Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 614.39 WLD at 0.322$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3142 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3352 (4.03 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 05:10:08
hyperliquid
WLD
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 11:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.3222$
Qty 614.394 WLD
Size 197.97$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3142 (+2.48%)
TP $ 4.92$
SL 0.3352 (-4.03%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.62
Status
loss
PnL
-1.00%
/ -1.98$
MAE -1.95%
MFE +0.43%
0.1R
expires
18 Aug 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73420)
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2558
Quality Score
0.425
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
12.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:00
18/08 05:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73420)
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
score du 18/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2558
Quality Score
0.425
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.69×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.21×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
12.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:00
18/08 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 18/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1612
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 05:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3754
Score SMA
—
Rank
#33
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5266 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 1.478% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4601 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.92% · beta_24h: 0.498 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1073 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.391 · trend: -65.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5398 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4248
Score SMA
0.5376
Rank
#46
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2558
Rank Norm SMA
0.5851
Calculé le
18/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2329 | r1h: -0.614% · r4h: -1.411% · r1d: -10.90% · r3d: -6.97% · ema21_slope: -0.4323% · dist_ema21: -4.742% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2354 | rs_1h: -0.759% · rs_4h: -1.535% · rs_1d: -12.33% · rs_3d: -9.12% · beta_24h: 2.702 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3438 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.227 · trend: 58.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8490 | ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 26.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.715% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4541
Score SMA
0.4680
Rank
#31
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4204
Rank Norm SMA
0.4956
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4214 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.917% · r1d: -10.28% · r3d: -6.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0225% · dist_ema21: -6.707% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2632 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.773% · rs_1d: -11.03% · rs_3d: -8.33% · beta_24h: 2.831 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2586 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -1.019 · trend: 44.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7570 | ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9656 | ATR%: 3.103% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.035%
(0.0130)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.344% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.561% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.949% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.949% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.447% | 0.1R | -1.949% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.28 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.40% | -0.62 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_low | +1.06% | -0.80 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.37% | -0.21 | 18/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.137×ATR | p0 | -0.716×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.06×ATR | p65 | -2.165×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 7.037×ATR | p98 | -2.714×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.942×ATR | p17 | -1.068×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.33524096
- tp_price: 0.3141645
- atr: 0.00520838
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T15:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 48
- score: 0.2329
- delta_2h: -0.0586
- extension_atr: -2.65
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2558
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3222 | 0.3352 | 0.3142 | 0.62 | 0.4779 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3222
- Stop Loss: 0.3352
- Take Profit: 0.3142
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3352 - 0.3222 = 0.013
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3222 - 0.3142 = 0.008
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.008 / 0.013 = 0.6154
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 197.97 | 100 | 614.394 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.013
Taille de position = 8 / 0.013 = 615.38
Taille de position USD = 615.38 x 0.3222 = 198.28
Donc, tu peux acheter 615.38 avec un stoploss a 0.3352
Avec un position size USD de 198.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 615.38 x 0.013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 615.38 x 0.008 = 4.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position 615.38
- Taille de position USD 198.28
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6154
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 4.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.03 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.98 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9491 % | 48.31 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3222 | 0.3352 | 0.3142 | 0.62 | 0.4779 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3222
- Stop Loss: 0.3352
- Take Profit: 0.3142
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3352 - 0.3222 = 0.013
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3222 - 0.3142 = 0.008
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.008 / 0.013 = 0.6154
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.035%
(0.0130)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.344% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.561% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.949% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.431% | 0.1R | -1.949% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.447% | 0.1R | -1.949% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.