Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 557.35 DOT at 0.747$ per unit. Take profit: 0.711 (4.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7612 (1.91 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 10:56:22
hyperliquid
DOT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 10:56
→ 22:55
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.7469$
Qty 557.3499 DOT
Size 416.2624$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.711 (+4.81%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.7612 (-1.91%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-1.01%
/ -4.19$
MAE -1.38%
MFE +0.37%
0.2R
expires
18 Aug 22:56
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73716)
#33 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4688
Quality Score
0.476
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 10:45
18/08 10:45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73716)
#33 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4688
Quality Score
0.476
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#33 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.38×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 10:45
18/08 10:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 18/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4760
Score SMA
0.5057
Rank
#33
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4688
Rank Norm SMA
0.4568
Calculé le
18/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4110 | r1h: 0.364% · r4h: -0.088% · r1d: -2.16% · r3d: -5.04% · ema21_slope: -0.1648% · dist_ema21: -0.714% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4222 | rs_1h: 0.433% · rs_4h: -0.091% · rs_1d: -2.96% · rs_3d: -6.83% · beta_24h: 1.351 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1890 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.446 · trend: -35.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7288 | ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 26.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4476
Score SMA
0.4348
Rank
#40
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1895
Rank Norm SMA
0.1749
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3903 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.020% · r1d: -2.31% · r3d: -4.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1482% · dist_ema21: -2.156% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3728 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.041% · rs_1d: -2.53% · rs_3d: -6.60% · beta_24h: 1.753 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1463 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.304 · trend: -25.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7206 | ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 39.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.314% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.915%
(0.0143)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.205% | 0.1R | -0.770% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.205% | 0.1R | -0.928% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.205% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.374% | 0.2R | -0.937% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.374% | 0.2R | -1.382% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.374% | 0.2R | -4.292% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.42
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.35 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | range_medium | +0.75% | -0.53 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.71% | -0.23 | 18/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | bull_low_confirmed | +0.97% | +0.03 | 18/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.617×ATR | p50 | -1.948×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 4.313×ATR | p58 | -1.577×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.279×ATR | p85 | +0.359×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 5.122×ATR | p85 | +3.089×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8233
- reason: down_bo width=2.90×ATR dur=63b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.76121364
- tp_price: 0.71097591
- atr:
- score: 0.82329798011512
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T02:56:14.461346
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82329798011512
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0043
- obi_top10 : 0.097
- micro_price : 0.74639577
- spread_pct : 0.134048
- mid_price : 0.7465
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0057
- obi_top5_std : 0.0032
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7091
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.76868
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.75264
- balance_zone_mid:
0.76066
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786838400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787061600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8972
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
63
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8233
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787014800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.75264
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7778
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
13
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.044
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
2
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00553637 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
63
inside_close_ratio
0.7778
bars_since_breakout
13
distance_to_edge_atr
1.044
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:56 | 0.74686000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 11:03 | 0.74686000 | -0.005% |
| 3 | 11:38 | 0.75078000 | +0.519% |
| 4 | 11:44 | 0.75078000 | +0.519% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7091ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.004
avg -0.006
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.097
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.7465
Micro Price
0.7464
Spread
0.1340%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7469 | 0.7612 | 0.711 | 2.51 | 1.0346 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7469
- Stop Loss: 0.7612
- Take Profit: 0.711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7612 - 0.7469 = 0.0143
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7469 - 0.711 = 0.0359
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0359 / 0.0143 = 2.5105
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 416.2624 | 100 | 557.3499 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0143
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0143 = 559.44
Taille de position USD = 559.44 x 0.7469 = 417.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 559.44 avec un stoploss a 0.7612
Avec un position size USD de 417.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 559.44 x 0.0143 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 559.44 x 0.0359 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 559.44
- Taille de position USD 417.85
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5105
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.81 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.91 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.19 $ | -1.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3817 % | 72.17 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7469 | 0.7612 | 0.711 | 2.51 | 1.0346 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7469
- Stop Loss: 0.7612
- Take Profit: 0.711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7612 - 0.7469 = 0.0143
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7469 - 0.711 = 0.0359
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0359 / 0.0143 = 2.5105
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.915%
(0.0143)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.205% | 0.1R | -0.770% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.205% | 0.1R | -0.928% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.205% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.374% | 0.2R | -0.937% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.374% | 0.2R | -1.382% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.374% | 0.2R | -4.292% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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