Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.14 BTC at 64282$ per unit. Take profit: 64397.1416 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 64224.4292 (0.09 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.14 BTC at 64282$ per unit. Take profit: 64397.1416 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 64224.4292 (0.09 %)
Position
Entry 64282$
Qty 0.139 BTC
Size 8932.5849$ (margin 100$) (leverage 89)
Risk Setup
TP 64397.1416 (+0.18%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64224.4292 (-0.09%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8472
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.76×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.98×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) 18/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 18/08 22:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5035 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.19% · r3d: 2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0427% · dist_ema21: 0.921% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0676 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.112 · trend: -43.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3400 | ADX: 11.9 (weak) · Chop: 70.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.810% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5132 | r1h: -0.020% · r4h: -0.387% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 1.99% · ema21_slope: 0.0334% · dist_ema21: -0.130% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1985 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.629 · trend: -19.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7929 | ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 42.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9868 | ATR%: 0.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5406 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.144% · r1d: 0.71% · r3d: 2.38% · ema21_slope: 0.1075% · dist_ema21: 0.935% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1685 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -1.078 · trend: -19.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7085 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 30.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.598% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.165% | 1.8R | -0.067% | 0.8R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.165% | 1.8R | -0.067% | 0.8R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.165% | 1.8R | -0.249% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.338% | 3.8R | -0.249% | 2.8R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.450% | 38.5R | -0.249% | 2.8R | 13.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
32%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 23:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 29b | — | 2.006×ATR | p0 | +0.611×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.091×ATR | p56 | +0.715×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.48×ATR | p65 | -0.397×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 6.18×ATR | p92 | -1.796×ATR | p78 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0658586852872
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.023324521847302
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1009174311927
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 11:45:00
[1] => 64376
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 64016
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[1] => 65018
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[1] => 64861
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[5] => Array
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[1] => 64617
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[1] => 64760
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.73810994441013
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.74359851902554
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[2] => L
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 20:50:00
[1] => 64530
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 21:10:00
[1] => 64626
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 21:40:00
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65018
186
0.6155
0.7587
0.3116
0.2789
0.3383
1
0.1537
0.5751
0.6637
0
0.7413
0.7222
-0.0149
0.0812
0.6667
-0.7195
1.1626
0.55
0.45
1
13
1
0.4422
0.9373
4.0489
0.5
2.7833
4.9403
1.1626
0
0.208
0
-0.3037
0.4787
0.4708
0.6405
0.7222
-4.6226
12.02
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:06 | 64282.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:12 | 64280.00000000 | -0.003% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 20:05:00 | 64567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:50:00 | 64530 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 21:10:00 | 64626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:40:00 | 64538 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 22:25:00 | 64529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 64760 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 64399 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 02:20:00 | 64317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 02:25:00 | 64388 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 03:05:00 | 64282 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 10:15:00 | 64083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 11:45:00 | 64376 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 64861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:45:00 | 64530 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 22:15:00 | 64529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 64760 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 03:00:00 | 64282 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 02:00:00 | 64310 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64282 | 64224.4292 | 64397.1416 | 2 | 78535 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64224.4292 - 64282 = -57.570800000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64282 - 64397.1416 = -115.1416
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -115.1416 / -57.570800000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8932.5849 | 100 | 0.139 | 89.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -57.570800000001 = -0.14
Taille de position USD = -0.14 x 64282 = -8999.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.14 avec un stoploss a 64224.4292
Avec un position size USD de -8999.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.14 x -57.570800000001 = 8.06
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.06$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.14 x -115.1416 = 16.12
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.12$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.09 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0996 % | 111.16 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64282 | 64224.4292 | 64397.1416 | 2 | 78535 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64224.4292 - 64282 = -57.570800000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64282 - 64397.1416 = -115.1416
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -115.1416 / -57.570800000001 = 2
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(
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[result] => loss
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[result] => loss
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 05:55:00+00
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.165% | 1.8R | -0.067% | 0.8R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.165% | 1.8R | -0.067% | 0.8R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.165% | 1.8R | -0.249% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.338% | 3.8R | -0.249% | 2.8R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.450% | 38.5R | -0.249% | 2.8R | 13.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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