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Long Trade on SOL

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17 Aug 2026 at 17:18:32 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 18.37 SOL at 75.914$ per unit. Take profit: 77.0028 (1.43 %) & Stop Loss: 75.4785 (0.57 %)

SOL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 17:18 → 22:10 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 75.914$

Qty 18.3685 SOL

Size 1394.4292$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)

Risk Setup

TP 77.0028 (+1.43%)

TP $ 20$

SL 75.4785 (-0.57%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.57% / -8$ MAE -0.98% MFE +0.39% 0.7R expires 18 Aug 05:18

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 72633)
#13 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6287

Quality Score
0.548
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
99.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 17:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#13 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.57 % TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.57 % TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.04×ATR
4h clear 1.81×ATR
1d clear 0.51×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1)

17/08 17:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

17/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

17/08 16:00

Score : -3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1600
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical bull expansion — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.92
Snapshot évalué : 17/08 17:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 17/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5478
Score SMA
0.5108
Rank
#13 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6287
Rank Norm SMA
0.4913
Calculé le
17/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5330 r1h: 0.312% · r4h: 0.051% · r1d: 1.33% · r3d: 1.20% · ema21_slope: 0.0407% · dist_ema21: 0.474%
Force Relative 25% 0.4806 rs_1h: 0.182% · rs_4h: -0.381% · rs_1d: -0.77% · rs_3d: -1.14% · beta_24h: 1.154
Volume 20% 0.4966 rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: 0.880 · trend: 43.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4565 ADX: 12.0 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.438% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.574% (0.4355)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.086% 0.2R -0.166% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +0.086% 0.2R -0.302% 0.5R 0.3× 24
4h +0.244% 0.4R -0.302% 0.5R 0.8× 48
8h +0.244% 0.4R -0.981% 1.7R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +0.387% 0.7R -0.981% 1.7R 0.4× 144
24h +1.929% 3.4R -0.981% 1.7R 2.0× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 30% early — — 0.87 bear_high -3.14% +0.22 16/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression range_high
37%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.80 range_medium +0.68% -0.18 17/08 16:00
1h ↑ up range bullish_transition moderate explosive expansion_after_compression range_medium
39%
noisy_chop 45% early — near 0.0ATR 0.71 bull_low_confirmed +1.50% -0.04 17/08 16:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression range_low
37%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.71 bull_low +1.04% -0.05 17/08 17:00
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 16b — 2.575×ATR p0 +0.388×ATR p26
4h ↑ up early 6b — 2.687×ATR p19 +0.281×ATR p19
1h ↓ down early 5b — 0.559×ATR p0 +1.011×ATR p58
15m ↑ up early 3b — 2.346×ATR p23 +0.854×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7935
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.30×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 75.4784727
  5. tp_price: 77.00281826
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79351147377955
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-18T09:18:24.266641
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79351147377955
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.187
  10. obi_top10 : 0.187
  11. micro_price : 75.89188677
  12. spread_pct : 0.001318
  13. mid_price : 75.8915
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 76
  18. ask_wall_size : 107923.42
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.1358
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0465
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7024
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    75.882
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    75.1395
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    75.51075
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1786874400
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1787000400
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.3004
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    36
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7935
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1786996800
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    75.882
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.6667
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.0991
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    8
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    7
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.32277302
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0991

Signaux confirmants (10)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:18 75.91400000 0%
2 17:24 75.91400000 0%
3 17:30 75.91400000 0%
4 17:36 75.89500000 -0.025%
5 17:42 75.89500000 -0.025%
6 17:48 75.91500000 +0.001%
7 17:54 75.91500000 +0.001%
8 18:00 75.91500000 +0.001%
9 18:06 75.89300000 -0.028%
10 18:12 75.89300000 -0.028%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7024ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.187
avg 0.136 ± 0.047
OBI Top 10 0.187

Microstructure

Mid Price
75.8915
Micro Price
75.8919
Spread
0.0013%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
76.0000
Size
107,923.42

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
75.914 75.4785 77.0028 2.5 104.14
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 75.914
  • Stop Loss: 75.4785
  • Take Profit: 77.0028

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 75.4785 - 75.914 = -0.4355

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 75.914 - 77.0028 = -1.0888

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0888 / -0.4355 = 2.5001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1394.4292 100 18.3685 14.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.4355

Taille de position = 8 / -0.4355 = -18.37

Taille de position USD = -18.37 x 75.914 = -1394.54

Donc, tu peux acheter -18.37 avec un stoploss a 75.4785

Avec un position size USD de -1394.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -18.37 x -0.4355 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -18.37 x -1.0888 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -18.37
  • Taille de position USD -1394.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.43 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.57 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6139 % 107.01 % 16
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
75.914 75.4785 77.0028 2.5 104.14
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 75.914
  • Stop Loss: 75.4785
  • Take Profit: 77.0028

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 75.4785 - 75.914 = -0.4355

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 75.914 - 77.0028 = -1.0888

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0888 / -0.4355 = 2.5001

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 77.0028
            [entry_price] => 75.914
            [stop_loss] => 75.43495
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 77.0028
            [entry_price] => 75.914
            [stop_loss] => 75.3914
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 77.0028
            [entry_price] => 75.914
            [stop_loss] => 75.34785
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 77.0028
            [entry_price] => 75.914
            [stop_loss] => 75.26075
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.574% (0.4355)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.086% 0.2R -0.166% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +0.086% 0.2R -0.302% 0.5R 0.3× 24
4h +0.244% 0.4R -0.302% 0.5R 0.8× 48
8h +0.244% 0.4R -0.981% 1.7R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +0.387% 0.7R -0.981% 1.7R 0.4× 144
24h +1.929% 3.4R -0.981% 1.7R 2.0× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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