Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 16.9 SOL at 76.043$ per unit. Take profit: 77.2267 (1.56 %) & Stop Loss: 75.5695 (0.62 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 05:06:33
hyperliquid
SOL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 05:06
→ 10:30
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 76.043$
Qty 16.8956 SOL
Size 1284.7926$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 77.2267 (+1.56%)
TP $ 20$
SL 75.5695 (-0.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.56%
/ +20$
MAE -0.35%
MFE +1.76%
2.8R
expires
18 Aug 17:06
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73407)
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4023
Quality Score
0.488
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
86.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:00
18/08 05:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73407)
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4023
Quality Score
0.488
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.62 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.62 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.60×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
86.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:00
18/08 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 18/08 04:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1612
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 05:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4480
Score SMA
—
Rank
#16
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5272 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.02% · r3d: 0.88% · ema21_slope: 0.0987% · dist_ema21: 0.979% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4814 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.15% · rs_3d: -1.23% · beta_24h: 1.011 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0921 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.619 · trend: -66.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3403 | ADX: 8.4 (weak) · Chop: 66.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.526% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4879
Score SMA
0.5109
Rank
#32
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4023
Rank Norm SMA
0.4962
Calculé le
18/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5144 | r1h: -0.074% · r4h: 0.256% · r1d: 1.04% · r3d: 1.26% · ema21_slope: 0.0123% · dist_ema21: 0.315% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4812 | rs_1h: -0.219% · rs_4h: 0.133% · rs_1d: -0.40% · rs_3d: -0.90% · beta_24h: 0.854 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2365 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.747 · trend: 14.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4399 | ADX: 11.0 (weak) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.444% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4912
Score SMA
0.4878
Rank
#17
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6215
Rank Norm SMA
0.6087
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5148 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.225% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 0.88% · ema21_slope: 0.0125% · dist_ema21: 0.308% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4859 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.082% · rs_1d: -0.46% · rs_3d: -0.82% · beta_24h: 1.211 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1490 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.322 · trend: -22.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5696 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.837% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.623%
(0.4735)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.247% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.575% | 0.9R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.636% | 2.6R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.756% | 2.8R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 5.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.005% | 3.2R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 5.7× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | — | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.24 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.81 | range_medium | +0.40% | -0.10 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.71 | bull_low | +1.06% | -0.04 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.37% | +0.05 | 18/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.613×ATR | p0 | +0.281×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.814×ATR | p22 | +0.355×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.439×ATR | p32 | +0.718×ATR | p41 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.251×ATR | p0 | +0.871×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9135
- reason: up_bo width=2.66×ATR dur=28b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 75.56950413
- tp_price: 77.22673967
- atr:
- score: 0.91347014518921
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T21:06:25.203085
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.91347014518921
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1566
- obi_top10 : -0.1566
- micro_price : 76.06509142
- spread_pct : 0.001315
- mid_price : 76.0655
- bid_wall_price : 76
- bid_wall_size : 118858.32
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1426
- obi_top5_std : 0.0123
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7232
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
76.035
- balance_zone_bottom:
75.169
- balance_zone_mid:
75.602
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786946400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787043600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.665
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
28
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9135
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787036400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
76.035
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8571
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0246
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
14
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.32495868 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
28
inside_close_ratio
0.8571
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0246
Signaux confirmants (28)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:06 | 76.04300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:12 | 76.04300000 | 0% |
| 3 | 05:18 | 76.06500000 | +0.029% |
| 4 | 05:24 | 76.06500000 | +0.029% |
| 5 | 05:30 | 76.06500000 | +0.029% |
| 6 | 08:06 | 76.41100000 | +0.484% |
| 7 | 08:12 | 76.41100000 | +0.484% |
| 8 | 08:18 | 76.31900000 | +0.363% |
| 9 | 08:24 | 76.31900000 | +0.363% |
| 10 | 08:30 | 76.31900000 | +0.363% |
| 11 | 08:36 | 76.28200000 | +0.314% |
| 12 | 08:42 | 76.28200000 | +0.314% |
| 13 | 08:48 | 76.23100000 | +0.247% |
| 14 | 08:54 | 76.23100000 | +0.247% |
| 15 | 09:00 | 76.23100000 | +0.247% |
| 16 | 09:06 | 76.16900000 | +0.166% |
| 17 | 09:12 | 76.16900000 | +0.166% |
| 18 | 09:18 | 76.11900000 | +0.1% |
| 19 | 09:24 | 76.11900000 | +0.1% |
| 20 | 09:30 | 76.11900000 | +0.1% |
| 21 | 09:48 | 76.08000000 | +0.049% |
| 22 | 09:54 | 76.08000000 | +0.049% |
| 23 | 10:00 | 76.08000000 | +0.049% |
| 24 | 10:06 | 76.29200000 | +0.327% |
| 25 | 10:12 | 76.29200000 | +0.327% |
| 26 | 10:18 | 76.14600000 | +0.135% |
| 27 | 10:24 | 76.14600000 | +0.135% |
| 28 | 10:30 | 76.14600000 | +0.135% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7232ms
Confidence avant OB :
91%
→
91%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.157
avg -0.143
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
-0.157
Microstructure
Mid Price
76.0655
Micro Price
76.0651
Spread
0.0013%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
76.0000
Size
118,858.32
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.043 | 75.5695 | 77.2267 | 2.5 | 104.26 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 76.043
- Stop Loss: 75.5695
- Take Profit: 77.2267
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 75.5695 - 76.043 = -0.4735
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 76.043 - 77.2267 = -1.1837
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1837 / -0.4735 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1284.7926 | 100 | 16.8956 | 13.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.4735
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4735 = -16.9
Taille de position USD = -16.9 x 76.043 = -1285.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.9 avec un stoploss a 75.5695
Avec un position size USD de -1285.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.9 x -0.4735 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.9 x -1.1837 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -16.9
- Taille de position USD -1285.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.56 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 1.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3498 % | 56.17 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.043 | 75.5695 | 77.2267 | 2.5 | 104.26 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 76.043
- Stop Loss: 75.5695
- Take Profit: 77.2267
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 75.5695 - 76.043 = -0.4735
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 76.043 - 77.2267 = -1.1837
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1837 / -0.4735 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 76.99
[stop_loss] => 75.5695
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 77.22675
[stop_loss] => 75.5695
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.623%
(0.4735)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.247% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.575% | 0.9R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.636% | 2.6R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.756% | 2.8R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 5.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.005% | 3.2R | -0.350% | 0.6R | 5.7× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.