Short Trade on WLD (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1789.71 WLD at 0.324$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3191 (1.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3285 (1.39 %)
Short Trade on WLD (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1789.71 WLD at 0.324$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3191 (1.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3285 (1.39 %)
Position
Entry 0.324$
Qty 1789.7092 WLD
Size 579.8837$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3191 (+1.51%)
TP $ 8.77$
SL 0.3285 (-1.39%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 1.09
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0659
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0659
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.11×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.00×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.94×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5266 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 1.478% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4601 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.92% · beta_24h: 0.498 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1073 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.391 · trend: -65.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5398 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2890 | r1h: 0.231% · r4h: -0.055% · r1d: -9.80% · r3d: -5.88% · ema21_slope: -0.3748% · dist_ema21: -1.922% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2899 | rs_1h: 0.067% · rs_4h: -0.780% · rs_1d: -10.77% · rs_3d: -8.60% · beta_24h: 1.368 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1618 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.583 · trend: -49.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8182 | ADX: 46.2 (trend) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.417% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4549 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.522% · r1d: -6.62% · r3d: -6.86% · ema21_slope: -0.1155% · dist_ema21: -4.057% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3078 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.566% · rs_1d: -7.43% · rs_3d: -9.55% · beta_24h: 2.261 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1786 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.112 · trend: -10.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7535 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 34.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.843% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.198% | 0.1R | -0.975% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.198% | 0.1R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.549% | 0.4R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.701% | 1.9R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.074% | 2.2R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.41 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | bull_medium | +1.45% | -0.64 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.56% | -0.64 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.43 | range_low | +0.70% | -0.09 | 18/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.354×ATR | p0 | -0.499×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.71×ATR | p65 | -1.289×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.034×ATR | p30 | -1.182×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.882×ATR | p27 | -0.274×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:45 | 0.32401000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 13:00 | 0.32394000 | -0.019% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.324 | 0.3285 | 0.3191 | 1.09 | 0.445 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3285 - 0.324 = 0.0045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.324 - 0.3191 = 0.0049
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0049 / 0.0045 = 1.0889
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 579.8837 | 100 | 1789.7092 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0045 = 1777.78
Taille de position USD = 1777.78 x 0.324 = 576
Donc, tu peux acheter 1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.3285
Avec un position size USD de 576$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0049 = 8.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.51 % | 8.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.39 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.77 $ | 1.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1728 % | 84.44 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.324 | 0.3285 | 0.3191 | 1.09 | 0.445 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3285 - 0.324 = 0.0045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.324 - 0.3191 = 0.0049
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0049 / 0.0045 = 1.0889
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.198% | 0.1R | -0.975% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.198% | 0.1R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.549% | 0.4R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.701% | 1.9R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.074% | 2.2R | -1.173% | 0.8R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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