Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 813.32 WLD at 0.322$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3141 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.332 (3.04 %)
Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 813.32 WLD at 0.322$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3141 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.332 (3.04 %)
Position
Entry 0.3222$
Qty 813.3189 WLD
Size 262.0188$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3141 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.59$
SL 0.332 (-3.04%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.83
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0426
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0426
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5266 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 1.478% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4601 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.92% · beta_24h: 0.498 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1073 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.391 · trend: -65.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5398 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2910 | r1h: -0.362% · r4h: -1.258% · r1d: -7.92% · r3d: -7.78% · ema21_slope: -0.2098% · dist_ema21: -1.971% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2732 | rs_1h: -0.387% · rs_4h: -1.144% · rs_1d: -8.26% · rs_3d: -10.04% · beta_24h: 0.806 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1607 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: -53.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5211 | ADX: 44.1 (trend) · Chop: 81.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4227 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.173% · r1d: -5.03% · r3d: -7.09% · ema21_slope: -0.1795% · dist_ema21: -4.434% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3304 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.247% · rs_1d: -5.15% · rs_3d: -9.49% · beta_24h: 2.182 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1609 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.060 · trend: -26.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7519 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.304% | 0.1R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.157% | 0.7R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.157% | 0.7R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.533% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.533% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.533% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.35 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_medium | +1.12% | -0.72 | 18/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.33 | bull_low | +1.20% | -0.50 | 18/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.31% | -0.03 | 18/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.35×ATR | p0 | -0.503×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.276×ATR | p69 | -1.633×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 1.608×ATR | p6 | -1.947×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 0.498×ATR | p0 | -1.786×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3222 | 0.332 | 0.3141 | 0.83 | 0.4413 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.332 - 0.3222 = 0.0098
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3222 - 0.3141 = 0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0098 = 0.8265
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 262.0188 | 100 | 813.3189 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0098 = 816.33
Taille de position USD = 816.33 x 0.3222 = 263.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.332
Avec un position size USD de 263.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 816.33 x 0.0098 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 816.33 x 0.0081 = 6.61
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.61$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.59 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.04 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.59 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7604 % | 25 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3222 | 0.332 | 0.3141 | 0.83 | 0.4413 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.332 - 0.3222 = 0.0098
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3222 - 0.3141 = 0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0098 = 0.8265
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.304% | 0.1R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.157% | 0.7R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.157% | 0.7R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.533% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.533% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.533% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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