Long Trade on ETH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.52 ETH at 1914$ per unit. Take profit: 1952.2709 (2 %) & Stop Loss: 1898.6916 (0.8 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 11:12:23
hyperliquid
ETH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 11:12
→ 23:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1914$
Qty 0.5226 ETH
Size 1000.2373$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 1952.2709 (+2%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1898.6916 (-0.8%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.16%
/ -1.62$
MAE -0.41%
MFE +0.39%
0.5R
expires
18 Aug 23:12
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73746)
#9 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 11:00
score du 18/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5590
Quality Score
0.642
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
604.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 11:00
18/08 11:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73746)
#9 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 11:00
score du 18/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5590
Quality Score
0.642
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.43×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
604.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 11:00
18/08 11:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 18/08 10:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1618
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4438
Score SMA
—
Rank
#18
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5550 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 1.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0310% · dist_ema21: 1.209% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5062 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: -0.65% · beta_24h: 1.155 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0514 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.229 · trend: -54.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2698 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 82.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.288% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.6420
Score SMA
0.5103
Rank
#9
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5590
Rank Norm SMA
0.4801
Calculé le
18/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5414 | r1h: 0.754% · r4h: 0.733% · r1d: 0.12% · r3d: 1.49% · ema21_slope: -0.0068% · dist_ema21: 0.564% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4647 | rs_1h: -0.126% · rs_4h: -0.176% · rs_1d: -1.27% · rs_3d: -1.27% · beta_24h: 0.936 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8644 | rvol_20: 2.80× · zscore_50: 2.404 · trend: 51.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6037 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 42.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.460% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4858
Score SMA
0.4867
Rank
#22
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5791
Rank Norm SMA
0.6073
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5196 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.021% · r1d: -0.52% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: 0.0536% · dist_ema21: 0.396% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4897 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.041% · rs_1d: -0.75% · rs_3d: -1.00% · beta_24h: 1.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1412 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.306 · trend: -28.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5283 | ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.719% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.800%
(15.3084)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.136% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.136% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.209% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.209% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.408% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.507% | 6.9R | -0.455% | 0.6R | 12.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.21
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 28% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.10 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.86 | range_medium | +0.75% | -0.09 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.85 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.71% | -0.05 | 18/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.87 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.89% | -0.01 | 18/08 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 53b | — | 8.564×ATR | p92 | +0.38×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.242×ATR | p0 | +0.353×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 2.069×ATR | p24 | +1.168×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.187×ATR | p26 | +1.611×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7643
- reason: up_bo width=1.53×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 1898.69163227
- tp_price: 1952.27091933
- atr:
- score: 0.86434848747148
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T03:12:15.413224
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86434848747148
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1404
- obi_top10 : -0.1404
- micro_price : 1912.20478979
- spread_pct : 0.000523
- mid_price : 1912.205
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1572
- obi_top5_std : 0.0261
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7214
- aggregation_tick : 10
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1906.1
- balance_zone_bottom:
1893
- balance_zone_mid:
1899.55
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786960800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787065200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.5262
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8643
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787061600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1906.1
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9204
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 8.5836773 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.6333
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9204
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | 1914.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:48 | 1917.30000000 | +0.172% |
| 3 | 12:54 | 1917.30000000 | +0.172% |
| 4 | 13:00 | 1917.30000000 | +0.172% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7214ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.140
avg -0.157
± 0.026
OBI Top 10
-0.140
Microstructure
Mid Price
1,912.2050
Micro Price
1,912.2048
Spread
0.0005%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1914 | 1898.6916 | 1952.2709 | 2.5 | 2326.4 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1914
- Stop Loss: 1898.6916
- Take Profit: 1952.2709
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1898.6916 - 1914 = -15.3084
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1914 - 1952.2709 = -38.2709
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -38.2709 / -15.3084 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1000.2373 | 100 | 0.5226 | 10.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -15.3084
Taille de position = 8 / -15.3084 = -0.52
Taille de position USD = -0.52 x 1914 = -995.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.52 avec un stoploss a 1898.6916
Avec un position size USD de -995.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.52 x -15.3084 = 7.96
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.96$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.52 x -38.2709 = 19.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.52
- Taille de position USD -995.28
- Perte potentielle 7.96
- Gain potentiel 19.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.62 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4075 % | 50.95 % | 44 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1914 | 1898.6916 | 1952.2709 | 2.5 | 2326.4 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1914
- Stop Loss: 1898.6916
- Take Profit: 1952.2709
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1898.6916 - 1914 = -15.3084
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1914 - 1952.2709 = -38.2709
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -38.2709 / -15.3084 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.800%
(15.3084)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.136% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.136% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.209% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.209% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.387% | 0.5R | -0.408% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.507% | 6.9R | -0.455% | 0.6R | 12.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.