Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 3.25 ETH at 1912.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1917.1288 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 1909.7356 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 3.25 ETH at 1912.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1917.1288 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 1909.7356 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 1912.2$
Qty 3.2462 ETH
Size 6207.4092$ (margin 100$) (leverage 62)
Risk Setup
TP 1917.1288 (+0.26%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1909.7356 (-0.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6790
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.78×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.06×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 18/08 19:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.780233 15m : 0.927136 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5550 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 1.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0310% · dist_ema21: 1.209% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5062 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: -0.65% · beta_24h: 1.155 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0514 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.229 · trend: -54.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2698 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 82.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.288% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5403 | r1h: 0.314% · r4h: 0.335% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 1.93% · ema21_slope: 0.0372% · dist_ema21: 0.549% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5003 | rs_1h: 0.105% · rs_4h: 0.151% · rs_1d: -0.08% · rs_3d: -0.74% · beta_24h: 1.115 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1695 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.657 · trend: -39.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5955 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.390% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5262 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.026% · r1d: -0.06% · r3d: 1.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0736% · dist_ema21: 0.674% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4916 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.048% · rs_1d: -0.19% · rs_3d: -0.84% · beta_24h: 1.097 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1529 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.440 · trend: -13.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5388 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.750% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.330% | 2.6R | -0.026% | 0.2R | 12.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.330% | 2.6R | -0.105% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.330% | 2.6R | -0.314% | 2.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.429% | 3.3R | -0.361% | 2.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.879% | 6.8R | -0.361% | 2.8R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 28% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -2.51% | -0.10 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.86 | bull_medium | +1.22% | -0.09 | 18/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.84 | bull_low | +1.43% | +0.04 | 18/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.87 | range_low | +0.46% | +0.02 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 53b | — | 8.714×ATR | p92 | +0.66×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.014×ATR | p0 | +0.869×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 0.441×ATR | p0 | +1.374×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.896×ATR | p50 | +1.514×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64672
-0.00132991
64586
0.780233
64497.8
0.00136668
64586
0.927136
63753
0.0133155
64602
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1922
189
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0.7185
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1
0.6665
1.6164
0.65
0.35
1
10
1
0.5021
0.9148
3.2963
0.5
2.4167
3.86
1.6164
0
0.2655
0.04
-0.2338
0.4513
0.4702
0.8699
0.8498
-1.3281
7.5156
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 19:15:00 | 1912.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:25:00 | 1916.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:05:00 | 1911.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:30:00 | 1914.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:50:00 | 1911.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 21:10:00 | 1913.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:40:00 | 1910.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 22:55:00 | 1911.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 1919.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:05:00 | 1910.6 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 1893 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 1922 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:45:00 | 1921.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 1910 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 1916.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 19:15:00 | 1916.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 1911.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 21:30:00 | 1910.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 1919.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 1910.6 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 1876.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 1891.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1868.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1890.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 1914.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 1917.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 1884.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 1922 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 23:00:00 | 1919.4 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912.2 | 1909.7356 | 1917.1288 | 2 | 2310.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1909.7356 - 1912.2 = -2.4644000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1912.2 - 1917.1288 = -4.9287999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.9287999999999 / -2.4644000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6207.4092 | 100 | 3.2462 | 62.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.4644000000001 = -3.25
Taille de position USD = -3.25 x 1912.2 = -6214.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.25 avec un stoploss a 1909.7356
Avec un position size USD de -6214.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.25 x -2.4644000000001 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.25 x -4.9287999999999 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0261 % | 20.25 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912.2 | 1909.7356 | 1917.1288 | 2 | 2310.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1909.7356 - 1912.2 = -2.4644000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1912.2 - 1917.1288 = -4.9287999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.9287999999999 / -2.4644000000001 = 2
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.330% | 2.6R | -0.026% | 0.2R | 12.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.330% | 2.6R | -0.105% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.330% | 2.6R | -0.314% | 2.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.429% | 3.3R | -0.361% | 2.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.879% | 6.8R | -0.361% | 2.8R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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