Long Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 10.34 AAVE at 88.334$ per unit. Take profit: 90.2679 (2.19 %) & Stop Loss: 87.5604 (0.88 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 10.34 AAVE at 88.334$ per unit. Take profit: 90.2679 (2.19 %) & Stop Loss: 87.5604 (0.88 %)
Position
Entry 88.334$
Qty 10.3418 AAVE
Size 913.5346$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 90.2679 (+2.19%)
TP $ 20$
SL 87.5604 (-0.88%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7583
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 18/08 01:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 18/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 18/08 00:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | transition | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3890 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: 3.45% · ema21_slope: -0.2982% · dist_ema21: -0.676% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5092 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.04% · rs_3d: 1.34% · beta_24h: 1.844 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0913 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.630 · trend: -72.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3105 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 76.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7077 | ATR%: 3.877% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5286 | r1h: 0.023% · r4h: -1.168% · r1d: 1.50% · r3d: 1.34% · ema21_slope: 0.1037% · dist_ema21: 0.337% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4820 | rs_1h: -0.032% · rs_4h: -0.918% · rs_1d: 0.44% · rs_3d: -0.36% · beta_24h: 1.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1775 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.956 · trend: -19.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5402 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.708% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4766 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.158% · r1d: 2.12% · r3d: 1.62% · ema21_slope: 0.0239% · dist_ema21: 0.750% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5074 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.078% · rs_1d: 1.17% · rs_3d: -0.04% · beta_24h: 1.908 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1419 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.334 · trend: -26.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5838 | ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.293% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.456% | 0.5R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.896% | 1.0R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.896% | 1.0R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.423% | 1.6R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 3.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.843% | 2.1R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -2.94% | -0.67 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.44% | +0.01 | 18/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.5ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.65 | bull_low | +1.02% | +0.15 | 18/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | +0.36% | -0.06 | 18/08 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 3.9×ATR | p55 | -0.231×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 22b | — | 2.612×ATR | p9 | +0.588×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.16×ATR | p21 | +0.441×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.85×ATR | p44 | +0.273×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
89.513
143
0.7023
0.6252
0.2985
0.2508
0.3375
1
0.459
0.5182
0.6487
0.832
0.6618
0.7143
0.047
0.0597
1
0.5647
1.5636
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.4985
0.4199
4.781
0.7
2.164
3.2863
1.5636
0.6622
0.2291
0.72
0.3161
0.5791
0.6008
0.8225
0.7143
-2.1503
5.3765
1
0
0
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[time] => 2026-08-13 16:00:00
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[price] => 86.72
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[kind] => high
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[price] => 87.605
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87.613
89.513
89.513
87.613
88.491
87.56
88.0255
0.7853
90.257
89.394
89.8255
0.9057
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:19 | 88.33400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:25 | 88.34300000 | +0.01% |
| 3 | 02:13 | 88.53900000 | +0.232% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.334 | 87.5604 | 90.2679 | 2.5 | 150.82 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 87.5604 - 88.334 = -0.7736
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.334 - 90.2679 = -1.9339
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9339 / -0.7736 = 2.4999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 913.5346 | 100 | 10.3418 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.7736 = -10.34
Taille de position USD = -10.34 x 88.334 = -913.37
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.34 avec un stoploss a 87.5604
Avec un position size USD de -913.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.34 x -0.7736 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.34 x -1.9339 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.19 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.88 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3472 % | 153.83 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.334 | 87.5604 | 90.2679 | 2.5 | 150.82 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 87.5604 - 88.334 = -0.7736
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.334 - 90.2679 = -1.9339
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9339 / -0.7736 = 2.4999
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.456% | 0.5R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.896% | 1.0R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.896% | 1.0R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.423% | 1.6R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 3.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.843% | 2.1R | -0.394% | 0.5R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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