Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 73.98 VVV at 12.941$ per unit. Take profit: 13.1573 (1.67 %) & Stop Loss: 12.8329 (0.84 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 73.98 VVV at 12.941$ per unit. Take profit: 13.1573 (1.67 %) & Stop Loss: 12.8329 (0.84 %)
Position
Entry 12.941$
Qty 73.9841 VVV
Size 957.4282$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 13.1573 (+1.67%)
TP $ 16$
SL 12.8329 (-0.84%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9869
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.381209 15m : 0.230527 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6843 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1752% · dist_ema21: 9.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7100 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: 1.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1397 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.905 · trend: -55.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4548 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7630 | r1h: 1.169% · r4h: -0.734% · r1d: 9.72% · r3d: 11.74% · ema21_slope: 0.4471% · dist_ema21: 3.906% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7366 | rs_1h: 1.295% · rs_4h: -0.478% · rs_1d: 8.59% · rs_3d: 10.23% · beta_24h: 1.642 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3435 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: 0.209 · trend: 28.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8679 | ADX: 44.2 (trend) · Chop: 25.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.643% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7674 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.015% · r1d: 10.04% · r3d: 12.68% · ema21_slope: 0.2511% · dist_ema21: 7.938% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7683 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.184% · rs_1d: 8.49% · rs_3d: 10.54% · beta_24h: 3.866 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3407 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.829 · trend: 96.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7418 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 29.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.290% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.933% | 4.7R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 10.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.660% | 5.6R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 11.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.916% | 8.3R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 17.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +13.701% | 16.4R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 34.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +14.365% | 17.2R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 36.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.94% | +0.48 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -2.3ATR | 0.45 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.63 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.34 | bull_low | +0.91% | +0.51 | 17/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.23 | range_low | +0.28% | +0.03 | 17/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.651×ATR | p9 | +1.597×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.646×ATR | p79 | +2.842×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.432×ATR | p0 | +1.385×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.648×ATR | p7 | +0.805×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64268.9
-0.00275255
64092
0.381209
63942.4
0.00257357
64107
0.230527
63468.3
0.00922798
64054
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13.4
195
0.7545
0.6134
0.299
0.2418
0.3458
1
0.5152
0.5223
0.6799
0.88
0.7039
0.8287
0.2164
0.1489
1
1.3272
3.0007
0.5
0.5
1
4
1
0.5165
0.5578
4.6844
0.5
2.5452
4.5662
3.0007
0.4702
0.2581
0.8
0.8018
0.5887
0.5118
0.9031
0.8287
-1.4078
6.8095
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:21 | 12.94100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:27 | 12.91300000 | -0.216% |
| 3 | 23:34 | 12.91600000 | -0.193% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 13.382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:05:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:15:00 | 13.238 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:25:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:05:00 | 13.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:50:00 | 13.326 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:05:00 | 13.126 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:20:00 | 13.042 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:40:00 | 13.317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:20:00 | 12.941 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 12.335 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 12.269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 12.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 12.355 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:15:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 12.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:15:00 | 12.527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:15:00 | 13.042 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:30:00 | 13.317 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 12.133 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:00:00 | 12.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 11.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 12.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.941 | 12.8329 | 13.1573 | 2 | 24.32 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.8329 - 12.941 = -0.1081
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.941 - 13.1573 = -0.2163
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2163 / -0.1081 = 2.0009
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 957.4282 | 100 | 73.9841 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1081 = -74.01
Taille de position USD = -74.01 x 12.941 = -957.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -74.01 avec un stoploss a 12.8329
Avec un position size USD de -957.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -74.01 x -0.1081 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -74.01 x -0.2163 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.67 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3941 % | 47.18 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.941 | 12.8329 | 13.1573 | 2 | 24.32 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.8329 - 12.941 = -0.1081
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.941 - 13.1573 = -0.2163
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2163 / -0.1081 = 2.0009
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.933% | 4.7R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 10.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.660% | 5.6R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 11.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.916% | 8.3R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 17.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +13.701% | 16.4R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 34.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +14.365% | 17.2R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 36.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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