Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 5344.7 ADA at 0.173$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1692 (2.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1744 (0.87 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 05:08:15
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 05:08
→ 09:05
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.1729$
Qty 5344.6997 ADA
Size 924.152$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1692 (+2.14%)
TP $ 19.78$
SL 0.1744 (-0.87%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.47
Status
loss
PnL
-0.87%
/ -8.02$
MAE -2.30%
MFE +0.19%
0.2R
expires
18 Aug 17:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73425)
#45 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3335
Quality Score
0.445
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:00
18/08 05:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73425)
#45 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3335
Quality Score
0.445
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.61×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:00
18/08 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1612
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 05:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4053
Score SMA
—
Rank
#27
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4629 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: -1.39% · ema21_slope: -0.0383% · dist_ema21: -3.553% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4412 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.04% · rs_3d: -3.50% · beta_24h: 1.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1014 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.552 · trend: -46.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5737 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4984 | ATR%: 4.505% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4448
Score SMA
0.4946
Rank
#45
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3335
Rank Norm SMA
0.3688
Calculé le
18/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4283 | r1h: -0.202% · r4h: -0.460% · r1d: -1.15% · r3d: -3.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0557% · dist_ema21: -0.437% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3970 | rs_1h: -0.347% · rs_4h: -0.583% · rs_1d: -2.59% · rs_3d: -5.28% · beta_24h: 1.047 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2080 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.853 · trend: -1.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5030 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4395
Score SMA
0.4329
Rank
#37
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2420
Rank Norm SMA
0.2100
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3749 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.467% · r1d: -1.28% · r3d: -3.41% · ema21_slope: -0.1871% · dist_ema21: -2.129% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3749 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.324% · rs_1d: -2.02% · rs_3d: -5.12% · beta_24h: 1.253 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1469 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.587 · trend: -10.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6926 | ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.431% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.868%
(0.0015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -0.249% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -0.469% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -0.931% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -2.302% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.185% | 0.2R | -2.302% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -2.302% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.57 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.40% | -0.54 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.35 | bull_low | +1.06% | -0.14 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.37% | +0.02 | 18/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.732×ATR | p67 | -0.881×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 70b | — | 15.774×ATR | p100 | -1.455×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.196×ATR | p0 | -0.601×ATR | p41 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.714×ATR | p3 | -0.265×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7865
- reason: down_bo width=2.10×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.17440681
- tp_price: 0.16916797
- atr:
- score: 0.7864616593506
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T21:08:07.666387
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7864616593506
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0346
- obi_top10 : 0.1219
- micro_price : 0.17302052
- spread_pct : 0.057803
- mid_price : 0.17305
- bid_wall_price : 0.172
- bid_wall_size : 11469169
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.174
- ask_wall_size : 10008627
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0369
- obi_top5_std : 0.0023
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7051
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.175585
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.17298
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1742825
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786924800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787043600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0955
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7865
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787040000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.17298
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6176
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0563
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00124313 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.6176
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0563
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:08 | 0.17291000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 05:14 | 0.17291000 | +0.006% |
| 3 | 05:38 | 0.17288000 | -0.012% |
| 4 | 05:43 | 0.17288000 | -0.012% |
| 5 | 05:50 | 0.17289000 | -0.006% |
| 6 | 05:55 | 0.17289000 | -0.006% |
| 7 | 06:03 | 0.17289000 | -0.006% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7051ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.035
avg 0.037
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.122
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1731
Micro Price
0.1730
Spread
0.0578%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1720
Size
11,469,169.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1740
Size
10,008,627.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1729 | 0.1744 | 0.1692 | 2.47 | 0.2163 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1729
- Stop Loss: 0.1744
- Take Profit: 0.1692
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1744 - 0.1729 = 0.0015
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1729 - 0.1692 = 0.0037
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0015 = 2.4667
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 924.152 | 100 | 5344.6997 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0015
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0015 = 5333.33
Taille de position USD = 5333.33 x 0.1729 = 922.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1744
Avec un position size USD de 922.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.0037 = 19.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5333.33
- Taille de position USD 922.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4667
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.14 % | 19.78 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9312 % | 107.33 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1729 | 0.1744 | 0.1692 | 2.47 | 0.2163 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1729
- Stop Loss: 0.1744
- Take Profit: 0.1692
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1744 - 0.1729 = 0.0015
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1729 - 0.1692 = 0.0037
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0015 = 2.4667
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1692
[entry_price] => 0.1729
[stop_loss] => 0.17455
[rr_ratio] => 2.24
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 13:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1692
[entry_price] => 0.1729
[stop_loss] => 0.1747
[rr_ratio] => 2.06
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 13:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1692
[entry_price] => 0.1729
[stop_loss] => 0.17485
[rr_ratio] => 1.9
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 13:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1692
[entry_price] => 0.1729
[stop_loss] => 0.17515
[rr_ratio] => 1.64
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.868%
(0.0015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -0.249% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -0.469% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -0.931% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -2.302% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.185% | 0.2R | -2.302% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.185% | 0.2R | -2.302% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.