDO
Size 2801.975$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3353 (+0.57%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.3324 (-0.3%)
SL $ 8.4$
RR 1.9
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7066
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.78×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.420128 15m : 0.450222 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 17/08 14:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | mature | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5003 | r1h: -0.544% · r4h: -1.430% · r1d: 1.23% · r3d: 3.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0960% · dist_ema21: -0.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4169 | rs_1h: -0.745% · rs_4h: -2.302% · rs_1d: -0.84% · rs_3d: 0.76% · beta_24h: 0.659 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3094 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.069 · trend: -3.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6001 | ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 56.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.796% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.264% | 0.9R | -0.429% | 1.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.384% | 1.3R | -0.456% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.402% | 1.3R | -0.456% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.975% | 3.3R | -1.695% | 5.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.975% | 3.3R | -1.695% | 5.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.96 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.80% | +0.01 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.67% | -0.09 | 17/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | — | bull_low | +1.35% | -0.25 | 17/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 5.354×ATR | p75 | -1.011×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.58×ATR | p20 | +0.44×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.015×ATR | p65 | -0.472×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.428×ATR | p34 | -1.591×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63982.4
0.00521317
64316
0.420128
63588.7
0.0114371
64316
0.450222
63272.6
0.0163795
64309
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0.5621
0.6436
0.5748
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0.0478
0.6667
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0.2654
0.45
0.55
1
7
1
0.4808
0.5203
5.3458
0.55
1.5872
2.8618
0.2654
0.7305
0.2291
0.58
0.0211
0.5258
0.5269
0.738
0.5748
-3.5794
4.8394
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:08 | 0.33340000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:14 | 0.33346000 | +0.018% |
| 3 | 15:50 | 0.33308000 | -0.096% |
| 4 | 15:56 | 0.33243000 | -0.291% |
| 5 | 16:03 | 0.33239000 | -0.303% |
| 6 | 16:08 | 0.33239000 | -0.303% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 13:25:00 | 0.33698 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:40:00 | 0.33989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:55:00 | 0.33989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:40:00 | 0.33711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 14:55:00 | 0.33927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:05:00 | 0.33927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:50:00 | 0.33885 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:50:00 | 0.3358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:20:00 | 0.33803 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:05:00 | 0.33315 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 0.3302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:45:00 | 0.33241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:30:00 | 0.33574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 0.33267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.33967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 0.33514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:15:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 0.33698 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 0.33315 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33145 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.32969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.3284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.32231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.33394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 0.33341 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3334 | 0.3324 | 0.3353 | 1.9 | 0.4549 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3324 - 0.3334 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3334 - 0.3353 = -0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0019 / -0.001 = 1.9
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2801.975 | 100 | 8404.2441 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001 = -8000
Taille de position USD = -8000 x 0.3334 = -2667.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -8000 avec un stoploss a 0.3324
Avec un position size USD de -2667.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8000 x -0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8000 x -0.0019 = 15.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8.4 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.4 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3209 % | 107 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3334 | 0.3324 | 0.3353 | 1.9 | 0.4549 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3324 - 0.3334 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3334 - 0.3353 = -0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0019 / -0.001 = 1.9
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.264% | 0.9R | -0.429% | 1.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.384% | 1.3R | -0.456% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.402% | 1.3R | -0.456% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.975% | 3.3R | -1.695% | 5.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.975% | 3.3R | -1.695% | 5.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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