Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_score)
With 4459.11 CHIP at 0.0256$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02743 (7.02 %)
Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_score)
With 4459.11 CHIP at 0.0256$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02743 (7.02 %)
Position
Entry 0.02563$
Qty 4459.11 CHIP
Size 114.3048$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 114.29$
SL 0.02743 (-7.02%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0732
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.94×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 19/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 19/08 01:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4695 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.22% · r3d: -4.84% · ema21_slope: -0.1633% · dist_ema21: 2.917% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4882 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.41% · rs_3d: -7.54% · beta_24h: 0.091 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1683 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.727 · trend: -37.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6761 | ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 35.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.424% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2350 | r1h: -0.572% · r4h: -3.497% · r1d: -8.41% · r3d: -6.45% · ema21_slope: -0.3521% · dist_ema21: -4.223% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2288 | rs_1h: -0.574% · rs_4h: -3.371% · rs_1d: -8.54% · rs_3d: -8.43% · beta_24h: -1.998 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2161 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.358 · trend: -66.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5284 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.501% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5064 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.317% · r1d: -10.01% · r3d: -7.58% · ema21_slope: 0.3203% · dist_ema21: -6.108% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3368 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.266% · rs_1d: -10.16% · rs_3d: -9.53% · beta_24h: -1.103 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1606 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: -45.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7584 | ADX: 40.4 (trend) · Chop: 47.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.650% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.663% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.784% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.585% | 0.1R | -1.436% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.593% | 0.1R | -1.436% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -11.487% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -12.684% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.62% | +0.71 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.26 | range_medium | +0.70% | -0.72 | 19/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | +0.63% | -0.80 | 19/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.19% | -0.43 | 19/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.517×ATR | p0 | +0.283×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.348×ATR | p81 | -0.778×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.192×ATR | p57 | -1.891×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0.948×ATR | p0 | -1.518×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02563 | 0.02743 | 0.04425 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02743 - 0.02563 = 0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02563 - = 0.02563
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02563 / 0.0018 = 14.2389
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114.3048 | 100 | 4459.11 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0018 = 4444.44
Taille de position USD = 4444.44 x 0.02563 = 113.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.02743
Avec un position size USD de 113.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.02563 = 113.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 113.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 114.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.02 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.1 $ | -0.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4358 % | 20.44 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02563 | 0.02743 | 0.04425 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02743 - 0.02563 = 0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02563 - = 0.02563
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02563 / 0.0018 = 14.2389
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.663% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.784% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.585% | 0.1R | -1.436% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.593% | 0.1R | -1.436% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -11.487% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -12.684% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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