Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2722.09 NIL at 0.044$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04697 (6.68 %)
Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2722.09 NIL at 0.044$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04697 (6.68 %)
Position
Entry 0.04403$
Qty 2722.0884 NIL
Size 119.8563$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 119.85$
SL 0.04697 (-6.68%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0375
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.98×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 20:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7128 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.70% · r3d: -6.10% · ema21_slope: 1.6008% · dist_ema21: 8.547% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5171 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.158 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -2.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8068 | ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.451% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3102 | r1h: -0.146% · r4h: -0.634% · r1d: -7.91% · r3d: -4.63% · ema21_slope: -0.3786% · dist_ema21: -3.252% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3312 | rs_1h: 0.107% · rs_4h: -0.615% · rs_1d: -8.20% · rs_3d: -6.96% · beta_24h: -2.105 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1908 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: -53.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6031 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.681% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5768 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.522% · r1d: -9.72% · r3d: -0.33% · ema21_slope: 0.1086% · dist_ema21: -4.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4675 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.379% · rs_1d: -10.43% · rs_3d: -2.71% · beta_24h: 0.425 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1421 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.868 · trend: -53.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5446 | ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 69.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.935% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.418% | 0.1R | -0.341% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.182% | 1.1R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 19.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.331% | 1.3R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 22.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.34 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.98 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.23 | bull_medium | +0.95% | -0.95 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.741×ATR | p0 | +0.625×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.454×ATR | p22 | -0.692×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04403 | 0.04697 | 0.0752 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04697 - 0.04403 = 0.00294
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04403 - = 0.04403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04403 / 0.00294 = 14.9762
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119.8563 | 100 | 2722.0884 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00294 = 2721.09
Taille de position USD = 2721.09 x 0.04403 = 119.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 2721.09 avec un stoploss a 0.04697
Avec un position size USD de 119.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2721.09 x 0.00294 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2721.09 x 0.04403 = 119.81
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 119.81$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 119.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.5 $ | 2.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3702 % | 5.54 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04403 | 0.04697 | 0.0752 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04697 - 0.04403 = 0.00294
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04403 - = 0.04403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04403 / 0.00294 = 14.9762
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.418% | 0.1R | -0.341% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.182% | 1.1R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 19.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.331% | 1.3R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 22.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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