Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1584.9 SUI at 0.672$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6598 (1.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6774 (0.74 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 19:07:08
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 19:07
→ 22:55
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.6724$
Qty 1584.8959 SUI
Size 1065.684$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6598 (+1.87%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.6774 (-0.74%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.52
Status
win
PnL
+1.87%
/ +19.97$
MAE -0.64%
MFE +5.48%
7.4R
expires
18 Aug 07:07
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72737)
#46 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 19:00
score du 17/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0651
Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 19:00
17/08 19:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#46 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.74 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.74 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.68×ATR |
| 1d | near | -4.16×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 17/08 19:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 17/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 17/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1602
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 19:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4296
Score SMA
0.5110
Rank
#46
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0651
Rank Norm SMA
0.4796
Calculé le
17/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4743 | r1h: -0.485% · r4h: -0.529% · r1d: 0.42% · r3d: -0.64% · ema21_slope: 0.0025% · dist_ema21: -0.450% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4316 | rs_1h: -0.370% · rs_4h: -0.336% · rs_1d: -1.76% · rs_3d: -2.87% · beta_24h: 1.052 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1729 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.407 · trend: -55.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2989 | ADX: 11.6 (weak) · Chop: 75.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.473% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.744%
(0.0050)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | near -4.2ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.27 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.70 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.80% | -0.22 | 17/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | weak | grind | compression | bear_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.61 | bull_low | +1.30% | -0.21 | 17/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -1.2ATR | — | — | bull_low | +0.78% | -0.05 | 17/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 44b | — | 4.879×ATR | p69 | -0.657×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 1.852×ATR | p0 | -0.395×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.954×ATR | p23 | -1.009×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.165×ATR | p81 | -1.755×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8465
- reason: down_bo width=2.42×ATR dur=53b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.67744765
- tp_price: 0.65978088
- atr:
- score: 0.84646738123427
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T11:07:00.713944
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.84646738123427
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0632
- obi_top10 : 0.0872
- micro_price : 0.67230685
- spread_pct : 0.014874
- mid_price : 0.67235
- bid_wall_price : 0.671
- bid_wall_size : 1000144.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0632
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7057
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.68086
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.67342
- balance_zone_mid:
0.67714
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786820400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787007600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4183
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
53
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8465
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787004000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.67342
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8302
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3315
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00307649 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.8302
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3315
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:07 | 0.67240000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:13 | 0.67240000 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:07 | 0.67084000 | -0.232% |
| 4 | 22:13 | 0.67084000 | -0.232% |
| 5 | 22:19 | 0.67001000 | -0.355% |
| 6 | 22:24 | 0.67001000 | -0.355% |
| 7 | 22:31 | 0.67001000 | -0.355% |
| 8 | 22:37 | 0.67000000 | -0.357% |
| 9 | 22:42 | 0.67000000 | -0.357% |
| 10 | 22:49 | 0.66824000 | -0.619% |
| 11 | 22:55 | 0.66824000 | -0.619% |
| 12 | 23:01 | 0.66824000 | -0.619% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7057ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.063
avg 0.063
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.087
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6724
Micro Price
0.6723
Spread
0.0149%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6710
Size
1,000,144.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6724 | 0.6774 | 0.6598 | 2.52 | 0.9766 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6724
- Stop Loss: 0.6774
- Take Profit: 0.6598
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6774 - 0.6724 = 0.005
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6724 - 0.6598 = 0.0126
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0126 / 0.005 = 2.52
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1065.684 | 100 | 1584.8959 | 11.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.005
Taille de position = 8 / 0.005 = 1600
Taille de position USD = 1600 x 0.6724 = 1075.84
Donc, tu peux acheter 1600 avec un stoploss a 0.6774
Avec un position size USD de 1075.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1600 x 0.005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1600 x 0.0126 = 20.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.16$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1600
- Taille de position USD 1075.84
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.52
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.87 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.97 $ | 1.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.638 % | 85.8 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6724 | 0.6774 | 0.6598 | 2.52 | 0.9766 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6724
- Stop Loss: 0.6774
- Take Profit: 0.6598
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6774 - 0.6724 = 0.005
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6724 - 0.6598 = 0.0126
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0126 / 0.005 = 2.52
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6624
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6599
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6574
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6549
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6524
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6499
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6474
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6449
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6424
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6399
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6374
[stop_loss] => 0.6774
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.744%
(0.0050)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.485% | 7.4R | -0.638% | 0.9R | 8.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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