Long Trade on POL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4053.83 POL at 0.0821$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08417 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08014 (2.41 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 23:10:08
hyperliquid
POL
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 05:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.08212$
Qty 4053.8349 POL
Size 332.8847$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08417 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.31$
SL 0.08014 (-2.41%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.04
Status
loss
PnL
-0.65%
/ -2.16$
MAE -0.71%
MFE +0.40%
0.2R
expires
19 Aug 05:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74540)
#6 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 23:00
score du 18/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9369
Quality Score
0.593
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.63×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 23:02
18/08 23:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1630
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.69
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 23:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5812
Score SMA
—
Rank
#6
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6839 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.18% · r3d: 9.32% · ema21_slope: 0.1645% · dist_ema21: 6.636% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6167 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: 6.62% · beta_24h: 1.283 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1617 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.811 · trend: 11.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6635 | ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 38.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9003 | ATR%: 3.299% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5934
Score SMA
0.5837
Rank
#6
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9369
Rank Norm SMA
0.6971
Calculé le
18/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6511 | r1h: -0.151% · r4h: 0.603% · r1d: 3.73% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1445% · dist_ema21: 0.977% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6215 | rs_1h: -0.130% · rs_4h: 0.990% · rs_1d: 3.28% · rs_3d: 7.82% · beta_24h: -0.277 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1526 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.711 · trend: -56.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7479 | ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 57.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.976% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6467
Score SMA
0.6274
Rank
#3
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9685
Rank Norm SMA
0.9370
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6985 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.170% · r1d: 3.18% · r3d: 9.33% · ema21_slope: 0.4088% · dist_ema21: 4.031% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6347 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.026% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 6.95% · beta_24h: 1.203 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2681 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.568 · trend: 29.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8327 | ADX: 39.9 (trend) · Chop: 17.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.684% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.411%
(0.0020)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.153% | 0.1R | -0.605% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -0.605% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -0.605% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.404% | 0.2R | -0.705% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -1.540% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -1.906% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -2.62% | +0.87 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.37 | range_medium | +0.69% | +0.59 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bull_low | +0.77% | +0.32 | 18/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.08% | +0.11 | 18/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.493×ATR | p27 | +1.883×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.712×ATR | p33 | +2.024×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.95×ATR | p0 | +1.01×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 4.734×ATR | p79 | +2.109×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.08014256
- tp_price: 0.0841689
- atr: 0.00078937
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T09:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 49
- score: 0.6511
- delta_2h: 0.0011
- extension_atr: 0.77
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9369
- confidence: 0.958
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08212 | 0.08014 | 0.08417 | 1.04 | 0.09164 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08212
- Stop Loss: 0.08014
- Take Profit: 0.08417
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08014 - 0.08212 = -0.00198
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08212 - 0.08417 = -0.00205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00205 / -0.00198 = 1.0354
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 332.8847 | 100 | 4053.8349 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00198
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00198 = -4040.4
Taille de position USD = -4040.4 x 0.08212 = -331.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -4040.4 avec un stoploss a 0.08014
Avec un position size USD de -331.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4040.4 x -0.00198 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4040.4 x -0.00205 = 8.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position -4040.4
- Taille de position USD -331.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0354
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.31 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.41 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.16 $ | -0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7051 % | 29.24 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08212 | 0.08014 | 0.08417 | 1.04 | 0.09164 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08212
- Stop Loss: 0.08014
- Take Profit: 0.08417
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08014 - 0.08212 = -0.00198
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08212 - 0.08417 = -0.00205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00205 / -0.00198 = 1.0354
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.411%
(0.0020)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.153% | 0.1R | -0.605% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -0.605% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -0.605% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.404% | 0.2R | -0.705% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -1.540% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.404% | 0.2R | -1.906% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.