Short Trade on TRUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 1947.9 TRUMP at 1.406$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3978 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4101 (0.29 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 1947.9 TRUMP at 1.406$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3978 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4101 (0.29 %)
Position
Entry 1.406$
Qty 1947.9033 TRUMP
Size 2738.7521$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3978 (+0.58%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 1.4101 (-0.29%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7984
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7984
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 18/08 06:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.575673 15m : 0.509882 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2484 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: -0.43% · ema21_slope: -0.3620% · dist_ema21: -3.925% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3954 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.20% · rs_3d: -2.54% · beta_24h: 0.577 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1044 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.434 · trend: -62.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3939 | ADX: 9.3 (weak) · Chop: 60.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6703 | ATR%: 3.989% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4769 | r1h: -0.107% · r4h: 0.606% · r1d: -0.88% · r3d: -1.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0437% · dist_ema21: -0.081% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4671 | rs_1h: 0.089% · rs_4h: 0.724% · rs_1d: -2.21% · rs_3d: -2.89% · beta_24h: 1.040 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9064 | rvol_20: 2.66× · zscore_50: 2.401 · trend: 116.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5475 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.666% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4507 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.215% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -0.77% · ema21_slope: -0.0454% · dist_ema21: -0.622% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4166 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.071% · rs_1d: -1.42% · rs_3d: -2.48% · beta_24h: 1.058 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2164 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.152 · trend: 19.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4911 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.336% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.021% | 0.1R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.199% | 0.7R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.605% | 2.1R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.053% | 3.6R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.181% | 4.1R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.25% | -0.49 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.47% | -0.30 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.43 | bull_low | +0.81% | -0.02 | 18/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_low_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.43 | range_low | +0.17% | +0.15 | 18/08 06:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 45b | — | 8.443×ATR | p70 | -1.208×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.161×ATR | p0 | -0.338×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.637×ATR | p8 | +0.889×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.678×ATR | p80 | +2.347×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64175
-0.00101293
64110
0.575673
64043.6
0.00153629
64142
0.509882
63481.5
0.0101352
64125
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 16:00:00
[1] => 1.4213
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 01:00:00
[1] => 1.411
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 04:00:00
[1] => 1.3897
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:00:00
[1] => 1.3897
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 1.4403
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 1.3897
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 04:00:00
[1] => 1.4184
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 12:00:00
[1] => 1.3944
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 02:00:00
[1] => 1.3731
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:00:00
[1] => 1.406
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021337126600282
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3741897895273
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3960381618236
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 21:45:00
[1] => 1.4035
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:30:00
[1] => 1.393
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:15:00
[1] => 1.4023
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 02:45:00
[1] => 1.3731
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 04:30:00
[1] => 1.3896
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 05:30:00
[1] => 1.3824
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:15:00
[1] => 1.406
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:45:00
[1] => 1.3952
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 09:15:00
[1] => 1.3905
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 10:15:00
[1] => 1.4082
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0071012640249957
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2657317511686
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2729234088457
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 05:25:00
[1] => 1.3887
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 05:35:00
[1] => 1.3824
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:30:00
[1] => 1.4041
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:05:00
[1] => 1.3963
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:20:00
[1] => 1.406
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:50:00
[1] => 1.3952
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 08:15:00
[1] => 1.3998
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 09:15:00
[1] => 1.4
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 09:20:00
[1] => 1.3905
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 10:25:00
[1] => 1.4105
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31903580290678
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1147069399496
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4383315354189
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
1.3905
198
0.4662
0.6263
0.4317
0.3044
0.5358
0.4711
0.407
0.6644
0.3132
0.7799
0.6823
0.4429
0.0407
-0.0046
0.6667
0.9344
0.5307
0.35
0.65
-1
8
1
0.3911
0.6225
3.8416
0.55
0.4711
1.6106
0.5307
0.778
0.1975
0.68
0.2578
0.6738
0.5174
0.5673
0.4429
-5.3579
4.2591
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:27 | 1.40600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:34 | 1.40600000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 05:25:00 | 1.3887 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 05:35:00 | 1.3824 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:30:00 | 1.4041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:05:00 | 1.3963 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:20:00 | 1.406 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:50:00 | 1.3952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:15:00 | 1.3998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 09:15:00 | 1.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 09:20:00 | 1.3905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:25:00 | 1.4105 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 21:45:00 | 1.4035 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:30:00 | 1.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:15:00 | 1.4023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:45:00 | 1.3731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 04:30:00 | 1.3896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 05:30:00 | 1.3824 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:15:00 | 1.406 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:45:00 | 1.3952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 09:15:00 | 1.3905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:15:00 | 1.4082 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 1.4213 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 1.411 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 04:00:00 | 1.3897 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 1.3897 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 1.4403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.3897 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 1.4184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 1.3944 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 1.3731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 1.406 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.406 | 1.4101 | 1.3978 | 2 | 1.6993 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4101 - 1.406 = 0.0041
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.406 - 1.3978 = 0.0082
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0082 / 0.0041 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2738.7521 | 100 | 1947.9033 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0041 = 1951.22
Taille de position USD = 1951.22 x 1.406 = 2743.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 1951.22 avec un stoploss a 1.4101
Avec un position size USD de 2743.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0041 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0082 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4125 % | 141.46 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.406 | 1.4101 | 1.3978 | 2 | 1.6993 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4101 - 1.406 = 0.0041
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.406 - 1.3978 = 0.0082
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0082 / 0.0041 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3978
[entry_price] => 1.406
[stop_loss] => 1.41051
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 10:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3978
[entry_price] => 1.406
[stop_loss] => 1.41092
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 10:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3978
[entry_price] => 1.406
[stop_loss] => 1.41133
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 10:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3978
[entry_price] => 1.406
[stop_loss] => 1.41215
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 10:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.021% | 0.1R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.199% | 0.7R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.605% | 2.1R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.053% | 3.6R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.181% | 4.1R | -0.690% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.