Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 134.16 MORPHO at 2.188$ per unit. Take profit: 2.243 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1287 (2.72 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 14:05
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 2.1883$
Qty 134.1609 MORPHO
Size 293.5844$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.243 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.34$
SL 2.1287 (-2.72%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.92
Status
loss
PnL
-2.72%
/ -8$
MAE -2.79%
MFE +0.65%
0.2R
expires
18 Aug 16:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73731)
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8882
Quality Score
0.656
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 10:02
18/08 10:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73731)
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8882
Quality Score
0.656
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.99×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 10:02
18/08 10:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1617
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 10:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5400
Score SMA
—
Rank
#9
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7083 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.19% · r3d: 8.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1956% · dist_ema21: 7.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6296 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.36% · rs_3d: 6.55% · beta_24h: 0.421 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1585 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.622 · trend: -57.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4789 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6656 | ATR%: 4.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.6558
Score SMA
0.5379
Rank
#4
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8882
Rank Norm SMA
0.5263
Calculé le
18/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6735 | r1h: -0.589% · r4h: 2.244% · r1d: 3.82% · r3d: 12.02% · ema21_slope: 0.1277% · dist_ema21: 2.348% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6480 | rs_1h: -0.520% · rs_4h: 2.241% · rs_1d: 3.02% · rs_3d: 10.23% · beta_24h: 0.811 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2791 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.167 · trend: -17.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9064 | ADX: 58.0 (trend) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.105% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6911
Score SMA
0.6593
Rank
#2
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9789
Rank Norm SMA
0.9634
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7725 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.979% · r1d: 2.68% · r3d: 11.05% · ema21_slope: 0.4255% · dist_ema21: 5.600% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6896 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.999% · rs_1d: 2.45% · rs_3d: 9.09% · beta_24h: 1.625 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2444 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.577 · trend: 12.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9207 | ADX: 50.5 (trend) · Chop: 25.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.724%
(0.0596)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.142% | 0.1R | -1.421% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -1.421% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -2.792% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.654% | 0.2R | -2.792% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -8.605% | 3.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -8.605% | 3.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.5
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.71 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.50% | +0.75 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.25 | bull_low | +0.79% | +0.29 | 18/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.11 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.20 | 18/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.751×ATR | p32 | +2.568×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.135×ATR | p0 | +2.623×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.285×ATR | p75 | +1.805×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 0.502×ATR | p0 | +1.631×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.12867012
- tp_price: 2.2430075
- atr: 0.02385195
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T20:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 49
- score: 0.6735
- delta_2h: 0.0007
- extension_atr: 2.23
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8882
- confidence: 0.958
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:10 | 2.18830000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:10 | 2.18370000 | -0.21% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1883 | 2.1287 | 2.243 | 0.92 | 2.0826 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1883
- Stop Loss: 2.1287
- Take Profit: 2.243
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1287 - 2.1883 = -0.0596
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1883 - 2.243 = -0.0547
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0547 / -0.0596 = 0.9178
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 293.5844 | 100 | 134.1609 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0596
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0596 = -134.23
Taille de position USD = -134.23 x 2.1883 = -293.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -134.23 avec un stoploss a 2.1287
Avec un position size USD de -293.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -134.23 x -0.0596 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -134.23 x -0.0547 = 7.34
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.34$
Résumé
- Taille de position -134.23
- Taille de position USD -293.74
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.34
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9178
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.34 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.72 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7601 % | 101.34 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1883 | 2.1287 | 2.243 | 0.92 | 2.0826 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1883
- Stop Loss: 2.1287
- Take Profit: 2.243
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1287 - 2.1883 = -0.0596
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1883 - 2.243 = -0.0547
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0547 / -0.0596 = 0.9178
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.724%
(0.0596)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.142% | 0.1R | -1.421% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -1.421% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -2.792% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.654% | 0.2R | -2.792% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -8.605% | 3.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.654% | 0.2R | -8.605% | 3.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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