Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 9918.3 ONDO at 0.332$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3341 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3317 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 9918.3 ONDO at 0.332$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3341 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3317 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.3325$
Qty 9918.298 ONDO
Size 3297.6357$ (margin 100$) (leverage 33)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3341 (+0.48%)
TP $ 15.87$
SL 0.3317 (-0.24%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6578
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.22×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.514501 15m : 0.457754 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 17/08 15:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4964 | r1h: -0.075% · r4h: -1.504% · r1d: 0.42% · r3d: 2.84% · ema21_slope: 0.0746% · dist_ema21: -0.601% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4501 | rs_1h: 0.020% · rs_4h: -1.763% · rs_1d: -1.56% · rs_3d: 0.66% · beta_24h: 0.744 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2249 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.336 · trend: -14.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6130 | ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.775% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.659% | 2.7R | -0.187% | 0.8R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.674% | 2.8R | -0.187% | 0.8R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.248% | 5.2R | -0.187% | 0.8R | 6.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.248% | 5.2R | -1.429% | 5.9R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.248% | 5.2R | -1.429% | 5.9R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.96 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.84% | -0.03 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.48% | -0.14 | 17/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | — | bull_low | +1.11% | -0.18 | 17/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 5.354×ATR | p75 | -1.011×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.295×ATR | p12 | +0.203×ATR | p10 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.459×ATR | p70 | -0.731×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.697×ATR | p66 | -2.15×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64055.2
0.00325932
64264
0.514501
63651.7
0.00961827
64264
0.457754
63291.1
0.0153084
64260
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 21:00:00
[1] => 0.32135
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 03:00:00
[1] => 0.33145
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3254
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.32969
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 00:00:00
[1] => 0.3284
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 02:00:00
[1] => 0.32231
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 15:00:00
[1] => 0.33394
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 0.32633
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 12:00:00
[1] => 0.34233
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 0.33233
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8802617357521
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.042126801673028
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0090572623597
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 19:15:00
[1] => 0.3302
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 19:45:00
[1] => 0.33241
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 0.32633
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 02:30:00
[1] => 0.33574
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 03:45:00
[1] => 0.33267
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 07:00:00
[1] => 0.33967
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:15:00
[1] => 0.33514
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 12:15:00
[1] => 0.34233
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 13:15:00
[1] => 0.33698
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 0.33197
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.877340577805
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15362833991024
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5091725155888
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 13:55:00
[1] => 0.33989
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 14:40:00
[1] => 0.33711
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 14:55:00
[1] => 0.33927
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:05:00
[1] => 0.33927
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:50:00
[1] => 0.33885
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:50:00
[1] => 0.3358
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:20:00
[1] => 0.33803
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:05:00
[1] => 0.33315
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:25:00
[1] => 0.33428
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:05:00
[1] => 0.33197
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53847074308963
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15362833991024
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69584601018165
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.34233
191
0.5224
0.6091
0.3228
0.2783
0.3592
1
0.3483
0.4794
0.6441
0.4517
0.6267
0.53
-0.0634
0.0268
0.3333
-1.1462
-0.105
0.45
0.55
1
8
1
0.4434
0.5203
5.3458
0.5
1.5872
2.8618
-0.105
0.7305
0.1878
0.54
-0.1084
0.5371
0.5271
0.5937
0.53
-4.163
4.695
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 13:55:00 | 0.33989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:40:00 | 0.33711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 14:55:00 | 0.33927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:05:00 | 0.33927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:50:00 | 0.33885 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:50:00 | 0.3358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:20:00 | 0.33803 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:05:00 | 0.33315 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:25:00 | 0.33428 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:05:00 | 0.33197 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 0.3302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:45:00 | 0.33241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:30:00 | 0.33574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 0.33267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.33967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 0.33514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:15:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 0.33698 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 0.33197 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33145 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.32969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.3284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.32231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.33394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 0.33233 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3325 | 0.3317 | 0.3341 | 2 | 0.4527 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3317 - 0.3325 = -0.00080000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3325 - 0.3341 = -0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0016 / -0.00080000000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3297.6357 | 100 | 9918.298 | 33.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00080000000000002 = -10000
Taille de position USD = -10000 x 0.3325 = -3325
Donc, tu peux acheter -10000 avec un stoploss a 0.3317
Avec un position size USD de -3325$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10000 x -0.00080000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10000 x -0.0016 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 15.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.87 $ | 0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1865 % | 77.51 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3325 | 0.3317 | 0.3341 | 2 | 0.4527 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3317 - 0.3325 = -0.00080000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3325 - 0.3341 = -0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0016 / -0.00080000000000002 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3341
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 20:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3345
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3349
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3353
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3357
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3361
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3365
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 23:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3369
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3373
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3377
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3381
[stop_loss] => 0.3317
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.659% | 2.7R | -0.187% | 0.8R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.674% | 2.8R | -0.187% | 0.8R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.248% | 5.2R | -0.187% | 0.8R | 6.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.248% | 5.2R | -1.429% | 5.9R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.248% | 5.2R | -1.429% | 5.9R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.