Short Trade on BNB (BosPullback)
With 3.47 BNB at 602.67$ per unit. Take profit: 596.898 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 604.9788 (0.38 %)
Short Trade on BNB (BosPullback)
With 3.47 BNB at 602.67$ per unit. Take profit: 596.898 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 604.9788 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 602.67$
Qty 3.465 BNB
Size 2088.2611$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 596.898 (+0.96%)
TP $ 20$
SL 604.9788 (-0.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2620
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2620
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.48×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 18/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6067 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.03% · r3d: -0.35% · ema21_slope: 0.2400% · dist_ema21: 1.257% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4891 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.14% · rs_3d: -2.46% · beta_24h: 0.541 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0955 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.813 · trend: -37.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4537 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 61.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.793% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4923 | r1h: 0.103% · r4h: 0.439% · r1d: -0.60% · r3d: -1.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0232% · dist_ema21: 0.106% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4460 | rs_1h: 0.202% · rs_4h: -0.441% · rs_1d: -1.65% · rs_3d: -3.91% · beta_24h: 0.501 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2224 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.733 · trend: 3.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5299 | ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8175 | ATR%: 0.245% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4941 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.020% · r1d: -0.28% · r3d: -1.29% · ema21_slope: -0.0377% · dist_ema21: -0.335% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4333 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.065% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -3.98% · beta_24h: 0.479 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1761 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.220 · trend: -6.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4502 | ADX: 20.2 (weak) · Chop: 65.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.508% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.030% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.171% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.171% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.100% | 0.3R | -0.320% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.234% | 0.6R | -0.320% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.43 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.76 | bull_medium | +1.45% | -0.40 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.57 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.64% | -0.09 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
33%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | bull_low | +0.84% | -0.04 | 18/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 25b | — | 4.059×ATR | p35 | +0.362×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.496×ATR | p0 | -0.703×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.777×ATR | p54 | +0.46×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.192×ATR | p24 | +1.289×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
599.45
145
0.3328
0.5849
0.3884
0.2936
0.4658
1
0.328
0.4097
0.2597
0.4265
0.6453
0.2705
-0.035
-0.0533
0.3333
0.0876
-0.7878
0.3
0.7
-1
4
1
0.4127
0.5193
3.9678
0.55
1.8081
3.7471
-0.7878
0.5362
0.1785
0.38
-0.0023
0.5779
0.3995
0.8195
0.2705
-6.5952
2.4457
1
0
0
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[price] => 604.67
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[price] => 601.62
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[time] => 2026-08-18 08:30:00
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[kind] => high
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[price] => 600.6
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599.45
604.82
604.82
599.45
599.89
599.45
599.67
0.604
604.82
602.68
603.75
0.7882
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:12 | 602.67000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:18 | 602.59000000 | -0.013% |
| 3 | 13:24 | 602.60000000 | -0.012% |
| 4 | 13:36 | 602.44000000 | -0.038% |
| 5 | 13:42 | 602.44000000 | -0.038% |
| 6 | 15:18 | 602.73000000 | +0.01% |
| 7 | 15:24 | 602.75000000 | +0.013% |
| 8 | 16:12 | 602.70000000 | +0.005% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.67 | 604.9788 | 596.898 | 2.5 | 740.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 604.9788 - 602.67 = 2.3088
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 602.67 - 596.898 = 5.7719999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7719999999999 / 2.3088 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2088.2611 | 100 | 3.465 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.3088 = 3.47
Taille de position USD = 3.47 x 602.67 = 2091.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.47 avec un stoploss a 604.9788
Avec un position size USD de 2091.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.47 x 2.3088 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.47 x 5.7719999999999 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.96 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4397 % | 114.77 % | 26 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.67 | 604.9788 | 596.898 | 2.5 | 740.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 604.9788 - 602.67 = 2.3088
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 602.67 - 596.898 = 5.7719999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7719999999999 / 2.3088 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.030% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.171% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.171% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.100% | 0.3R | -0.320% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.234% | 0.6R | -0.320% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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