Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5125.25 CHIP at 0.0256$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02499 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02719 (6.09 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 02:10:06
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 08:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.02563$
Qty 5125.2483 CHIP
Size 131.3806$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02499 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.28$
SL 0.02719 (-6.09%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.41
Status
loss
PnL
-5.03%
/ -6.61$
MAE -5.58%
MFE +1.04%
0.2R
expires
19 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74731)
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 02:00
score du 19/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0732
Quality Score
0.350
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.94×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 02:02
19/08 02:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 19/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 19/08 01:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1633
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.94
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 02:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3980
Score SMA
—
Rank
#26
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4695 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.22% · r3d: -4.84% · ema21_slope: -0.1633% · dist_ema21: 2.917% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4882 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.41% · rs_3d: -7.54% · beta_24h: 0.091 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1683 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.727 · trend: -37.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6761 | ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 35.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.424% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3502
Score SMA
0.5502
Rank
#45
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0732
Rank Norm SMA
0.5528
Calculé le
19/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2350 | r1h: -0.572% · r4h: -3.497% · r1d: -8.41% · r3d: -6.45% · ema21_slope: -0.3521% · dist_ema21: -4.223% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2288 | rs_1h: -0.574% · rs_4h: -3.371% · rs_1d: -8.54% · rs_3d: -8.43% · beta_24h: -1.998 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2161 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.358 · trend: -66.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5284 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.501% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3820
Score SMA
0.4614
Rank
#43
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1991
Rank Norm SMA
0.4151
Calculé le
19/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5064 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.317% · r1d: -10.01% · r3d: -7.58% · ema21_slope: 0.3203% · dist_ema21: -6.108% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3368 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.266% · rs_1d: -10.16% · rs_3d: -9.53% · beta_24h: -1.103 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1606 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: -45.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7584 | ADX: 40.4 (trend) · Chop: 47.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.650% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.087%
(0.0016)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.663% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.784% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.593% | 0.1R | -1.436% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.038% | 0.2R | -5.576% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -11.487% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -12.684% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.62% | +0.71 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.26 | range_medium | +0.70% | -0.72 | 19/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | +0.63% | -0.80 | 19/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.19% | -0.43 | 19/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.517×ATR | p0 | +0.283×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.348×ATR | p81 | -0.778×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.192×ATR | p57 | -1.891×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0.948×ATR | p0 | -1.518×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02563 | 0.02719 | 0.02499 | 0.41 | 0.04349 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02563
- Stop Loss: 0.02719
- Take Profit: 0.02499
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02719 - 0.02563 = 0.00156
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02563 - 0.02499 = 0.00064
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00064 / 0.00156 = 0.4103
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131.3806 | 100 | 5125.2483 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00156
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00156 = 5128.21
Taille de position USD = 5128.21 x 0.02563 = 131.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 5128.21 avec un stoploss a 0.02719
Avec un position size USD de 131.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5128.21 x 0.00156 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5128.21 x 0.00064 = 3.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5128.21
- Taille de position USD 131.44
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4103
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.28 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.09 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.61 $ | -5.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.0371 % | 82.76 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02563 | 0.02719 | 0.02499 | 0.41 | 0.04349 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02563
- Stop Loss: 0.02719
- Take Profit: 0.02499
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02719 - 0.02563 = 0.00156
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02563 - 0.02499 = 0.00064
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00064 / 0.00156 = 0.4103
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.087%
(0.0016)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.663% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.1R | -0.784% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.593% | 0.1R | -1.436% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.038% | 0.2R | -5.576% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -11.487% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.038% | 0.2R | -12.684% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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