Short Trade on NIL

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18 Aug 2026 at 22:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2857.23 NIL at 0.0436$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04247 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04636 (6.43 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 22:10 → 04:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04356$

Qty 2857.2347 NIL

Size 124.464$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04247 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.11$

SL 0.04636 (-6.43%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.39

Status win PnL +1.25% / +1.56$ MAE -1.45% MFE +2.15% 0.3R expires 19 Aug 04:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74456)

#47 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0375

Quality Score

0.405

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#47 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.43 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#47 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.43 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.11×ATR
4h	near	-0.98×ATR
1d	clear	2.18×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

967,613 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 22:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 21:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

18/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

18/08 21:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1629

range compression range_breakout_attempt

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bull —	expansion -1
Tactical	bull —	expansion -1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.90

Transition risk : 0.10

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.69

Snapshot évalué : 18/08 22:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5043

Score SMA

—

Rank

#11 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

—

Rank Norm SMA

—

Calculé le

18/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7128	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.70% · r3d: -6.10% · ema21_slope: 1.6008% · dist_ema21: 8.547%
Force Relative	25%	0.5171	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.158
Volume	20%	0.2006	rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -2.90%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8068	ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.451% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 18/08/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.4045

Score SMA

0.5368

Rank

#47 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0375

Rank Norm SMA

0.5319

Calculé le

18/08/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3102	r1h: -0.146% · r4h: -0.634% · r1d: -7.91% · r3d: -4.63% · ema21_slope: -0.3786% · dist_ema21: -3.252%
Force Relative	25%	0.3312	rs_1h: 0.107% · rs_4h: -0.615% · rs_1d: -8.20% · rs_3d: -6.96% · beta_24h: -2.105
Volume	20%	0.1908	rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: -53.11%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6031	ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.681% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4000

Score SMA

0.3918

Rank

#47 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0315

Rank Norm SMA

0.0263

Calculé le

18/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5768	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.522% · r1d: -9.72% · r3d: -0.33% · ema21_slope: 0.1086% · dist_ema21: -4.687%
Force Relative	25%	0.4675	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.379% · rs_1d: -10.43% · rs_3d: -2.71% · beta_24h: 0.425
Volume	20%	0.1421	rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.868 · trend: -53.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5446	ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 69.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.935% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.428% (0.0028)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.397%	0.1R	-1.187%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.397%	0.1R	-1.423%	0.2R	0.3×	24
4h	+2.151%	0.3R	-1.453%	0.2R	1.5×	48
6h ★	+2.151%	0.3R	-1.453%	0.2R	1.5×	72
8h	+4.612%	0.7R	-1.453%	0.2R	3.2×	96
12h	+6.180%	1.0R	-1.453%	0.2R	4.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.62

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	near -1.0ATR	0.34	bear_high	-2.51%	+0.98	17/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bull_high	48%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near -1.0ATR	—	0.23	bull_medium	+0.95%	-0.95	18/08 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 41%	late	near -1.1ATR	—	0.02	bull_low	+0.84%	-0.74	18/08 21:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	—	range_low	-0.04%	-0.11	18/08 21:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	7b	—	1.741×ATR	p0	+0.625×ATR	p41
4h	↓ down	early	11b	—	2.454×ATR	p22	-0.692×ATR	p53
1h	↓ down	late	11b	—	2.931×ATR	p54	-2.029×ATR	p83
15m	↓ down	early	8b	—	1.463×ATR	p0	-1.035×ATR	p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04636091
tp_price: 0.04247198
atr: 0.00111996
expires_at: 2026-08-19T08:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 48
total: 49
score: 0.3102
delta_2h: -0.0147
extension_atr: -1.63
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0375
confidence: 0.979

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04356	0.04636	0.04247	0.39	0.065

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04356
Stop Loss: 0.04636
Take Profit: 0.04247

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04636 - 0.04356 = 0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04356 - 0.04247 = 0.00109
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00109 / 0.0028 = 0.3893

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
124.464	100	2857.2347	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0028

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0028 = 2857.14

Taille de position USD = 2857.14 x 0.04356 = 124.46

Donc, tu peux acheter 2857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.04636

Avec un position size USD de 124.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0028 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2857.14 x 0.00109 = 3.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.11$

Résumé

Taille de position 2857.14
Taille de position USD 124.46
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.11
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3893

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.11 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.43 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
1.56 $	1.25

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.4532 %	22.61 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04356	0.04636	0.04247	0.39	0.065

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04356
Stop Loss: 0.04636
Take Profit: 0.04247

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04636 - 0.04356 = 0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04356 - 0.04247 = 0.00109
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00109 / 0.0028 = 0.3893

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.428% (0.0028)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.397%	0.1R	-1.187%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.397%	0.1R	-1.423%	0.2R	0.3×	24
4h	+2.151%	0.3R	-1.453%	0.2R	1.5×	48
6h ★	+2.151%	0.3R	-1.453%	0.2R	1.5×	72
8h	+4.612%	0.7R	-1.453%	0.2R	3.2×	96
12h	+6.180%	1.0R	-1.453%	0.2R	4.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

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