Long Trade on VIRTUAL (CatchTheWave)
With 4293.6 VIRTUAL at 0.574$ per unit. Take profit: 0.578 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5724 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on VIRTUAL (CatchTheWave)
With 4293.6 VIRTUAL at 0.574$ per unit. Take profit: 0.578 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5724 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 0.5742$
Qty 4293.5961 VIRTUAL
Size 2465.5546$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 0.578 (+0.66%)
TP $ 16.32$
SL 0.5724 (-0.31%)
SL $ 7.73$
RR 2.11
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8184
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 6.65×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.12×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.386794 15m : 0.459176 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5117 | r1h: -0.441% · r4h: -1.873% · r1d: 3.42% · r3d: 3.12% · ema21_slope: 0.1805% · dist_ema21: 1.180% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4669 | rs_1h: -0.346% · rs_4h: -2.131% · rs_1d: 1.44% · rs_3d: 0.93% · beta_24h: 1.219 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3827 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: 0.080 · trend: 72.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7563 | ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 25.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.984% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.733% | 2.3R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 70.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.733% | 2.3R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 70.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.742% | 5.6R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 167.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.742% | 5.6R | -1.214% | 3.9R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.742% | 5.6R | -1.214% | 3.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.65 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.12 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.52 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.84% | -0.03 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.45 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.48% | +0.20 | 17/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -1.7ATR | — | — | bull_low | +1.11% | -0.10 | 17/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.092×ATR | p0 | +0.363×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.501×ATR | p13 | +1.222×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.522×ATR | p47 | +0.979×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.073×ATR | p83 | -0.321×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64053.2
0.00299416
64245
0.386794
63651.4
0.00932574
64245
0.459176
63291.1
0.0153084
64260
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 23:00:00
[1] => 0.5558
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 02:00:00
[1] => 0.56573
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:00:00
[1] => 0.56482
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 12:00:00
[1] => 0.55743
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 17:00:00
[1] => 0.56974
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 01:00:00
[1] => 0.551
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 11:00:00
[1] => 0.56212
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 21:00:00
[1] => 0.54878
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[1] => 0.59063
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:00:00
[1] => 0.57413
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.661564769822
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.13585773256928
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8739135735809
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 02:45:00
[1] => 0.56028
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 04:45:00
[1] => 0.55931
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 06:00:00
[1] => 0.55608
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:30:00
[1] => 0.56468
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 10:15:00
[1] => 0.55715
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 12:00:00
[1] => 0.55875
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[1] => 0.59063
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:30:00
[1] => 0.57596
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:45:00
[1] => 0.58052
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 0.5739
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0817887411287
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.059243770691759
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1535110646454
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 14:30:00
[1] => 0.57421
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:00:00
[1] => 0.58128
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:20:00
[1] => 0.57731
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[1] => 0.59063
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:30:00
[1] => 0.57596
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:10:00
[1] => 0.5769
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:15:00
[1] => 0.58026
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:50:00
[1] => 0.58052
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:20:00
[1] => 0.57569
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:05:00
[1] => 0.5739
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0817887411287
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.059243770691759
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.31190102805368
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.59063
195
0.7085
0.6362
0.3546
0.292
0.4058
1
0.1977
0.5991
0.6217
0.904
0.6814
0.4921
0.147
0.0896
1
0.7842
1.6471
0.4
0.6
1
4
1
0.416
0.5027
5.4647
0.6
4.4462
8.4405
1.6471
0
0.2142
0.84
0.9103
0.7203
0.5356
0.8102
0.4921
-4.6151
4.4713
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 14:30:00 | 0.57421 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 0.58128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:20:00 | 0.57731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.59063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:30:00 | 0.57596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:10:00 | 0.5769 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:15:00 | 0.58026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 18:50:00 | 0.58052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:20:00 | 0.57569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 20:05:00 | 0.5739 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 0.56028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:45:00 | 0.55931 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.55608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:30:00 | 0.56468 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:15:00 | 0.55715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.55875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.59063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:30:00 | 0.57596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:45:00 | 0.58052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 0.5739 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 23:00:00 | 0.5558 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 0.56573 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.56482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 0.55743 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 0.56974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 0.551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:00:00 | 0.56212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 0.54878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.59063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 0.57413 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5742 | 0.5724 | 0.578 | 2.11 | 0.6658 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5724 - 0.5742 = -0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5742 - 0.578 = -0.0037999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0037999999999999 / -0.0018 = 2.1111
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2465.5546 | 100 | 4293.5961 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0018 = -4444.44
Taille de position USD = -4444.44 x 0.5742 = -2552
Donc, tu peux acheter -4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.5724
Avec un position size USD de -2552$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0037999999999999 = 16.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.89$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 16.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 7.73 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.32 $ | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0104 % | 3.32 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5742 | 0.5724 | 0.578 | 2.11 | 0.6658 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5724 - 0.5742 = -0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5742 - 0.578 = -0.0037999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0037999999999999 / -0.0018 = 2.1111
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5778
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 20:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5787
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5796
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5805
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5814
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5823
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5832
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5841
[stop_loss] => 0.5724
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.733% | 2.3R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 70.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.733% | 2.3R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 70.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.742% | 5.6R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 167.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.742% | 5.6R | -1.214% | 3.9R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.742% | 5.6R | -1.214% | 3.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.