Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 45.43 AAVE at 87.662$ per unit. Take profit: 88.0142 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 87.4859 (0.2 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 45.43 AAVE at 87.662$ per unit. Take profit: 88.0142 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 87.4859 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 87.662$
Qty 45.4348 AAVE
Size 3982.9011$ (margin 100$) (leverage 40)
Risk Setup
TP 88.0142 (+0.4%)
TP $ 16$
SL 87.4859 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6908
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.77×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.69×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.487019 15m : 0.574318 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 17/08 15:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5166 | r1h: -0.309% · r4h: -0.195% · r1d: 1.26% · r3d: 1.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0667% · dist_ema21: 0.944% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4700 | rs_1h: -0.214% · rs_4h: -0.454% · rs_1d: -0.72% · rs_3d: -0.32% · beta_24h: 1.471 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2910 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.396 · trend: 38.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6778 | ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 35.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.786% | 3.9R | -0.015% | 0.1R | 53.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.532% | 7.6R | -0.015% | 0.1R | 103.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.112% | 10.5R | -0.015% | 0.1R | 142.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.112% | 10.5R | -0.088% | 0.4R | 24.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.112% | 10.5R | -0.088% | 0.4R | 24.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.89 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.51 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.84% | -0.01 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.65 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.48% | -0.00 | 17/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.4ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | bull_low | +1.11% | +0.02 | 17/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 4.051×ATR | p60 | -0.627×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 2.734×ATR | p13 | +1.042×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.058×ATR | p0 | +1.416×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.534×ATR | p3 | +1.192×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64055.2
0.00325932
64264
0.487019
63651.7
0.00961827
64264
0.574318
63291.1
0.0153084
64260
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 22:00:00
[1] => 85.257
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:00:00
[1] => 87.231
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 12:00:00
[1] => 86.062
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 16:00:00
[1] => 87.187
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 13:00:00
[1] => 85.599
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:00:00
[1] => 87.274
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 85.274
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 03:00:00
[1] => 86.984
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 08:00:00
[1] => 85.679
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[1] => 88.491
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.85997446067961
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3938187887347
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2820177639795
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 03:00:00
[1] => 86.984
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 04:45:00
[1] => 86.896
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 06:45:00
[1] => 86.72
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 08:45:00
[1] => 85.679
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 11:45:00
[1] => 86.821
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 12:00:00
[1] => 86.309
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[1] => 88.491
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:45:00
[1] => 87.605
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:00:00
[1] => 88.196
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 87.629
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60546963581114
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.037658765933654
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.64704606922365
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:05:00
[1] => 88.491
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:20:00
[1] => 87.688
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:55:00
[1] => 87.605
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:20:00
[1] => 88.061
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:50:00
[1] => 87.982
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:10:00
[1] => 87.808
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:00:00
[1] => 88.196
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:20:00
[1] => 87.826
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:40:00
[1] => 88.059
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:05:00
[1] => 87.629
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45083409986485
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.037658765933654
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.49070513186273
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
88.491
195
0.7044
0.6266
0.3582
0.3001
0.4058
1
0.2764
0.5739
0.6126
0.7055
0.6292
0.5904
0.1716
0.0871
1
1.0753
1.7238
0.4
0.6
1
4
1
0.3999
0.462
4.781
0.65
2.1548
5.9683
1.7238
0.1778
0.2177
0.78
0.0562
0.574
0.5197
0.6559
0.5904
-3.5781
5.1578
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 16:05:00 | 88.491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:20:00 | 87.688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:55:00 | 87.605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:20:00 | 88.061 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:50:00 | 87.982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 18:10:00 | 87.808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 88.196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:20:00 | 87.826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:40:00 | 88.059 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:05:00 | 87.629 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 86.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:45:00 | 86.896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 86.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 86.821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 86.309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 88.491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:45:00 | 87.605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 88.196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 87.629 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 85.257 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 87.231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 86.062 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 87.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 85.599 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 87.274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 85.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 86.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 88.491 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.662 | 87.4859 | 88.0142 | 2 | 155.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 87.4859 - 87.662 = -0.17610000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 87.662 - 88.0142 = -0.3522
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3522 / -0.17610000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3982.9011 | 100 | 45.4348 | 40.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.17610000000001 = -45.43
Taille de position USD = -45.43 x 87.662 = -3982.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -45.43 avec un stoploss a 87.4859
Avec un position size USD de -3982.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -45.43 x -0.17610000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -45.43 x -0.3522 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0148 % | 7.37 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.662 | 87.4859 | 88.0142 | 2 | 155.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 87.4859 - 87.662 = -0.17610000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 87.662 - 88.0142 = -0.3522
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3522 / -0.17610000000001 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.0142
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 20:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.10225
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 20:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.1903
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 20:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.27835
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 20:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.3664
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.45445
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.5425
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.63055
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.7186
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.80665
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88.8947
[stop_loss] => 87.4859
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.786% | 3.9R | -0.015% | 0.1R | 53.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.532% | 7.6R | -0.015% | 0.1R | 103.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.112% | 10.5R | -0.015% | 0.1R | 142.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.112% | 10.5R | -0.088% | 0.4R | 24.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.112% | 10.5R | -0.088% | 0.4R | 24.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.