Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.11 BTC at 64092$ per unit. Take profit: 64236.2133 (0.23 %) & Stop Loss: 64019.8934 (0.11 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.11 BTC at 64092$ per unit. Take profit: 64236.2133 (0.23 %) & Stop Loss: 64019.8934 (0.11 %)
Position
Entry 64092$
Qty 0.1109 BTC
Size 7110.8012$ (margin 100$) (leverage 71)
Risk Setup
TP 64236.2133 (+0.23%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64019.8934 (-0.11%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8561
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.90×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.15×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4832 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: -0.0468% · dist_ema21: 0.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0651 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.111 · trend: -45.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3399 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 70.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5352 | r1h: -0.157% · r4h: -0.154% · r1d: 1.85% · r3d: 1.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0835% · dist_ema21: 0.394% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1923 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.633 · trend: -24.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8868 | ADX: 46.4 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.338% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5211 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.169% · r1d: 1.55% · r3d: 2.14% · ema21_slope: 0.0441% · dist_ema21: 1.240% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1958 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -1.073 · trend: 0.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7033 | ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 33.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.569% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.8R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.189% | 1.7R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.509% | 4.5R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.509% | 4.5R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.445% | 12.8R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 10.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | — | — | — | — | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 28b | — | 2.136×ATR | p0 | +0.503×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.314×ATR | p69 | +2.007×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.268×ATR | p25 | +0.36×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 5.223×ATR | p79 | -1.843×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.76803964075565
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0015604762573537
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.77555669990481
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[1] => 63407
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 15:45:00
[1] => 64196
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[1] => 63938
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[1] => 64400
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[2] => H
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.69875896689029
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.08588784608898
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79016818401861
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[1] => 64394
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[2] => Array
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64580
191
0.7382
0.6129
0.3296
0.2934
0.3592
1
0.247
0.5962
0.6658
0.7085
0.6535
0.7589
0.141
0.1226
1
0.3293
1.9754
0.45
0.55
1
8
1
0.4132
0.4509
5.5476
0.6
3.067
7.9758
1.9754
0.0555
0.2079
0.72
0.1148
0.6172
0.4424
0.9007
0.7589
-2.2172
6.9779
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:48 | 64092.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:54 | 64086.00000000 | -0.009% |
| 3 | 23:00 | 64063.00000000 | -0.045% |
| 4 | 23:12 | 64064.00000000 | -0.044% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 20:50:00 | 64290 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:05:00 | 64394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 21:35:00 | 64244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:00:00 | 64382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:55:00 | 64236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:55:00 | 64543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:05:00 | 64376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:10:00 | 64260 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:50:00 | 64107 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:45:00 | 64037 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 63750 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 63407 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:45:00 | 64196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:15:00 | 63938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:15:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 64226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 20:15:00 | 64400 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:45:00 | 64236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:45:00 | 64543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:45:00 | 64037 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 62890 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 63112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 63144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 62977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 64083 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64092 | 64019.8934 | 64236.2133 | 2 | 82448 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64019.8934 - 64092 = -72.106599999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64092 - 64236.2133 = -144.2133
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -144.2133 / -72.106599999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7110.8012 | 100 | 0.1109 | 71.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -72.106599999999 = -0.11
Taille de position USD = -0.11 x 64092 = -7050.12
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.11 avec un stoploss a 64019.8934
Avec un position size USD de -7050.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.11 x -72.106599999999 = 7.93
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.93$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.11 x -144.2133 = 15.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.86$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1435 % | 127.56 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64092 | 64019.8934 | 64236.2133 | 2 | 82448 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64019.8934 - 64092 = -72.106599999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64092 - 64236.2133 = -144.2133
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -144.2133 / -72.106599999999 = 2
Array
(
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Array
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[take_profit] => 64236.2133
[entry_price] => 64092
[stop_loss] => 64012.68274
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 03:30:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64236.2133
[entry_price] => 64092
[stop_loss] => 64005.47208
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 03:30:00+00
[result] => loss
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[take_profit] => 64236.2133
[entry_price] => 64092
[stop_loss] => 63998.26142
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 05:05:00+00
[result] => win
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[entry_price] => 64092
[stop_loss] => 63983.8401
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 05:05:00+00
[result] => win
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.8R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.189% | 1.7R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.509% | 4.5R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.509% | 4.5R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.445% | 12.8R | -0.144% | 1.3R | 10.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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