Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 503.93 MORPHO at 2.096$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1279 (1.52 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0802 (0.76 %)
Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 503.93 MORPHO at 2.096$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1279 (1.52 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0802 (0.76 %)
Position
Entry 2.0961$
Qty 503.9284 MORPHO
Size 1056.2844$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 2.1279 (+1.52%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 2.0802 (-0.76%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9661
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.69×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.45×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.246801 15m : 0.114167 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7083 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.19% · r3d: 8.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1956% · dist_ema21: 7.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6296 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.36% · rs_3d: 6.55% · beta_24h: 0.421 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1585 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.622 · trend: -57.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4789 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6656 | ATR%: 4.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7305 | r1h: 0.962% · r4h: 1.388% · r1d: 7.31% · r3d: 10.12% · ema21_slope: 0.2087% · dist_ema21: 2.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7064 | rs_1h: 1.175% · rs_4h: 1.385% · rs_1d: 4.98% · rs_3d: 7.97% · beta_24h: 0.854 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8007 | rvol_20: 2.43× · zscore_50: 2.217 · trend: 57.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9142 | ADX: 56.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.048% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7119 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.208% · r1d: 4.74% · r3d: 9.32% · ema21_slope: 0.3464% · dist_ema21: 4.572% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6561 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.377% · rs_1d: 3.19% · rs_3d: 7.18% · beta_24h: 1.492 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2618 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.640 · trend: 28.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8518 | ADX: 42.2 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.498% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.264% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.264% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.293% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.304% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +4.709% | 6.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -2.94% | +0.55 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.72 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | bull_low | +1.17% | +0.34 | 17/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.13 | range_low | +0.55% | +0.07 | 17/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.394×ATR | p21 | +2.09×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 6.848×ATR | p100 | +3.152×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.956×ATR | p26 | +1.698×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 4.273×ATR | p78 | -0.31×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64308.3
-0.00275792
64131
0.246801
63892.4
0.0045639
64184
0.114167
63443.1
0.0125922
64242
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 00:00:00
[1] => 1.9581
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 10:00:00
[1] => 1.9679
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:00:00
[1] => 1.9379
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 00:00:00
[1] => 1.9668
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 01:00:00
[1] => 1.9512
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:00:00
[1] => 2.0098
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 1.9785
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:00:00
[1] => 2.111
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:00:00
[1] => 2.1656
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:00:00
[1] => 2.1825
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.7491408934708
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2782410917362
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 27
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.78038418913927
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 10:45:00
[1] => 2.1093
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 11:15:00
[1] => 2.0738
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 13:00:00
[1] => 2.0716
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:15:00
[1] => 2.1656
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:15:00
[1] => 2.1425
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:15:00
[1] => 2.128
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:45:00
[1] => 2.0974
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:00:00
[1] => 2.1252
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:45:00
[1] => 2.1034
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:00:00
[1] => 2.1825
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.7308132875143
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92707045735475
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7605781116288
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:40:00
[1] => 2.1171
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 21:45:00
[1] => 2.1049
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:05:00
[1] => 2.1252
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:20:00
[1] => 2.1112
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:40:00
[1] => 2.1232
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:55:00
[1] => 2.1034
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:10:00
[1] => 2.1204
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:25:00
[1] => 2.1146
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:00:00
[1] => 2.1825
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:55:00
[1] => 2.0945
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.9587628865979
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.076390546669841
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2014800668417
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
2.0974
193
0.7761
0.6141
0.4179
0.2107
0.5875
0.7255
0.2688
0.6048
0.7648
0.988
0.6498
0.78
0.1131
0.1038
1
0.7319
2.2263
0.75
0.25
1
10
1
0.5787
0.4192
4.0736
0.75
0.7255
2.9554
2.2263
0
0.2959
0.98
1.0847
0.5295
0.5932
0.8943
0.78
-1.9296
6.8403
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:57 | 2.09610000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:16 | 2.10580000 | +0.463% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 20:40:00 | 2.1171 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 21:45:00 | 2.1049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:05:00 | 2.1252 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:20:00 | 2.1112 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:40:00 | 2.1232 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:55:00 | 2.1034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:10:00 | 2.1204 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:25:00 | 2.1146 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 2.1825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:55:00 | 2.0945 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 10:45:00 | 2.1093 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:15:00 | 2.0738 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:00:00 | 2.0716 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:15:00 | 2.1656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:15:00 | 2.1425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:15:00 | 2.128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:45:00 | 2.0974 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:00:00 | 2.1252 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:45:00 | 2.1034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 2.1825 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 1.9581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 1.9679 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 1.9379 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 1.9668 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 1.9512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 2.0098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.9785 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 2.111 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 2.1656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 2.1825 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0961 | 2.0802 | 2.1279 | 2 | 2.357 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0802 - 2.0961 = -0.0159
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0961 - 2.1279 = -0.0318
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0318 / -0.0159 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1056.2844 | 100 | 503.9284 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0159 = -503.14
Taille de position USD = -503.14 x 2.0961 = -1054.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -503.14 avec un stoploss a 2.0802
Avec un position size USD de -1054.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -503.14 x -0.0159 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -503.14 x -0.0318 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.52 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0961 | 2.0802 | 2.1279 | 2 | 2.357 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0802 - 2.0961 = -0.0159
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0961 - 2.1279 = -0.0318
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0318 / -0.0159 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.1279
[stop_loss] => 2.0802
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 06:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.264% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.264% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.293% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.304% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +4.709% | 6.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.