Short Trade on TRUMP (BosPullback)
With 516.31 TRUMP at 1.393$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3547 (2.78 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4089 (1.11 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP (BosPullback)
With 516.31 TRUMP at 1.393$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3547 (2.78 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4089 (1.11 %)
Position
Entry 1.3934$
Qty 516.3069 TRUMP
Size 719.422$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3547 (+2.78%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 1.4089 (-1.11%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7029
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7029
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 18/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2484 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: -0.43% · ema21_slope: -0.3620% · dist_ema21: -3.925% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3954 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.20% · rs_3d: -2.54% · beta_24h: 0.577 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1044 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.434 · trend: -62.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3939 | ADX: 9.3 (weak) · Chop: 60.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6703 | ATR%: 3.989% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4769 | r1h: -0.150% · r4h: 0.583% · r1d: -0.48% · r3d: -0.58% · ema21_slope: -0.0433% · dist_ema21: 0.057% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4506 | rs_1h: -0.295% · rs_4h: 0.460% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -2.73% · beta_24h: 1.019 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5048 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.288 · trend: 92.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5564 | ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.661% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4507 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.215% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -0.77% · ema21_slope: -0.0454% · dist_ema21: -0.622% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4166 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.071% · rs_1d: -1.42% · rs_3d: -2.48% · beta_24h: 1.058 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2164 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.152 · trend: 19.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4911 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.336% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.136% | 0.1R | -1.155% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.136% | 0.1R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.136% | 0.1R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.158% | 0.1R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.273% | 0.3R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.25% | -0.49 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.40% | -0.31 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.44 | bull_low | +1.06% | -0.13 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.43 | range_low | +0.37% | +0.08 | 18/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 45b | — | 8.443×ATR | p70 | -1.208×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.38×ATR | p12 | -0.499×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.566×ATR | p43 | +0.082×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0.441×ATR | p3 | +0.663×ATR | p41 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.3731
142
0.2827
0.4689
0.366
0.2959
0.4233
1
0.2102
0.425
0.301
0.6263
0.5845
0.3254
-0.0017
-0.0243
0
-0.0832
-0.6035
0.35
0.65
-1
7
1
0.4081
0.3116
3.8416
0.5
2.5662
4.2973
-0.6035
0.2729
0.193
0.52
0.1715
0.6512
0.4843
0.6956
0.3254
-6.8822
3.319
1
1
0
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1.3731
1.408
1.408
1.3731
1.385
1.367
1.376
0.7849
1.4089
1.3944
1.40165
0.6264
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:21 | 1.39340000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:27 | 1.39340000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3934 | 1.4089 | 1.3547 | 2.5 | 1.7034 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4089 - 1.3934 = 0.0155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3934 - 1.3547 = 0.0387
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0387 / 0.0155 = 2.4968
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 719.422 | 100 | 516.3069 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0155 = 516.13
Taille de position USD = 516.13 x 1.3934 = 719.18
Donc, tu peux acheter 516.13 avec un stoploss a 1.4089
Avec un position size USD de 719.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 516.13 x 0.0155 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 516.13 x 0.0387 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.78 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1554 % | 103.87 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3934 | 1.4089 | 1.3547 | 2.5 | 1.7034 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4089 - 1.3934 = 0.0155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3934 - 1.3547 = 0.0387
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0387 / 0.0155 = 2.4968
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(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.136% | 0.1R | -1.155% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.136% | 0.1R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.136% | 0.1R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.158% | 0.1R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.273% | 0.3R | -1.600% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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