Long Trade on VIRTUAL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 650.44 VIRTUAL at 0.568$ per unit. Take profit: 0.599 (5.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.556 (2.16 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 22:51:41
hyperliquid
VIRTUAL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 22:51
→ 10:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.5683$
Qty 650.4366 VIRTUAL
Size 369.6366$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.599 (+5.4%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.556 (-2.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.49%
/ +12.89$
MAE -0.10%
MFE +4.33%
2.0R
expires
18 Aug 10:51
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73005)
#9 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 22:00
score du 17/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8715
Quality Score
0.548
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 22:46
17/08 22:46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#9 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 6.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4219
Score SMA
—
Rank
#23
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4862 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: 3.71% · ema21_slope: -0.0671% · dist_ema21: 1.976% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5354 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.04% · rs_3d: 1.60% · beta_24h: 1.657 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1737 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.896 · trend: -24.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4701 | ADX: 11.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3690 | ATR%: 4.893% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5479
Score SMA
0.5337
Rank
#9
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8715
Rank Norm SMA
0.5355
Calculé le
17/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5590 | r1h: -0.488% · r4h: -0.097% · r1d: 3.69% · r3d: 2.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1668% · dist_ema21: 0.448% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5165 | rs_1h: -0.331% · rs_4h: 0.057% · rs_1d: 1.84% · rs_3d: 0.73% · beta_24h: 1.297 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1815 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.619 · trend: -32.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7654 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 33.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.909% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5441
Score SMA
—
Rank
#13
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5685 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.053% · r1d: 4.44% · r3d: 4.20% · ema21_slope: 0.0484% · dist_ema21: 2.437% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5814 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.116% · rs_1d: 2.89% · rs_3d: 2.06% · beta_24h: 2.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2278 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.555 · trend: -1.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5508 | ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.810% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.164%
(0.0123)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.873% | 0.4R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.102% | 0.5R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 10.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.245% | 1.0R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 22.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.259% | 1.0R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 22.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.334% | 2.0R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 42.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.487% | 2.1R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.94% | +0.25 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.09 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bull_low | +0.91% | +0.14 | 17/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.28% | -0.10 | 17/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.331×ATR | p0 | +0.416×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.365×ATR | p9 | +0.784×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.362×ATR | p40 | -0.258×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 6.693×ATR | p97 | -3.126×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8074
- reason: up_bo width=1.95×ATR dur=50b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.55599057
- tp_price: 0.59903858
- atr:
- score: 0.80739727763521
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T14:51:33.715856
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80739727763521
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0294
- obi_top10 : 0.1083
- micro_price : 0.57019938
- spread_pct : 0.035082
- mid_price : 0.5702
- bid_wall_price : 0.565
- bid_wall_size : 115706
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.572
- ask_wall_size : 110792
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.027
- obi_top5_std : 0.0061
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6833
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.56212
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.551
- balance_zone_mid:
0.55656
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786842000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787018400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9528
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8074
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786968000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.56212
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.64
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
14
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0835
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00569433 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.64
bars_since_breakout
14
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0835
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:51 | 0.56829000 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 22:57 | 0.56829000 | -0.002% |
| 3 | 23:04 | 0.56829000 | -0.002% |
| 4 | 23:21 | 0.57024000 | +0.341% |
| 5 | 23:27 | 0.57024000 | +0.341% |
| 6 | 23:33 | 0.57024000 | +0.341% |
| 7 | 23:39 | 0.57023000 | +0.34% |
| 8 | 23:45 | 0.57023000 | +0.34% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6833ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.029
avg 0.027
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
0.108
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.5702
Micro Price
0.5702
Spread
0.0351%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.5650
Size
115,706.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.5720
Size
110,792.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5683 | 0.556 | 0.599 | 2.5 | 0.6545 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5683
- Stop Loss: 0.556
- Take Profit: 0.599
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.556 - 0.5683 = -0.0123
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5683 - 0.599 = -0.0307
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0307 / -0.0123 = 2.4959
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 369.6366 | 100 | 650.4366 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0123
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0123 = -650.41
Taille de position USD = -650.41 x 0.5683 = -369.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -650.41 avec un stoploss a 0.556
Avec un position size USD de -369.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -650.41 x -0.0123 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -650.41 x -0.0307 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position -650.41
- Taille de position USD -369.63
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4959
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.4 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 12.89 $ | 3.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1021 % | 4.72 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5683 | 0.556 | 0.599 | 2.5 | 0.6545 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5683
- Stop Loss: 0.556
- Take Profit: 0.599
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.556 - 0.5683 = -0.0123
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5683 - 0.599 = -0.0307
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0307 / -0.0123 = 2.4959
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.164%
(0.0123)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.873% | 0.4R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.102% | 0.5R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 10.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.245% | 1.0R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 22.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.259% | 1.0R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 22.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.334% | 2.0R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 42.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.487% | 2.1R | -0.102% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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