Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 148.1 MORPHO at 2.111$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1633 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0565 (2.56 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 17:10:07
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 17:10
→ 20:55
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 2.1105$
Qty 148.1022 MORPHO
Size 312.5697$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.1633 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.82$
SL 2.0565 (-2.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.98
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +7.82$
MAE -0.76%
MFE +3.41%
1.3R
expires
17 Aug 23:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72666)
#3 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 17:00
score du 17/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9661
Quality Score
0.648
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 17:02
17/08 17:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.41×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.35×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1600
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 17:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6475
Score SMA
0.5240
Rank
#3
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9661
Rank Norm SMA
0.4823
Calculé le
17/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6736 | r1h: 0.461% · r4h: -0.372% · r1d: 5.20% · r3d: 9.72% · ema21_slope: 0.2442% · dist_ema21: 1.704% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5973 | rs_1h: 0.331% · rs_4h: -0.804% · rs_1d: 3.09% · rs_3d: 7.38% · beta_24h: 1.212 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2651 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.579 · trend: 27.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9538 | ADX: 54.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.084% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.559%
(0.0540)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.697% | 0.3R | -0.265% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.697% | 0.3R | -0.336% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.336% | 0.1R | 10.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.758% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.758% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.758% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.99
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.40 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.68% | +0.61 | 17/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.27 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.50% | +0.32 | 17/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.13 | bull_low | +1.09% | -0.05 | 17/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.103×ATR | p11 | +2.034×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.897×ATR | p0 | +2.491×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.462×ATR | p48 | +1.035×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.543×ATR | p30 | -0.197×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1105 | 2.0565 | 2.1633 | 0.98 | 2.3904 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1105
- Stop Loss: 2.0565
- Take Profit: 2.1633
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0565 - 2.1105 = -0.054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1105 - 2.1633 = -0.0528
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0528 / -0.054 = 0.9778
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 312.5697 | 100 | 148.1022 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.054
Taille de position = 8 / -0.054 = -148.15
Taille de position USD = -148.15 x 2.1105 = -312.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -148.15 avec un stoploss a 2.0565
Avec un position size USD de -312.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -148.15 x -0.054 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -148.15 x -0.0528 = 7.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.82$
Résumé
- Taille de position -148.15
- Taille de position USD -312.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.82
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9778
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.82 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.82 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3364 % | 13.15 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1105 | 2.0565 | 2.1633 | 0.98 | 2.3904 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1105
- Stop Loss: 2.0565
- Take Profit: 2.1633
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0565 - 2.1105 = -0.054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1105 - 2.1633 = -0.0528
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0528 / -0.054 = 0.9778
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.559%
(0.0540)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.697% | 0.3R | -0.265% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.697% | 0.3R | -0.336% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.336% | 0.1R | 10.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.758% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.758% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.412% | 1.3R | -0.758% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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