Short Trade on CHIP

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18 Aug 2026 at 20:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_score)

With 4260.6 CHIP at 0.0267$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02854 (7.05 %)

CHIP SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 20:10 → 23:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.02666$

Qty 4260.5996 CHIP

Size 113.5833$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 113.59$

SL 0.02854 (-7.05%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status win PnL +3.50% / +3.98$ MAE -1.09% MFE +4.14% 0.6R expires 18 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74318)

#48 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2270

Quality Score

0.405

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#48 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#48 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.24×ATR
4h	near	-1.67×ATR
1d	clear	2.04×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 20:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 19:00 Score : +2 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

18/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

18/08 19:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1627

range compression range_breakout_attempt

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bull —	expansion -1
Tactical	bull —	expansion -1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.90

Transition risk : 0.10

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.69

Snapshot évalué : 18/08 20:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4275

Score SMA

—

Rank

#22 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

—

Rank Norm SMA

—

Calculé le

17/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4820	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.15% · r3d: 0.20% · ema21_slope: -0.3089% · dist_ema21: 7.113%
Force Relative	25%	0.5783	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 0.258
Volume	20%	0.1866	rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.723 · trend: -23.93%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6733	ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 34.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.811% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4051

Score SMA

0.5604

Rank

#48 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2270

Rank Norm SMA

0.5836

Calculé le

18/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3393	r1h: 0.336% · r4h: -1.031% · r1d: -5.21% · r3d: -4.87% · ema21_slope: -0.3557% · dist_ema21: -3.415%
Force Relative	25%	0.3473	rs_1h: 0.127% · rs_4h: -1.215% · rs_1d: -5.59% · rs_3d: -7.54% · beta_24h: -1.673
Volume	20%	0.1571	rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.643 · trend: -57.94%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5673	ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.617% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 18/08/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4660

Score SMA

0.4959

Rank

#22 / 48

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3191

Rank Norm SMA

0.5918

Calculé le

18/08/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6621	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.011% · r1d: -4.21% · r3d: -3.87% · ema21_slope: 0.4757% · dist_ema21: -3.336%
Force Relative	25%	0.5041	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.086% · rs_1d: -4.33% · rs_3d: -6.27% · beta_24h: -3.180
Volume	20%	0.1453	rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -0.826 · trend: -49.71%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7484	ADX: 43.1 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.349% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.052% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.005%	0.1R	-1.092%	0.2R	0.9×	12
2h	+1.088%	0.2R	-1.092%	0.2R	1.0×	24
3h ★	+4.145%	0.6R	-1.092%	0.2R	3.8×	36
4h	+4.145%	0.6R	-1.092%	0.2R	3.8×	48
8h	+4.591%	0.7R	-1.092%	0.2R	4.2×	96
12h	+4.861%	0.7R	-1.497%	0.2R	3.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.72

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ —	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 31%	early	—	—	—	bear_high	-2.51%	+0.67	17/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	near -1.7ATR	—	0.26	bull_medium	+1.22%	+0.04	18/08 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	—	0.09	bull_low	+1.43%	-0.69	18/08 19:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 47%	early	—	—	—	range_low	+0.50%	-0.23	18/08 19:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	9b	—	2.09×ATR	p0	+0.468×ATR	p20
4h	↓ down	mid	9b	—	3.788×ATR	p69	-0.601×ATR	p48
1h	↓ down	mid	6b	—	1.908×ATR	p19	-1.446×ATR	p74
15m	↑ up	early	8b	—	2.455×ATR	p43	-0.317×ATR	p21

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.02853667
atr: 0.00062589
expires_at: 2026-08-19T03:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 48
total: 50
score: 0.3393
confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.02666	0.02854			0.04709

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.02666
Stop Loss: 0.02854
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02854 - 0.02666 = 0.00188
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.02666 - = 0.02666
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02666 / 0.00188 = 14.1809

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
113.5833	100	4260.5996	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00188

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00188 = 4255.32

Taille de position USD = 4255.32 x 0.02666 = 113.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 4255.32 avec un stoploss a 0.02854

Avec un position size USD de 113.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4255.32 x 0.00188 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4255.32 x 0.02666 = 113.45

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 113.45$

Résumé

Taille de position 4255.32
Taille de position USD 113.45
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 113.45
Risk-Reward Ratio 14.1809

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	113.59 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.05 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
3.98 $	3.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0915 %	15.48 %	9

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.02666	0.02854			0.04709

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.02666
Stop Loss: 0.02854
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02854 - 0.02666 = 0.00188
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.02666 - = 0.02666
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02666 / 0.00188 = 14.1809

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.052% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.005%	0.1R	-1.092%	0.2R	0.9×	12
2h	+1.088%	0.2R	-1.092%	0.2R	1.0×	24
3h ★	+4.145%	0.6R	-1.092%	0.2R	3.8×	36
4h	+4.145%	0.6R	-1.092%	0.2R	3.8×	48
8h	+4.591%	0.7R	-1.092%	0.2R	4.2×	96
12h	+4.861%	0.7R	-1.497%	0.2R	3.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

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