Short Trade on ENA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7110.1 ENA at 0.0826$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07976 (3.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0837 (1.37 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 19:09:16
hyperliquid
ENA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 19:09
→ 07:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.08257$
Qty 7110.0999 ENA
Size 587.1094$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07976 (+3.4%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.0837 (-1.37%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-0.62%
/ -3.65$
MAE -1.07%
MFE +1.24%
0.9R
expires
18 Aug 07:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72758)
#31 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 19:00
score du 17/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3542
Quality Score
0.474
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 19:01
17/08 19:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#31 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#31 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.97×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 17/08 19:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 17/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 17/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1602
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 19:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4742
Score SMA
0.5033
Rank
#31
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3542
Rank Norm SMA
0.4294
Calculé le
17/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4469 | r1h: -0.898% · r4h: -0.573% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -1.20% · ema21_slope: -0.0069% · dist_ema21: -0.825% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4023 | rs_1h: -0.783% · rs_4h: -0.380% · rs_1d: -2.28% · rs_3d: -3.44% · beta_24h: 1.752 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4448 | rvol_20: 1.28× · zscore_50: 0.501 · trend: 14.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3375 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 73.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.875% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.369%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.844% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.243% | 0.9R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.243% | 0.9R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.243% | 0.9R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.243% | 0.9R | -3.601% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.83
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.7ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.10 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.54 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.80% | -0.23 | 17/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bull_low | +1.30% | -0.24 | 17/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_low_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | — | bull_low | +0.78% | -0.06 | 17/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 3.27×ATR | p22 | -0.71×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.842×ATR | p0 | -0.665×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.967×ATR | p34 | -0.922×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.54×ATR | p65 | -2.265×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8773
- reason: down_bo width=2.55×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.08369916
- tp_price: 0.0797611
- atr:
- score: 0.87729381235095
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T11:09:08.784632
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87729381235095
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0126
- obi_top10 : 0.1505
- micro_price : 0.08259265
- spread_pct : 0.012108
- mid_price : 0.082595
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0828
- ask_wall_size : 4016982
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0134
- obi_top5_std : 0.0005
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6998
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0845
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.082762
- balance_zone_mid:
0.083631
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786860000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787007600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5499
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8773
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787004000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.082762
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8095
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2758
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0006816 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.8095
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2758
Signaux confirmants (33)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:09 | 0.08257400 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 19:15 | 0.08257400 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 22:09 | 0.08273300 | +0.197% |
| 4 | 22:15 | 0.08273300 | +0.197% |
| 5 | 22:21 | 0.08259200 | +0.027% |
| 6 | 22:27 | 0.08259200 | +0.027% |
| 7 | 22:34 | 0.08259200 | +0.027% |
| 8 | 22:39 | 0.08217400 | -0.48% |
| 9 | 22:45 | 0.08217400 | -0.48% |
| 10 | 22:51 | 0.08193500 | -0.769% |
| 11 | 22:57 | 0.08193500 | -0.769% |
| 12 | 23:04 | 0.08193500 | -0.769% |
| 13 | 23:09 | 0.08182900 | -0.897% |
| 14 | 23:15 | 0.08182900 | -0.897% |
| 15 | 23:20 | 0.08169200 | -1.063% |
| 16 | 23:26 | 0.08169200 | -1.063% |
| 17 | 23:33 | 0.08169200 | -1.063% |
| 18 | 23:38 | 0.08182900 | -0.897% |
| 19 | 23:44 | 0.08182900 | -0.897% |
| 20 | 23:50 | 0.08211000 | -0.557% |
| 21 | 23:56 | 0.08211000 | -0.557% |
| 22 | 00:04 | 0.08211000 | -0.557% |
| 23 | 00:09 | 0.08215000 | -0.509% |
| 24 | 00:15 | 0.08215000 | -0.509% |
| 25 | 00:21 | 0.08241800 | -0.184% |
| 26 | 00:27 | 0.08241800 | -0.184% |
| 27 | 00:33 | 0.08241800 | -0.184% |
| 28 | 00:39 | 0.08257100 | +0.001% |
| 29 | 00:45 | 0.08257100 | +0.001% |
| 30 | 00:51 | 0.08239600 | -0.211% |
| 31 | 00:57 | 0.08239600 | -0.211% |
| 32 | 01:04 | 0.08239600 | -0.211% |
| 33 | 01:09 | 0.08243700 | -0.161% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6998ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.013
avg 0.013
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.151
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0826
Micro Price
0.0826
Spread
0.0121%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0828
Size
4,016,982.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08257 | 0.0837 | 0.07976 | 2.49 | 0.188 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08257
- Stop Loss: 0.0837
- Take Profit: 0.07976
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0837 - 0.08257 = 0.00113
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08257 - 0.07976 = 0.00281
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00281 / 0.00113 = 2.4867
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 587.1094 | 100 | 7110.0999 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00113
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00113 = 7079.65
Taille de position USD = 7079.65 x 0.08257 = 584.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 7079.65 avec un stoploss a 0.0837
Avec un position size USD de 584.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7079.65 x 0.00113 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7079.65 x 0.00281 = 19.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.89$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7079.65
- Taille de position USD 584.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.89
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4867
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.4 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.37 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.65 $ | -0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0718 % | 78.32 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08257 | 0.0837 | 0.07976 | 2.49 | 0.188 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08257
- Stop Loss: 0.0837
- Take Profit: 0.07976
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0837 - 0.08257 = 0.00113
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08257 - 0.07976 = 0.00281
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00281 / 0.00113 = 2.4867
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.369%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.844% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.243% | 0.9R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.243% | 0.9R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.243% | 0.9R | -1.072% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.243% | 0.9R | -3.601% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.