Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.16 BTC at 64561$ per unit. Take profit: 64660.4721 (0.15 %) & Stop Loss: 64511.264 (0.077 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.16 BTC at 64561$ per unit. Take profit: 64660.4721 (0.15 %) & Stop Loss: 64511.264 (0.077 %)
Position
Entry 64561$
Qty 0.1608 BTC
Size 10384.5844$ (margin 100$) (leverage 104)
Risk Setup
TP 64660.4721 (+0.15%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64511.264 (-0.077%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8413
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8413
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.40×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 18/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4832 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: -0.0468% · dist_ema21: 0.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0651 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.111 · trend: -45.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3399 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 70.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5215 | r1h: -0.131% · r4h: -0.265% · r1d: 0.58% · r3d: 2.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0412% · dist_ema21: 0.407% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2060 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.836 · trend: -3.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8303 | ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 43.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.352% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5301 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.074% · r1d: 0.12% · r3d: 2.41% · ema21_slope: 0.1010% · dist_ema21: 1.000% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1772 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.180 · trend: -8.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7063 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 29.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.608% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.101% | 1.3R | -0.036% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.101% | 1.3R | -0.050% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.308% | 4.0R | -0.124% | 1.6R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.308% | 4.0R | -0.499% | 6.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.308% | 4.0R | -0.680% | 8.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 28b | — | 1.796×ATR | p0 | +0.729×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.886×ATR | p76 | +1.771×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.971×ATR | p26 | +0.826×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 3.272×ATR | p53 | -0.775×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:00:00
[1] => 62942
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:00:00
[1] => 63368
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 62678
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:00:00
[1] => 63252
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:00:00
[1] => 64580
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 64000
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:00:00
[1] => 64418
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:00:00
[1] => 64016
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:00:00
[1] => 65018
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:00:00
[1] => 64567
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.66135531698914
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.03252435454644
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.6984992333545
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:30:00
[1] => 64000
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:30:00
[1] => 64418
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 08:00:00
[1] => 64049
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 10:15:00
[1] => 64083
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 11:45:00
[1] => 64376
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:30:00
[1] => 64016
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:30:00
[1] => 65018
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:00:00
[1] => 64861
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:00:00
[1] => 64617
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:45:00
[1] => 64536
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48565393688041
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.015495227469939
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 19
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.12551134250651
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 15:10:00
[1] => 64620
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:00:00
[1] => 64861
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:30:00
[1] => 64636
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:45:00
[1] => 64840
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 17:30:00
[1] => 64799
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:00:00
[1] => 64617
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:35:00
[1] => 64795
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 19:25:00
[1] => 64772
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:05:00
[1] => 64567
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:50:00
[1] => 64530
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32575804359909
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.048039671470634
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.057337672400434
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
65018
193
0.7243
0.7587
0.3143
0.2493
0.3675
1
0.2714
0.5833
0.6637
0.3763
0.7638
0.8277
0.155
0.1309
1
0.8153
2.5515
0.55
0.45
1
6
1
0.5015
0.9373
4.0489
0.5
2.7833
4.9403
2.5515
0
0.1924
0.4
-0.0955
0.463
0.5193
0.7532
0.8277
-2.0398
9.796
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:54 | 64561.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:00 | 64545.00000000 | -0.025% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 15:10:00 | 64620 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 64861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:30:00 | 64636 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:45:00 | 64840 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 17:30:00 | 64799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 18:35:00 | 64795 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 19:25:00 | 64772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:05:00 | 64567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:50:00 | 64530 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:30:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 64049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:15:00 | 64083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 11:45:00 | 64376 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 64861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:45:00 | 64536 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 64567 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64561 | 64511.264 | 64660.4721 | 2 | 80898 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64511.264 - 64561 = -49.735999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64561 - 64660.4721 = -99.472099999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -99.472099999999 / -49.735999999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10384.5844 | 100 | 0.1608 | 104.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -49.735999999997 = -0.16
Taille de position USD = -0.16 x 64561 = -10329.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.16 avec un stoploss a 64511.264
Avec un position size USD de -10329.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.16 x -49.735999999997 = 7.96
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.96$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.16 x -99.472099999999 = 15.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.077 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0496 % | 64.42 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64561 | 64511.264 | 64660.4721 | 2 | 80898 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64511.264 - 64561 = -49.735999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64561 - 64660.4721 = -99.472099999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -99.472099999999 / -49.735999999997 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64660.472
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 23:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64685.34
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 23:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64710.208
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 23:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64735.076
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 23:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64759.944
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 23:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64784.812
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64809.68
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64834.548
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64859.416
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64884.284
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64909.152
[stop_loss] => 64511.264
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.101% | 1.3R | -0.036% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.101% | 1.3R | -0.050% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.308% | 4.0R | -0.124% | 1.6R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.308% | 4.0R | -0.499% | 6.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.308% | 4.0R | -0.680% | 8.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.