Long Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 241.5 ACE at 0.22$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2251 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1865 (15.07 %)
Long Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 241.5 ACE at 0.22$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2251 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1865 (15.07 %)
Position
Entry 0.2196$
Qty 241.4979 ACE
Size 53.0329$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2251 (+2.5%)
TP $ 1.33$
SL 0.1865 (-15.07%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.17
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6208
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6208
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8606 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.39% · r3d: 1.51% · ema21_slope: 4.3628% · dist_ema21: 25.399% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7423 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.22% · rs_3d: -0.60% · beta_24h: -1.307 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2856 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.638 · trend: 46.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9612 | ADX: 55.3 (trend) · Chop: 9.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 30.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 1.0000 | r1h: 7.523% · r4h: 23.114% · r1d: 25.53% · r3d: 32.93% · ema21_slope: 0.9221% · dist_ema21: 27.240% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 1.0000 | rs_1h: 7.592% · rs_4h: 23.111% · rs_1d: 24.73% · rs_3d: 31.14% · beta_24h: -3.180 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2773 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.416 · trend: 13.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7643 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 25.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8306 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.682% · r1d: 9.51% · r3d: 9.14% · ema21_slope: 0.2736% · dist_ema21: 14.017% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8362 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.702% · rs_1d: 9.28% · rs_3d: 7.18% · beta_24h: 5.504 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1923 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.729 · trend: -19.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5728 | ADX: 38.8 (trend) · Chop: 69.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.981% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.514% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.514% | 0.5R | -0.273% | 0.0R | 27.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +7.514% | 0.5R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.514% | 0.5R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.698% | 0.6R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +13.160% | 0.9R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.23 | bear_high | -3.14% | +1.00 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | -0.02 | range_medium | +0.50% | -0.96 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bull_low | +0.79% | +0.99 | 18/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.11% | +0.96 | 18/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 3.704×ATR | p35 | +1.014×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 3.023×ATR | p29 | +2.094×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.624×ATR | p61 | +3.392×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 0.394×ATR | p0 | +3.379×ATR | p92 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2196 | 0.1865 | 0.2251 | 0.17 | 0.1407 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1865 - 0.2196 = -0.0331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2196 - 0.2251 = -0.0055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0055 / -0.0331 = 0.1662
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53.0329 | 53.0329 | 241.4979 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0331 = -241.69
Taille de position USD = -241.69 x 0.2196 = -53.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -241.69 avec un stoploss a 0.1865
Avec un position size USD de -53.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -241.69 x -0.0331 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -241.69 x -0.0055 = 1.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.33$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 1.33 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 15.07 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.33 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2196 | 0.1865 | 0.2251 | 0.17 | 0.1407 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1865 - 0.2196 = -0.0331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2196 - 0.2251 = -0.0055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0055 / -0.0331 = 0.1662
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.514% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.514% | 0.5R | -0.273% | 0.0R | 27.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +7.514% | 0.5R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.514% | 0.5R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.698% | 0.6R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +13.160% | 0.9R | -5.055% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.