Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.22 XMR at 412.2$ per unit. Take profit: 415.9879 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 410.306 (0.46 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.22 XMR at 412.2$ per unit. Take profit: 415.9879 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 410.306 (0.46 %)
Position
Entry 412.2$
Qty 4.2239 XMR
Size 1741.1095$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 415.9879 (+0.92%)
TP $ 16$
SL 410.306 (-0.46%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5295
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5295
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.10×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.23×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 18/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.141144 15m : 0.16911 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7831 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.34% · r3d: 0.82% · ema21_slope: 0.7900% · dist_ema21: 7.413% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6376 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: -1.29% · beta_24h: 0.370 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1459 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.184 · trend: -31.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7583 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8648 | ATR%: 3.406% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5113 | r1h: -0.316% · r4h: -0.154% · r1d: -0.64% · r3d: 2.85% · ema21_slope: 0.0316% · dist_ema21: 0.063% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4787 | rs_1h: -0.120% · rs_4h: -0.035% · rs_1d: -1.97% · rs_3d: 1.08% · beta_24h: 0.574 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8751 | rvol_20: 2.88× · zscore_50: 2.339 · trend: 54.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5349 | ADX: 13.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.752% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6430 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.177% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 3.59% · ema21_slope: 0.1532% · dist_ema21: 1.660% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5546 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.320% · rs_1d: -0.30% · rs_3d: 1.88% · beta_24h: 0.492 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0690 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.189 · trend: -38.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4912 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 69.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.478% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 0.8R | -0.214% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.362% | 0.8R | -0.454% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.448% | 3.2R | -0.757% | 1.7R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.951% | 4.2R | -0.757% | 1.7R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.951% | 4.2R | -0.757% | 1.7R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.93 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.47% | +0.10 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.13 | bull_low | +0.81% | +0.01 | 18/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.12 | range_low | +0.17% | -0.00 | 18/08 06:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.976×ATR | p16 | +1.988×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 26b | — | 3.578×ATR | p48 | +0.695×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.303×ATR | p2 | -0.12×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.376×ATR | p27 | -0.784×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64175.2
-0.000844924
64121
0.141144
64043.6
0.00153629
64142
0.16911
63481.5
0.0101352
64125
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411.84
198
0.6457
0.6243
0.4629
0.28
0.6125
0.8396
0.2322
0.5636
0.7182
0.3678
0.6354
0.7845
0.0656
0.0531
0.6667
-0.1182
0.5199
0.75
0.25
1
4
0.9474
0.4926
0.5389
4.2943
0.6
0.8396
3.6055
0.5199
0.316
0.2413
0.36
-0.0723
0.5385
0.4897
0.6663
0.7845
-2.1159
7.703
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:28 | 412.20000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:35 | 413.11000000 | +0.221% |
| 3 | 06:40 | 412.12000000 | -0.019% |
| 4 | 06:46 | 412.41000000 | +0.051% |
| 5 | 06:52 | 412.04000000 | -0.039% |
| 6 | 06:58 | 412.01000000 | -0.046% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 02:30:00 | 414.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:05:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:35:00 | 414.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 04:20:00 | 413.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:20:00 | 421.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 06:55:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:40:00 | 420 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:50:00 | 417.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 09:40:00 | 411.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:20:00 | 411.96 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 15:45:00 | 411.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:15:00 | 417.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:45:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:00:00 | 416.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 416.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 414.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:15:00 | 416.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:45:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 09:30:00 | 411.84 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 407.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 09:00:00 | 411.84 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412.2 | 410.306 | 415.9879 | 2 | 587.67 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 410.306 - 412.2 = -1.894
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 412.2 - 415.9879 = -3.7879
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.7879 / -1.894 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1741.1095 | 100 | 4.2239 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.894 = -4.22
Taille de position USD = -4.22 x 412.2 = -1739.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.22 avec un stoploss a 410.306
Avec un position size USD de -1739.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.22 x -1.894 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.22 x -3.7879 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7157 % | 155.76 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412.2 | 410.306 | 415.9879 | 2 | 587.67 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 410.306 - 412.2 = -1.894
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 412.2 - 415.9879 = -3.7879
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.7879 / -1.894 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 0.8R | -0.214% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.362% | 0.8R | -0.454% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.448% | 3.2R | -0.757% | 1.7R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.951% | 4.2R | -0.757% | 1.7R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.951% | 4.2R | -0.757% | 1.7R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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