Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 190.3 LIT at 2.392$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4972 (4.39 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3501 (1.76 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 12:10:52
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 12:10
→ 20:10
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 2.3921$
Qty 190.3007 LIT
Size 455.2183$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 2.4972 (+4.39%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.3501 (-1.76%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.76%
/ -7.99$
MAE -2.32%
MFE +1.17%
0.7R
expires
19 Aug 00:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73838)
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 12:00
score du 18/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7785
Quality Score
0.642
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
8.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 12:02
18/08 12:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73838)
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 12:00
score du 18/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7785
Quality Score
0.642
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.97×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.18×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 12:02
18/08 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 18/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1619
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.65
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4150
Score SMA
—
Rank
#24
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.16% · r3d: 2.86% · ema21_slope: 0.3299% · dist_ema21: 2.820% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4992 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.75% · beta_24h: 1.437 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1290 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.064 · trend: -67.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4836 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.529% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6422
Score SMA
0.5147
Rank
#6
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7785
Rank Norm SMA
0.4891
Calculé le
18/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6152 | r1h: 1.402% · r4h: 1.128% · r1d: 1.60% · r3d: 5.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0774% · dist_ema21: 1.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5917 | rs_1h: 1.238% · rs_4h: 0.404% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: 2.87% · beta_24h: 0.184 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5530 | rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 0.866 · trend: 53.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6610 | ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 40.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.194% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5129
Score SMA
0.4808
Rank
#19
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5253
Rank Norm SMA
0.5335
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6157 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.106% · r1d: -0.44% · r3d: 4.84% · ema21_slope: 0.1147% · dist_ema21: 1.851% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5037 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.126% · rs_1d: -0.67% · rs_3d: 2.87% · beta_24h: -0.338 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2531 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.643 · trend: -30.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3443 | ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 72.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.258% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.756%
(0.0420)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.372% | 0.2R | -0.355% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.372% | 0.2R | -0.380% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.166% | 0.7R | -0.380% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.166% | 0.7R | -1.948% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.166% | 0.7R | -2.324% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.356% | 2.5R | -5.226% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.71 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.2ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.28 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.37% | +0.14 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.25 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.73% | +0.15 | 18/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.40 | bull_low | +1.04% | -0.02 | 18/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.693×ATR | p13 | +0.801×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 24b | — | 3.008×ATR | p45 | +0.675×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.659×ATR | p10 | +1.336×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.56×ATR | p0 | +0.779×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6397
- reason: up_bo width=2.13×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 2.35006127
- tp_price: 2.49719682
- atr:
- score: 0.7396896275837
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T04:10:44.639352
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7396896275837
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1813
- obi_top10 : -0.1061
- micro_price : 2.3889187
- spread_pct : 0.041876
- mid_price : 2.3885
- bid_wall_price : 2.33
- bid_wall_size : 15342.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.42
- ask_wall_size : 23631.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1591
- obi_top5_std : 0.0492
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6980
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.382
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.3236
- balance_zone_mid:
2.3528
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786896000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787068800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1324
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7397
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787065200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.382
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6735
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3688
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.02738728 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.6735
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3688
Signaux confirmants (32)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:10 | 2.39210000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:17 | 2.39210000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:22 | 2.38500000 | -0.297% |
| 4 | 12:29 | 2.38500000 | -0.297% |
| 5 | 12:35 | 2.38500000 | -0.297% |
| 6 | 12:40 | 2.39200000 | -0.004% |
| 7 | 12:46 | 2.39200000 | -0.004% |
| 8 | 12:52 | 2.39700000 | +0.205% |
| 9 | 12:58 | 2.39700000 | +0.205% |
| 10 | 13:05 | 2.39700000 | +0.205% |
| 11 | 13:10 | 2.38890000 | -0.134% |
| 12 | 13:17 | 2.38890000 | -0.134% |
| 13 | 13:22 | 2.39280000 | +0.029% |
| 14 | 13:28 | 2.39280000 | +0.029% |
| 15 | 13:35 | 2.39280000 | +0.029% |
| 16 | 13:40 | 2.39200000 | -0.004% |
| 17 | 13:46 | 2.39200000 | -0.004% |
| 18 | 13:52 | 2.39230000 | +0.008% |
| 19 | 13:58 | 2.39230000 | +0.008% |
| 20 | 14:06 | 2.39230000 | +0.008% |
| 21 | 15:10 | 2.38450000 | -0.318% |
| 22 | 15:16 | 2.38450000 | -0.318% |
| 23 | 15:22 | 2.39140000 | -0.029% |
| 24 | 15:28 | 2.39140000 | -0.029% |
| 25 | 15:34 | 2.39140000 | -0.029% |
| 26 | 15:40 | 2.41340000 | +0.89% |
| 27 | 15:46 | 2.41340000 | +0.89% |
| 28 | 15:52 | 2.39590000 | +0.159% |
| 29 | 15:58 | 2.39590000 | +0.159% |
| 30 | 16:05 | 2.39590000 | +0.159% |
| 31 | 16:11 | 2.38660000 | -0.23% |
| 32 | 16:17 | 2.38660000 | -0.23% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6980ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
64%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.181
avg -0.159
± 0.049
OBI Top 10
-0.106
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.3885
Micro Price
2.3889
Spread
0.0419%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.3300
Size
15,342.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.4200
Size
23,631.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3921 | 2.3501 | 2.4972 | 2.5 | 3.1763 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3921
- Stop Loss: 2.3501
- Take Profit: 2.4972
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3501 - 2.3921 = -0.042
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3921 - 2.4972 = -0.1051
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1051 / -0.042 = 2.5024
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 455.2183 | 100 | 190.3007 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.042
Taille de position = 8 / -0.042 = -190.48
Taille de position USD = -190.48 x 2.3921 = -455.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -190.48 avec un stoploss a 2.3501
Avec un position size USD de -455.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -190.48 x -0.042 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -190.48 x -0.1051 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position -190.48
- Taille de position USD -455.65
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5024
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.39 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.76 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9481 % | 110.95 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3921 | 2.3501 | 2.4972 | 2.5 | 3.1763 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3921
- Stop Loss: 2.3501
- Take Profit: 2.4972
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3501 - 2.3921 = -0.042
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3921 - 2.4972 = -0.1051
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1051 / -0.042 = 2.5024
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.756%
(0.0420)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.372% | 0.2R | -0.355% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.372% | 0.2R | -0.380% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.166% | 0.7R | -0.380% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.166% | 0.7R | -1.948% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.166% | 0.7R | -2.324% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.356% | 2.5R | -5.226% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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