Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 40.59 VVV at 14.204$ per unit. Take profit: 14.5982 (2.78 %) & Stop Loss: 14.0069 (1.39 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 40.59 VVV at 14.204$ per unit. Take profit: 14.5982 (2.78 %) & Stop Loss: 14.0069 (1.39 %)
Position
Entry 14.204$
Qty 40.5922 VVV
Size 576.571$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 14.5982 (+2.78%)
TP $ 16$
SL 14.0069 (-1.39%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 1.0000
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 1.0000
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.71×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.93×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 18/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.115167 15m : 0.027132 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6843 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1752% · dist_ema21: 9.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7100 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: 1.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1397 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.905 · trend: -55.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4548 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8122 | r1h: -0.014% · r4h: 1.328% · r1d: 19.43% · r3d: 20.25% · ema21_slope: 0.6283% · dist_ema21: 6.198% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7799 | rs_1h: 0.055% · rs_4h: 1.324% · rs_1d: 18.63% · rs_3d: 18.46% · beta_24h: 1.528 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5443 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.727 · trend: 115.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9472 | ADX: 53.7 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.929% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8984 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.775% · r1d: 15.93% · r3d: 21.85% · ema21_slope: 0.6137% · dist_ema21: 13.986% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8593 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.755% · rs_1d: 15.71% · rs_3d: 19.89% · beta_24h: 3.692 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3665 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.502 · trend: 151.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8175 | ADX: 38.1 (trend) · Chop: 11.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.708% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.507% | 0.4R | -2.499% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.493% | 1.1R | -2.499% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.493% | 1.1R | -2.499% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.493% | 1.1R | -4.140% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.493% | 1.1R | -4.140% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.91 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.50% | +0.96 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.35 | bull_low | +0.79% | +0.88 | 18/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.20 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.34 | 18/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.779×ATR | p41 | +2.897×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 6.952×ATR | p93 | +4.033×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.066×ATR | p2 | +2.798×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.689×ATR | p13 | +0.741×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64211.1
0.00390595
64462
-0.115167
64135.6
0.00462109
64432
0.027132
63532.8
0.0108785
64224
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 23:00:00
[1] => 12.187
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 10:00:00
[1] => 11.72
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:00:00
[1] => 12.071
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 22:00:00
[1] => 12.249
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 12:00:00
[1] => 11.794
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 12.054
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 21:00:00
[1] => 11.665
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:00:00
[1] => 12.046
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 12.89
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:00:00
[1] => 14.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8108108108108
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.44220325834
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.817688130334
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 13:45:00
[1] => 12.154
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:15:00
[1] => 12.046
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:00:00
[1] => 12.87
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:15:00
[1] => 12.527
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:00:00
[1] => 13.4
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 02:30:00
[1] => 13.317
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:30:00
[1] => 12.89
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:15:00
[1] => 14.8
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:00:00
[1] => 14.624
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:15:00
[1] => 14.153
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0497811816193
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17664099484209
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3279163428248
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 10:25:00
[1] => 14.178
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 10:40:00
[1] => 14.636
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 11:20:00
[1] => 14.714
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 11:30:00
[1] => 14.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:20:00
[1] => 14.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:30:00
[1] => 14.375
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:10:00
[1] => 14.36
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:35:00
[1] => 14.588
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:10:00
[1] => 14.624
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:15:00
[1] => 14.153
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8719912472648
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.36034762947785
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3279163428248
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
14.8
197
0.794
0.6982
0.3292
0.2621
0.3842
1
0.377
0.5795
0.7211
0.988
0.7287
0.8252
0.292
0.1959
1
1.4726
3.619
0.55
0.45
1
2
1
0.4758
0.5626
6.7338
0.7
3.7451
8.605
3.619
0
0.2412
0.98
0.4566
0.6004
0.6079
0.8653
0.8252
-1.7072
8.0606
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:22 | 14.20400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:27 | 14.18800000 | -0.113% |
| 3 | 10:34 | 14.15800000 | -0.324% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 10:25:00 | 14.178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:40:00 | 14.636 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 11:20:00 | 14.714 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 11:30:00 | 14.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:20:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 12:30:00 | 14.375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:10:00 | 14.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:35:00 | 14.588 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:10:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:15:00 | 14.153 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 13:45:00 | 12.154 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:15:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 12.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:15:00 | 12.527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:30:00 | 13.317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:15:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:15:00 | 14.153 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 23:00:00 | 12.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 11.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 12.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:00:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.204 | 14.0069 | 14.5982 | 2 | 24.565 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.0069 - 14.204 = -0.1971
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.204 - 14.5982 = -0.3942
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3942 / -0.1971 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 576.571 | 100 | 40.5922 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1971 = -40.59
Taille de position USD = -40.59 x 14.204 = -576.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -40.59 avec un stoploss a 14.0069
Avec un position size USD de -576.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -40.59 x -0.1971 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -40.59 x -0.3942 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.78 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5489 % | 111.62 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.204 | 14.0069 | 14.5982 | 2 | 24.565 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.0069 - 14.204 = -0.1971
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.204 - 14.5982 = -0.3942
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3942 / -0.1971 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5982
[entry_price] => 14.204
[stop_loss] => 13.98719
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5982
[entry_price] => 14.204
[stop_loss] => 13.96748
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5982
[entry_price] => 14.204
[stop_loss] => 13.94777
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5982
[entry_price] => 14.204
[stop_loss] => 13.90835
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.507% | 0.4R | -2.499% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.493% | 1.1R | -2.499% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.493% | 1.1R | -2.499% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.493% | 1.1R | -4.140% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.493% | 1.1R | -4.140% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.