Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 26.89 HYPE at 58.279$ per unit. Take profit: 58.874 (1.02 %) & Stop Loss: 57.9815 (0.51 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 26.89 HYPE at 58.279$ per unit. Take profit: 58.874 (1.02 %) & Stop Loss: 57.9815 (0.51 %)
Position
Entry 58.279$
Qty 26.8925 HYPE
Size 1567.2679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 58.874 (+1.02%)
TP $ 16$
SL 57.9815 (-0.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7064
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7064
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.50×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.10×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.577992 15m : 0.602466 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5685 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.07% · r3d: 4.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0344% · dist_ema21: 4.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5631 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.23% · rs_3d: 2.43% · beta_24h: 1.600 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0637 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -2.044 · trend: -60.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3883 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 68.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6671 | ATR%: 3.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5351 | r1h: 0.499% · r4h: -0.702% · r1d: 0.22% · r3d: 4.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0397% · dist_ema21: 0.148% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4909 | rs_1h: 0.335% · rs_4h: -1.427% · rs_1d: -0.75% · rs_3d: 1.93% · beta_24h: 0.567 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2873 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.477 · trend: 15.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4881 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.866% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6151 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.135% · r1d: 0.54% · r3d: 3.45% · ema21_slope: 0.2527% · dist_ema21: 1.333% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5430 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.090% · rs_1d: -0.26% · rs_3d: 0.76% · beta_24h: 0.957 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1553 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.615 · trend: -2.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6844 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.388% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.951% | 1.9R | -0.081% | 0.2R | 11.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.951% | 1.9R | -0.081% | 0.2R | 11.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.380% | 2.7R | -0.081% | 0.2R | 17.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.405% | 2.8R | -0.221% | 0.4R | 6.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.405% | 2.8R | -0.221% | 0.4R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.76 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.50 | bull_medium | +1.45% | +0.28 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.56% | +0.00 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_low | +0.79% | -0.23 | 18/08 12:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.485×ATR | p30 | +1.241×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 24b | — | 4.813×ATR | p74 | +0.882×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.794×ATR | p21 | -0.424×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.251×ATR | p61 | -1.47×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64419.9
0.00405243
64681
0.577992
64289.1
0.00646786
64705
0.602466
63561.8
0.0179848
64705
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59.952
194
0.6253
0.5626
0.3916
0.2204
0.5317
0.5988
0.415
0.7256
0.6941
0.793
0.6046
0.7239
-0.0277
0.0304
0.6667
-0.4817
0.4105
0.65
0.35
1
9
1
0.5592
0.5433
3.1395
0.55
0.5988
1.5061
0.4105
0.7608
0.2991
0.84
0.1335
0.4649
0.5143
0.6146
0.7239
-2.7547
7.223
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:27 | 58.27900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:33 | 58.37200000 | +0.16% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 10:45:00 | 59.904 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 11:30:00 | 59.952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 12:35:00 | 59.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:10:00 | 59.091 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 59.543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:10:00 | 58.975 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 59.811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:10:00 | 59.067 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 15:25:00 | 59.548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:25:00 | 58.278 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 20:15:00 | 58.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:45:00 | 59.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 58.958 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 05:30:00 | 58.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:15:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 59.167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 11:30:00 | 59.952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 58.975 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 59.811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:15:00 | 58.64 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 57.547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 58.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 59.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 05:00:00 | 58.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 58.975 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.279 | 57.9815 | 58.874 | 2 | 75.583 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.9815 - 58.279 = -0.29750000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 58.279 - 58.874 = -0.595
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.595 / -0.29750000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1567.2679 | 100 | 26.8925 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.29750000000001 = -26.89
Taille de position USD = -26.89 x 58.279 = -1567.12
Donc, tu peux acheter -26.89 avec un stoploss a 57.9815
Avec un position size USD de -1567.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -26.89 x -0.29750000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -26.89 x -0.595 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.02 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0806 % | 15.79 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.279 | 57.9815 | 58.874 | 2 | 75.583 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.9815 - 58.279 = -0.29750000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 58.279 - 58.874 = -0.595
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.595 / -0.29750000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.951% | 1.9R | -0.081% | 0.2R | 11.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.951% | 1.9R | -0.081% | 0.2R | 11.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.380% | 2.7R | -0.081% | 0.2R | 17.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.405% | 2.8R | -0.221% | 0.4R | 6.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.405% | 2.8R | -0.221% | 0.4R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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