Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 36.65 VVV at 13.958$ per unit. Take profit: 14.3946 (3.13 %) & Stop Loss: 13.7397 (1.56 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 36.65 VVV at 13.958$ per unit. Take profit: 14.3946 (3.13 %) & Stop Loss: 13.7397 (1.56 %)
Position
Entry 13.958$
Qty 36.6503 VVV
Size 511.5645$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 14.3946 (+3.13%)
TP $ 16$
SL 13.7397 (-1.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 1.0000
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 1.0000
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.62×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.93×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 18/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.087445 15m : -0.146619 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6843 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1752% · dist_ema21: 9.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7100 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: 1.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1397 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.905 · trend: -55.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4548 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8122 | r1h: -0.014% · r4h: 1.328% · r1d: 19.43% · r3d: 20.25% · ema21_slope: 0.6283% · dist_ema21: 6.198% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7799 | rs_1h: 0.055% · rs_4h: 1.324% · rs_1d: 18.63% · rs_3d: 18.46% · beta_24h: 1.528 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5443 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.727 · trend: 115.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9472 | ADX: 53.7 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.929% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8984 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.775% · r1d: 15.93% · r3d: 21.85% · ema21_slope: 0.6137% · dist_ema21: 13.986% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8593 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.755% · rs_1d: 15.71% · rs_3d: 19.89% · beta_24h: 3.692 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3665 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.502 · trend: 151.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8175 | ADX: 38.1 (trend) · Chop: 11.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.708% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.601% | 1.7R | -0.781% | 0.5R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.281% | 2.1R | -0.781% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.281% | 2.1R | -1.132% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.281% | 2.1R | -2.450% | 1.6R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.281% | 2.1R | -2.450% | 1.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.91 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.95 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.71% | +0.75 | 18/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | -0.05 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.97% | -0.26 | 18/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.779×ATR | p41 | +2.897×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 6.854×ATR | p93 | +3.953×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.64×ATR | p55 | +0.883×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.649×ATR | p67 | -1.219×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64312.2
0.00742875
64790
-0.087445
64174.8
0.00914851
64762
-0.146619
63543.3
0.0190677
64755
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14.8
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0.6017
0.8659
0.7493
-2.2701
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0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:51 | 13.95800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:58 | 13.90800000 | -0.358% |
| 3 | 11:05 | 13.90900000 | -0.351% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 10:25:00 | 14.178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:40:00 | 14.636 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 11:20:00 | 14.714 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 11:30:00 | 14.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:20:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 12:30:00 | 14.375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:10:00 | 14.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:35:00 | 14.588 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:10:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:50:00 | 13.907 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 15:15:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 12.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:15:00 | 12.527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:30:00 | 13.317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:15:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:45:00 | 13.916 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 11.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 12.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:00:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 13.969 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.958 | 13.7397 | 14.3946 | 2 | 24.496 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.7397 - 13.958 = -0.2183
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.958 - 14.3946 = -0.4366
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4366 / -0.2183 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 511.5645 | 100 | 36.6503 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2183 = -36.65
Taille de position USD = -36.65 x 13.958 = -511.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -36.65 avec un stoploss a 13.7397
Avec un position size USD de -511.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -36.65 x -0.2183 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -36.65 x -0.4366 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 3.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7809 % | 49.93 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.958 | 13.7397 | 14.3946 | 2 | 24.496 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.7397 - 13.958 = -0.2183
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.958 - 14.3946 = -0.4366
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4366 / -0.2183 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.601% | 1.7R | -0.781% | 0.5R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.281% | 2.1R | -0.781% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.281% | 2.1R | -1.132% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.281% | 2.1R | -2.450% | 1.6R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.281% | 2.1R | -2.450% | 1.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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