Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 54215.23 MON at 0.0213$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0216 (1.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02116 (0.66 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 54215.23 MON at 0.0213$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0216 (1.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02116 (0.66 %)
Position
Entry 0.0213$
Qty 54215.2345 MON
Size 1154.9471$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0216 (+1.41%)
TP $ 16.26$
SL 0.02116 (-0.66%)
SL $ 7.59$
RR 2.14
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7340
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.42×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.35×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.358192 15m : 0.361207 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4880 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.64% · r3d: 3.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0448% · dist_ema21: 1.881% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5159 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.47% · rs_3d: 1.44% · beta_24h: 1.864 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1981 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.934 · trend: -4.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5168 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3714 | ATR%: 4.886% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5970 | r1h: -0.269% · r4h: 1.961% · r1d: 6.50% · r3d: 2.71% · ema21_slope: 0.2364% · dist_ema21: 3.163% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6040 | rs_1h: -0.112% · rs_4h: 2.115% · rs_1d: 4.65% · rs_3d: 0.78% · beta_24h: 2.801 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3849 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.226 · trend: 160.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7826 | ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 23.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4985 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.579% · r1d: 3.67% · r3d: -0.44% · ema21_slope: -0.1504% · dist_ema21: 0.918% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.748% · rs_1d: 2.12% · rs_3d: -2.57% · beta_24h: -0.627 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5648 | rvol_20: 1.70× · zscore_50: 0.315 · trend: 64.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6973 | ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.909% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.418% | 0.6R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.014% | 3.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.014% | 3.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.94% | +0.33 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.40 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.01 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.39 | bull_low | +1.00% | +0.51 | 17/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.32% | +0.30 | 17/08 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.524×ATR | p0 | +0.429×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 4.119×ATR | p76 | +1.268×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.99×ATR | p72 | +1.734×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.032×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64300.2
-0.00336306
64084
0.358192
63912.8
0.0026775
64084
0.361207
63447.9
0.0100248
64084
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0.5323
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0.7798
0.2092
0.0888
1
1.37
1.7793
0.4
0.6
1
2
1
0.5083
0.4553
5.7046
0.6
2.613
5.0587
1.7793
0.5561
0.2632
0.92
0.4796
0.6144
0.5045
0.8334
0.7798
-1.3746
4.8683
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:47 | 0.02130300 | +0.014% |
| 2 | 22:52 | 0.02128900 | -0.052% |
| 3 | 22:58 | 0.02120300 | -0.455% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 22:20:00 | 0.020984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:05:00 | 0.020929 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:50:00 | 0.021891 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:05:00 | 0.021496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:20:00 | 0.0219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:30:00 | 0.0219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:10:00 | 0.021471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:50:00 | 0.021481 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:55:00 | 0.02167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:45:00 | 0.0213 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 0.019974 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.020282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:45:00 | 0.019722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:15:00 | 0.020257 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 0.02003 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.021129 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 18:45:00 | 0.020651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 20:15:00 | 0.020661 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:15:00 | 0.0219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:45:00 | 0.0213 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.021171 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 0.020852 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.021158 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:00:00 | 0.020712 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.020974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 11:00:00 | 0.021034 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 0.020841 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.019982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.019722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 0.0219 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0213 | 0.02116 | 0.0216 | 2.14 | 0.0214 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02116 - 0.0213 = -0.00014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0213 - 0.0216 = -0.0003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0003 / -0.00014 = 2.1429
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1154.9471 | 100 | 54215.2345 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00014 = -57142.86
Taille de position USD = -57142.86 x 0.0213 = -1217.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -57142.86 avec un stoploss a 0.02116
Avec un position size USD de -1217.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -57142.86 x -0.00014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -57142.86 x -0.0003 = 17.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.14$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.41 % | 16.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 7.59 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.59 $ | -0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9061 % | 137.85 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0213 | 0.02116 | 0.0216 | 2.14 | 0.0214 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02116 - 0.0213 = -0.00014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0213 - 0.0216 = -0.0003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0003 / -0.00014 = 2.1429
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.418% | 0.6R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.014% | 3.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.014% | 3.1R | -2.362% | 3.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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