18 Aug 2026 at 01:15:00 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ENA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 6337.59 ENA at 0.0824$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07928 (3.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0837 (1.53 %)

ENA SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 01:15 → 08:10 · 6 hours

Position

Entry 0.08244$

Qty 6337.5874 ENA

Size 522.4517$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07928 (+3.83%)

TP $ 20.03$

SL 0.0837 (-1.53%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -1.53% / -7.99$ MAE -3.76% MFE +0.83% 0.5R expires 18 Aug 13:14

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 73195)
#16 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3525

Quality Score
0.511
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 01:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#16 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#16 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.60×ATR
4h near 0.01×ATR
1d near -0.75×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

18/08 01:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

18/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

18/08 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1608
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical bull transition — -1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.90
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 01:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3496
Score SMA
—
Rank
#37 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3998 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.02% · r3d: -0.94% · ema21_slope: -0.1451% · dist_ema21: -2.994%
Force Relative 25% 0.4388 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.15% · rs_3d: -3.04% · beta_24h: 1.590
Volume 20% 0.0811 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.783 · trend: -66.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5150 ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.2650 ATR%: 5.205% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5110
Score SMA
0.4997
Rank
#16 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3525
Rank Norm SMA
0.4178
Calculé le
18/08/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4477 r1h: 0.246% · r4h: -1.107% · r1d: -1.72% · r3d: -3.31% · ema21_slope: -0.0468% · dist_ema21: -0.716%
Force Relative 25% 0.4136 rs_1h: 0.191% · rs_4h: -0.856% · rs_1d: -2.78% · rs_3d: -5.01% · beta_24h: 1.654
Volume 20% 0.4495 rvol_20: 1.24× · zscore_50: 0.563 · trend: 20.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5558 ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.881% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4105
Score SMA
—
Rank
#44 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3837 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.079% · r1d: -2.25% · r3d: -2.56% · ema21_slope: -0.1382% · dist_ema21: -1.827%
Force Relative 25% 0.3697 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.159% · rs_1d: -3.20% · rs_3d: -4.22% · beta_24h: 1.522
Volume 20% 0.1391 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.181 · trend: -36.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5007 ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.566% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.528% (0.0013)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.831% 0.5R -0.038% 0.0R 22.1× 13
2h +0.831% 0.5R -0.911% 0.6R 0.9× 25
4h +0.831% 0.5R -0.911% 0.6R 0.9× 49
8h +0.831% 0.5R -1.868% 1.2R 0.4× 97
12h ★ +0.831% 0.5R -3.764% 2.5R 0.2× 144
24h +0.831% 0.5R -3.764% 2.5R 0.2× 289

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.7ATR near -0.3ATR 0.61 bear_high -2.94% +0.51 17/08 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate explosive compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% mid near 0.0ATR — 0.54 range_medium +0.44% -0.42 18/08 00:00
1h ↓ down range range weak grind normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.50 bull_low +1.02% -0.19 18/08 00:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal range_low
44%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — — range_low +0.38% -0.01 18/08 00:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b — 3.488×ATR p28 -0.663×ATR p37
4h ↓ down mid 6b — 1.74×ATR p0 -1.231×ATR p68
1h ↓ down early 14b — 2.327×ATR p41 -0.828×ATR p47
15m ↑ up mid 6b — 3.179×ATR p50 -0.121×ATR p8

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 1
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.54×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 0.08369931
  5. tp_price: 0.07928122
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.95233505736303
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-18T17:14:52.573052
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.95233505736303
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.1732
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0047
  15. micro_price : 0.08235779
  16. spread_pct : 0.012143
  17. mid_price : 0.082355
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0822
  19. bid_wall_size : 2641265.4
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0826
  22. ask_wall_size : 4734296
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.1731
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.001
  27. pressure_side : ask
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7085
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.0845
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.082762
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.083631
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786860000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1787029200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.5443
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    48
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.9523
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1787014800
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.082762
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.75
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    4
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4758
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    3
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    13
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.0006831
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4758

Signaux confirmants (14)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:15 0.08243700 -0.004%
2 01:21 0.08241200 -0.034%
3 01:27 0.08241200 -0.034%
4 01:33 0.08241200 -0.034%
5 01:39 0.08191700 -0.634%
6 01:44 0.08191700 -0.634%
7 01:50 0.08224800 -0.233%
8 01:56 0.08224800 -0.233%
9 02:04 0.08224800 -0.233%
10 02:09 0.08192500 -0.625%
11 02:15 0.08192500 -0.625%
12 02:21 0.08228400 -0.189%
13 02:27 0.08228400 -0.189%
14 02:33 0.08228400 -0.189%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7085ms Confidence avant OB : 95% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.173
avg -0.173 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.005

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0824
Micro Price
0.0824
Spread
0.0121%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0822
Size
2,641,265.40

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0826
Size
4,734,296.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08244 0.0837 0.07928 2.51 0.1905
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08244
  • Stop Loss: 0.0837
  • Take Profit: 0.07928

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0837 - 0.08244 = 0.00126

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08244 - 0.07928 = 0.00316

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00316 / 0.00126 = 2.5079

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
522.4517 100 6337.5874 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00126

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00126 = 6349.21

Taille de position USD = 6349.21 x 0.08244 = 523.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 6349.21 avec un stoploss a 0.0837

Avec un position size USD de 523.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6349.21 x 0.00126 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6349.21 x 0.00316 = 20.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6349.21
  • Taille de position USD 523.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5079

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.83 % 20.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.53 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -1.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6934 % 110.8 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08244 0.0837 0.07928 2.51 0.1905
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08244
  • Stop Loss: 0.0837
  • Take Profit: 0.07928

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0837 - 0.08244 = 0.00126

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08244 - 0.07928 = 0.00316

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00316 / 0.00126 = 2.5079

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.528% (0.0013)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.831% 0.5R -0.038% 0.0R 22.1× 13
2h +0.831% 0.5R -0.911% 0.6R 0.9× 25
4h +0.831% 0.5R -0.911% 0.6R 0.9× 49
8h +0.831% 0.5R -1.868% 1.2R 0.4× 97
12h ★ +0.831% 0.5R -3.764% 2.5R 0.2× 144
24h +0.831% 0.5R -3.764% 2.5R 0.2× 289

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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