Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.36 XMR at 415.47$ per unit. Take profit: 417.9856 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 414.2122 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.36 XMR at 415.47$ per unit. Take profit: 417.9856 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 414.2122 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 415.47$
Qty 6.3602 XMR
Size 2642.4817$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 417.9856 (+0.61%)
TP $ 16$
SL 414.2122 (-0.3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4693
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4693
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.50×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.23×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 18/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.190358 15m : 0.175844 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7831 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.34% · r3d: 0.82% · ema21_slope: 0.7900% · dist_ema21: 7.413% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6376 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: -1.29% · beta_24h: 0.370 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1459 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.184 · trend: -31.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7583 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8648 | ATR%: 3.406% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5591 | r1h: 0.206% · r4h: 0.853% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: 3.76% · ema21_slope: 0.0364% · dist_ema21: 0.635% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5177 | rs_1h: 0.061% · rs_4h: 0.729% · rs_1d: -1.07% · rs_3d: 1.60% · beta_24h: 0.493 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2014 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.945 · trend: -1.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5536 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.690% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6430 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.177% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 3.59% · ema21_slope: 0.1532% · dist_ema21: 1.660% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5546 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.320% · rs_1d: -0.30% · rs_3d: 1.88% · beta_24h: 0.492 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0690 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.189 · trend: -38.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4912 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 69.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.478% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 1.9R | -0.874% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 1.9R | -0.999% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.585% | 1.9R | -1.538% | 5.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.148% | 3.8R | -1.538% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.148% | 3.8R | -1.538% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.93 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.60% | +0.11 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.13 | bull_low | +0.96% | +0.02 | 18/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.14% | +0.08 | 18/08 05:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.976×ATR | p16 | +1.988×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 26b | — | 3.943×ATR | p62 | +0.887×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.535×ATR | p4 | +0.661×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.667×ATR | p56 | -0.378×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64204.7
-0.00136681
64117
0.190358
64049
0.00106134
64117
0.175844
63477.1
0.0105849
64149
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
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422.1
196
0.7886
0.5291
0.396
0.2689
0.5
1
0.1856
0.6348
0.781
0.1206
0.5827
0.8552
0.1044
0.0714
1
0.5749
1.3704
0.75
0.25
1
3
0.9474
0.5147
0.4052
4.2943
0.5
1.6293
3.6554
1.3704
0
0.2626
0.1
-0.2091
0.5176
0.5198
0.6349
0.8552
-1.607
9.4919
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 02:25:00 | 416.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:30:00 | 414.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:05:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:35:00 | 414.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 04:20:00 | 413.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:20:00 | 421.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 06:55:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:40:00 | 420 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:50:00 | 417.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 09:25:00 | 415.25 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 15:45:00 | 411.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:15:00 | 417.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:45:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:00:00 | 416.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 416.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 414.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:15:00 | 416.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:45:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 09:15:00 | 415.25 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 407.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415.47 | 414.2122 | 417.9856 | 2 | 570.96 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 414.2122 - 415.47 = -1.2578
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 415.47 - 417.9856 = -2.5155999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5155999999999 / -1.2578 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2642.4817 | 100 | 6.3602 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.2578 = -6.36
Taille de position USD = -6.36 x 415.47 = -2642.39
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.36 avec un stoploss a 414.2122
Avec un position size USD de -2642.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.36 x -1.2578 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.36 x -2.5155999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8737 % | 288.64 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415.47 | 414.2122 | 417.9856 | 2 | 570.96 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 414.2122 - 415.47 = -1.2578
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 415.47 - 417.9856 = -2.5155999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5155999999999 / -1.2578 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 1.9R | -0.874% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 1.9R | -0.999% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.585% | 1.9R | -1.538% | 5.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.148% | 3.8R | -1.538% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.148% | 3.8R | -1.538% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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