Short Trade on LIT (BosPullback)
With 240.28 LIT at 2.336$ per unit. Take profit: 2.28 (2.39 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3691 (1.43 %)
Short Trade on LIT (BosPullback)
With 240.28 LIT at 2.336$ per unit. Take profit: 2.28 (2.39 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3691 (1.43 %)
Position
Entry 2.3358$
Qty 240.2791 LIT
Size 561.244$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 2.28 (+2.39%)
TP $ 13.41$
SL 2.3691 (-1.43%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.68
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5208
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5208
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.94×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 18/08 03:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.16% · r3d: 2.86% · ema21_slope: 0.3299% · dist_ema21: 2.820% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4992 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.75% · beta_24h: 1.437 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1290 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.064 · trend: -67.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4836 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.529% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5696 | r1h: 0.368% · r4h: 1.669% · r1d: -0.30% · r3d: 3.33% · ema21_slope: -0.0393% · dist_ema21: 0.726% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5471 | rs_1h: 0.482% · rs_4h: 1.565% · rs_1d: -1.44% · rs_3d: 1.49% · beta_24h: 0.842 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3341 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.048 · trend: 12.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5064 | ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.032% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5292 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.165% · r1d: -1.78% · r3d: 1.80% · ema21_slope: 0.1010% · dist_ema21: -0.311% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4371 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.244% · rs_1d: -2.73% · rs_3d: 0.14% · beta_24h: 1.315 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1249 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.150 · trend: -48.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3867 | ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 66.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.160% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.330% | 0.2R | -0.826% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.360% | 0.3R | -1.820% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.360% | 0.3R | -2.706% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.360% | 0.3R | -2.946% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.360% | 0.3R | -3.605% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.49 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.29 | range_medium | +0.74% | +0.26 | 18/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.25 | bull_low | +1.01% | -0.22 | 18/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.33 | range_low | +0.29% | +0.20 | 18/08 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.216×ATR | p0 | +0.301×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 22b | — | 2.676×ATR | p26 | +0.464×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.605×ATR | p48 | +0.92×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.11×ATR | p3 | +1.663×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
2.2853
143
0.588
0.4645
0.3071
0.2334
0.3675
1
0.2914
0.5228
0.3982
0.3645
0.4854
0.6286
0.0018
0.0103
1
0.3465
0.6057
0.55
0.45
-1
6
1
0.5333
0.3301
3.5239
0.5
1.5795
3.0301
0.6057
0.39
0.3295
0.48
-0.1852
0.4342
0.3792
0.6277
0.6286
-3.5982
6.0895
1
1
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2.2853
2.3668
2.3668
2.2853
2.2875
2.2725
2.28
0.9403
2.367
2.3152
2.3411
0.6678
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3358 | 2.3691 | 2.28 | 1.68 | 3.3843 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3691 - 2.3358 = 0.0333
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3358 - 2.28 = 0.0558
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0558 / 0.0333 = 1.6757
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 561.244 | 100 | 240.2791 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0333 = 240.24
Taille de position USD = 240.24 x 2.3358 = 561.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 240.24 avec un stoploss a 2.3691
Avec un position size USD de 561.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 240.24 x 0.0333 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 240.24 x 0.0558 = 13.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.41$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.39 % | 13.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4299 % | 100.3 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3358 | 2.3691 | 2.28 | 1.68 | 3.3843 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3691 - 2.3358 = 0.0333
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3358 - 2.28 = 0.0558
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0558 / 0.0333 = 1.6757
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.330% | 0.2R | -0.826% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.360% | 0.3R | -1.820% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.360% | 0.3R | -2.706% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.360% | 0.3R | -2.946% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.360% | 0.3R | -3.605% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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