18 Aug 2026 at 18:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 813.32 WLD at 0.322$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3141 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.332 (3.04 %)

WLD SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 18:10 → 22:35 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.3222$

Qty 813.3189 WLD

Size 262.0188$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3141 (+2.51%)

TP $ 6.59$

SL 0.332 (-3.04%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.83

Status win PnL +2.51% / +6.59$ MAE -0.76% MFE +2.53% 0.8R expires 19 Aug 00:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 74190)
#46 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0426

Quality Score
0.366
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
11.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 18:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74190)
#46 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0426

Quality Score
0.366
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#46 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#46 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.18×ATR
4h clear 1.53×ATR
1d clear 0.93×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
11.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 18:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

18/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

18/08 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1625
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

expansion

-1

Tactical bull

—

expansion

-1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.65
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 18:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3754
Score SMA
—
Rank
#33 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5266 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 1.478%
Force Relative 25% 0.4601 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.92% · beta_24h: 0.498
Volume 20% 0.1073 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.391 · trend: -65.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5398 ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3659
Score SMA
0.5290
Rank
#46 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0426
Rank Norm SMA
0.5491
Calculé le
18/08/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2910 r1h: -0.362% · r4h: -1.258% · r1d: -7.92% · r3d: -7.78% · ema21_slope: -0.2098% · dist_ema21: -1.971%
Force Relative 25% 0.2732 rs_1h: -0.387% · rs_4h: -1.144% · rs_1d: -8.26% · rs_3d: -10.04% · beta_24h: 0.806
Volume 20% 0.1607 rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: -53.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5211 ADX: 44.1 (trend) · Chop: 81.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4544
Score SMA
0.4641
Rank
#26 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4255
Rank Norm SMA
0.4591
Calculé le
18/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4227 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.173% · r1d: -5.03% · r3d: -7.09% · ema21_slope: -0.1795% · dist_ema21: -4.434%
Force Relative 25% 0.3304 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.247% · rs_1d: -5.15% · rs_3d: -9.49% · beta_24h: 2.182
Volume 20% 0.1609 rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.060 · trend: -26.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7519 ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.042% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.304% 0.1R -0.760% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +2.157% 0.7R -0.760% 0.3R 2.8× 24
4h +2.157% 0.7R -0.760% 0.3R 2.8× 48
6h ★ +2.533% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 3.3× 72
8h +2.533% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 3.3× 96
12h +2.533% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 3.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.94
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.48 bear_high -2.51% +0.35 17/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.43 bull_medium +1.12% -0.72 18/08 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.33 bull_low +1.20% -0.50 18/08 17:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — — range_low +0.31% -0.03 18/08 17:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 1.35×ATR p0 -0.503×ATR p19
4h ↓ down late 13b — 5.276×ATR p69 -1.633×ATR p82
1h ↓ down late 7b — 1.608×ATR p6 -1.947×ATR p91
15m ↑ up mid 3b — 0.498×ATR p0 -1.786×ATR p73

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.33199624
  2. tp_price: 0.314106
  3. atr: 0.00393449
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-19T04:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 47
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.291
  4. delta_2h: -0.0168
  5. extension_atr: -1.31
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0426
  9. confidence: 0.958

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3222 0.332 0.3141 0.83 0.4413
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3222
  • Stop Loss: 0.332
  • Take Profit: 0.3141

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.332 - 0.3222 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3222 - 0.3141 = 0.0081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0098 = 0.8265

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
262.0188 100 813.3189 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0098

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0098 = 816.33

Taille de position USD = 816.33 x 0.3222 = 263.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.332

Avec un position size USD de 263.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0098 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0081 = 6.61

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.61$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 816.33
  • Taille de position USD 263.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.61
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8265

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 6.59 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.04 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
6.59 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7604 % 25 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3222 0.332 0.3141 0.83 0.4413
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3222
  • Stop Loss: 0.332
  • Take Profit: 0.3141

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.332 - 0.3222 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3222 - 0.3141 = 0.0081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0098 = 0.8265

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.042% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.304% 0.1R -0.760% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +2.157% 0.7R -0.760% 0.3R 2.8× 24
4h +2.157% 0.7R -0.760% 0.3R 2.8× 48
6h ★ +2.533% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 3.3× 72
8h +2.533% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 3.3× 96
12h +2.533% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 3.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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