Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.63 XMR at 413.26$ per unit. Take profit: 414.7652 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 412.5074 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.63 XMR at 413.26$ per unit. Take profit: 414.7652 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 412.5074 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 413.26$
Qty 10.6298 XMR
Size 4392.8871$ (margin 100$) (leverage 44)
Risk Setup
TP 414.7652 (+0.36%)
TP $ 16$
SL 412.5074 (-0.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6104
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6104
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.54×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 18/08 16:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.210816 15m : 0.172717 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7831 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.34% · r3d: 0.82% · ema21_slope: 0.7900% · dist_ema21: 7.413% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6376 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: -1.29% · beta_24h: 0.370 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1459 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.184 · trend: -31.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7583 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8648 | ATR%: 3.406% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5269 | r1h: -0.055% · r4h: 0.065% · r1d: 1.67% · r3d: 1.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0020% · dist_ema21: 0.274% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5129 | rs_1h: 0.076% · rs_4h: 0.330% · rs_1d: 1.09% · rs_3d: -1.29% · beta_24h: 0.686 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1782 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.836 · trend: -24.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5489 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.808% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5940 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.255% · r1d: -0.24% · r3d: 0.92% · ema21_slope: 0.1239% · dist_ema21: 0.663% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5303 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.180% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -1.49% · beta_24h: 0.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0832 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -2.160 · trend: -29.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4622 | ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 70.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 1.5R | -0.305% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.295% | 1.6R | -0.312% | 1.7R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.295% | 1.6R | -0.528% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.295% | 1.6R | -0.864% | 4.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.692% | 3.8R | -0.864% | 4.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.91 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.26 | bull_medium | +1.10% | -0.07 | 18/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.14 | bull_low | +1.26% | -0.07 | 18/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.17 | range_low | +0.35% | -0.04 | 18/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.827×ATR | p16 | +1.893×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 29b | — | 3.562×ATR | p48 | +0.435×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.013×ATR | p30 | -0.587×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.951×ATR | p75 | -2.156×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64592.9
-0.000866599
64537
0.210816
64431.1
0.00178301
64546
0.172717
63691.6
0.0140731
64588
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420.24
195
0.5556
0.6366
0.3996
0.2269
0.5408
0.8571
0.3137
0.5031
0.7073
0.7502
0.5295
0.7067
0.0357
0.0299
0.3333
-0.6694
-0.3195
0.7
0.3
1
14
1
0.5462
0.5662
4.2943
0.6
0.8571
3.0993
-0.3195
0.5434
0.2737
0.64
0.2493
0.5096
0.4759
0
0.7067
-2.5473
6.1376
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:53 | 413.26000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:58 | 412.93000000 | -0.08% |
| 3 | 17:06 | 412.58000000 | -0.165% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 14:25:00 | 417.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:15:00 | 414.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 15:45:00 | 417.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:45:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 17:35:00 | 416.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 17:50:00 | 418.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 418.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:40:00 | 415.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:05:00 | 417.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:50:00 | 413.14 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 416.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 414.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:15:00 | 416.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:45:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 409.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:45:00 | 418.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:45:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 415.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:45:00 | 413.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 407.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 409.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 413.3 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413.26 | 412.5074 | 414.7652 | 2 | 599.71 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 412.5074 - 413.26 = -0.75259999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 413.26 - 414.7652 = -1.5052
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5052 / -0.75259999999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4392.8871 | 100 | 10.6298 | 44.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.75259999999997 = -10.63
Taille de position USD = -10.63 x 413.26 = -4392.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.63 avec un stoploss a 412.5074
Avec un position size USD de -4392.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.63 x -0.75259999999997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.63 x -1.5052 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3049 % | 167.44 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413.26 | 412.5074 | 414.7652 | 2 | 599.71 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 412.5074 - 413.26 = -0.75259999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 413.26 - 414.7652 = -1.5052
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5052 / -0.75259999999997 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 1.5R | -0.305% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.295% | 1.6R | -0.312% | 1.7R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.295% | 1.6R | -0.528% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.295% | 1.6R | -0.864% | 4.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.692% | 3.8R | -0.864% | 4.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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