Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 213.9 MORPHO at 2.132$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1562 (1.14 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0945 (1.75 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 04:30:08
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 04:30
→ 07:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 2.1319$
Qty 213.9037 MORPHO
Size 456.0214$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 2.1562 (+1.14%)
TP $ 5.2$
SL 2.0945 (-1.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.65
Status
win
PnL
+1.14%
/ +5.2$
MAE -0.33%
MFE +3.32%
1.9R
expires
18 Aug 16:30
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73344)
#7 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 04:00
score du 18/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9223
Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 04:16
18/08 04:16
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73344)
#7 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 04:00
score du 18/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9223
Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.86×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 04:16
18/08 04:16
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5400
Score SMA
—
Rank
#9
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7083 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.19% · r3d: 8.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1956% · dist_ema21: 7.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6296 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.36% · rs_3d: 6.55% · beta_24h: 0.421 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1585 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.622 · trend: -57.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4789 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6656 | ATR%: 4.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6068
Score SMA
0.5314
Rank
#7
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9223
Rank Norm SMA
0.5027
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6446 | r1h: 0.563% · r4h: 0.425% · r1d: 2.54% · r3d: 9.23% · ema21_slope: 0.1088% · dist_ema21: 0.973% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6140 | rs_1h: 0.677% · rs_4h: 0.321% · rs_1d: 1.40% · rs_3d: 7.39% · beta_24h: 1.321 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1711 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.595 · trend: -41.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8378 | ADX: 53.5 (trend) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.160% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6437
Score SMA
0.6487
Rank
#2
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9685
Rank Norm SMA
0.9582
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6877 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.259% · r1d: 1.79% · r3d: 8.63% · ema21_slope: 0.3813% · dist_ema21: 3.454% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6118 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.116% · rs_1d: 1.04% · rs_3d: 6.92% · beta_24h: 1.573 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2488 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.780 · trend: 25.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8978 | ADX: 47.7 (trend) · Chop: 22.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.662% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.754%
(0.0374)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.586% | 0.3R | -0.070% | 0.0R | 8.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.586% | 0.3R | -0.131% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.824% | 1.6R | -0.131% | 0.1R | 21.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.316% | 1.9R | -0.131% | 0.1R | 25.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.316% | 1.9R | -0.333% | 0.2R | 10.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.33
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.59 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.40% | +0.60 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.26 | bull_low | +0.84% | +0.12 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | +0.29% | +0.09 | 18/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.223×ATR | p11 | +1.976×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.867×ATR | p0 | +1.715×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.225×ATR | p32 | +0.879×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.965×ATR | p27 | +1.296×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.0945
- tp_price: 2.15623001
- atr: 0.00973201
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T20:30:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 5
- total: 50
- score: 0.6446
- avg_rank_8h: 4.4
- rank_velocity: 0.6
- pullback_depth_atr: 9.04
- trigger_price: 2.1275
- fip_24h: -0.333
- confidence: 0.918
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:30 | 2.13190000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:45 | 2.13690000 | +0.235% |
| 3 | 05:15 | 2.13670000 | +0.225% |
| 4 | 05:30 | 2.13040000 | -0.07% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1319 | 2.0945 | 2.1562 | 0.65 | 2.2738 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1319
- Stop Loss: 2.0945
- Take Profit: 2.1562
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0945 - 2.1319 = -0.0374
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1319 - 2.1562 = -0.0243
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0243 / -0.0374 = 0.6497
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 456.0214 | 100 | 213.9037 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0374
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0374 = -213.9
Taille de position USD = -213.9 x 2.1319 = -456.01
Donc, tu peux acheter -213.9 avec un stoploss a 2.0945
Avec un position size USD de -456.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -213.9 x -0.0374 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -213.9 x -0.0243 = 5.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position -213.9
- Taille de position USD -456.01
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6497
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 5.2 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.2 $ | 1.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1313 % | 7.48 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1319 | 2.0945 | 2.1562 | 0.65 | 2.2738 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1319
- Stop Loss: 2.0945
- Take Profit: 2.1562
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0945 - 2.1319 = -0.0374
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1319 - 2.1562 = -0.0243
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0243 / -0.0374 = 0.6497
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
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Extra SL data
Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.754%
(0.0374)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.586% | 0.3R | -0.070% | 0.0R | 8.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.586% | 0.3R | -0.131% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.824% | 1.6R | -0.131% | 0.1R | 21.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.316% | 1.9R | -0.131% | 0.1R | 25.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.316% | 1.9R | -0.333% | 0.2R | 10.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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