Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 35.26 AAVE at 88.276$ per unit. Take profit: 88.7297 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 88.0491 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 35.26 AAVE at 88.276$ per unit. Take profit: 88.7297 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 88.0491 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 88.276$
Qty 35.2626 AAVE
Size 3112.8409$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 88.7297 (+0.51%)
TP $ 16$
SL 88.0491 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8477
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.96×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.379496 15m : 0.534505 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3890 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: 3.45% · ema21_slope: -0.2982% · dist_ema21: -0.676% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5092 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.04% · rs_3d: 1.34% · beta_24h: 1.844 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0913 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.630 · trend: -72.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3105 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 76.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7077 | ATR%: 3.877% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5318 | r1h: -0.728% · r4h: -0.461% · r1d: 2.48% · r3d: 2.54% · ema21_slope: 0.1351% · dist_ema21: 0.817% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4827 | rs_1h: -0.571% · rs_4h: -0.307% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: 0.60% · beta_24h: 1.256 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2476 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.439 · trend: 7.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7293 | ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 34.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5161 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.089% · r1d: 2.78% · r3d: 2.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0162% · dist_ema21: 2.001% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5198 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.080% · rs_1d: 1.23% · rs_3d: 0.57% · beta_24h: 1.460 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1512 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -1.263 · trend: -23.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5902 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.239% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.221% | 0.9R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.221% | 0.9R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.242% | 0.9R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.962% | 3.7R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.490% | 5.8R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -2.94% | -0.67 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.10 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.64 | bull_low | +1.17% | +0.12 | 17/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -1.4ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.55% | +0.05 | 17/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 3.9×ATR | p55 | -0.231×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 3.622×ATR | p39 | +1.617×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.555×ATR | p4 | +1.015×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.107×ATR | p52 | -0.548×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64315.6
-0.00248164
64156
0.379496
63905.9
0.00391335
64156
0.534505
63443.1
0.0125922
64242
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89.513
197
0.726
0.6252
0.3143
0.2656
0.3542
1
0.5022
0.5147
0.6487
0.964
0.6643
0.7715
0.2046
0.1143
1
1.0223
2.0211
0.5
0.5
1
2
1
0.4689
0.4199
4.781
0.7
2.164
3.2863
2.0211
0.6622
0.2419
0.94
0.3074
0.579
0.5447
0.933
0.7715
-1.5804
5.3345
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:02 | 88.27600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:13 | 88.09800000 | -0.202% |
| 3 | 22:19 | 88.16200000 | -0.129% |
| 4 | 22:25 | 88.15000000 | -0.143% |
| 5 | 22:32 | 87.95300000 | -0.366% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 22:00:00 | 89.005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:20:00 | 88.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:40:00 | 88.985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 88.516 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:50:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:05:00 | 89.041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:40:00 | 89.022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 89.255 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:10:00 | 89.255 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:55:00 | 88.138 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 86.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 86.821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 86.309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 88.491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:45:00 | 87.605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 88.196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 87.629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:45:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:45:00 | 88.138 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 85.257 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 87.231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 86.062 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 87.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 85.599 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 87.274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 85.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 86.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.276 | 88.0491 | 88.7297 | 2 | 153.06 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88.0491 - 88.276 = -0.2269
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.276 - 88.7297 = -0.4537
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4537 / -0.2269 = 1.9996
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3112.8409 | 100 | 35.2626 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2269 = -35.26
Taille de position USD = -35.26 x 88.276 = -3112.61
Donc, tu peux acheter -35.26 avec un stoploss a 88.0491
Avec un position size USD de -3112.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -35.26 x -0.2269 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -35.26 x -0.4537 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3047 % | 118.56 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.276 | 88.0491 | 88.7297 | 2 | 153.06 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88.0491 - 88.276 = -0.2269
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.276 - 88.7297 = -0.4537
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4537 / -0.2269 = 1.9996
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.221% | 0.9R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.221% | 0.9R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.242% | 0.9R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.962% | 3.7R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.490% | 5.8R | -0.783% | 3.1R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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